Sector ETFs — End-of-Day Verdict
NO ACTION; XLF STRONG BUY 77 -> WATCH (U4 wide limit), DIA anticipate eligible but Payoff_4W 0.44x; contingent exits AIQ/QQQ/SPY(775)/SKYY(28); SKYY reclaimed
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 4 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBB | iShares Biotech ETF | 211.55 | WATCH | — | 208.68 | 213.00 | 212.45 | 214.68 | Biotech jumped AVOID 60 -> BUY - ANTICIPATE 93, its first print (, slot ineligible) and Est_4W 212.45 sits below the 213.12 buy-stop (negative payoff). HOLD the if held: 211.55 is a second close above the 208.68 stop. · news |
| SPY | SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 773.09 | SELL | 773.09 | 775.14 | 772.51 (-0.1%) | 779.18 (+0.8%) | 792.02 (+2.4%) | S&P rose +0.53% to 773.09 but the 775.14-stop lot is still below its stop (2.05 short); SELL that at the 10-22 open if still held. The 766. holds (3rd close above). WATCH 59, not a buy; Y5 until a close > 775.14. · news |
| SKYY | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | 166.63 | SELL | 166.63 | 169.30 | 166.50 (-0.1%) | 172.55 (+3.6%) | 179.70 (+7.8%) | Cloud +2.01% to 166.63 (AVOID 57) reclaimed the 164.25 stop on the - exit cancelled, hold that lot on a closing basis (IBB 10-20 precedent). The is still below 169.30; SELL at the 10-22 open if still held. · news |
| AIQ | Global X AI & Tech ETF | 64.00 | SELL | 64.00 | 66.10 | 64.57 (+0.9%) | 68.00 (+6.3%) | 69.41 (+8.5%) | AI/tech +1.30% to 64.00 but NO TRADE 0 ('Consensus conflict + low conviction') and an 8th close below the 66.10 stop; SELL 73 + 126 at the 10-22 open if still held. Y5 until a close > 66.10. · news |
| QQQ | Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100) | 725.20 | SELL | 725.20 | 736.27 | 726.56 (+0.2%) | 744.61 (+2.7%) | 747.66 (+3.1%) | Nasdaq-100 +1.05% to 725.20 but still NO TRADE 0 and below the 736.27 stop; SELL at the 10-22 open if still held. Y5 until a close > 736.27. · news |
| MAGS | Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF | 72.89 | WATCH | — | 71.94 | 72.87 | 74.10 | 72.28 | Megacaps +0.96% to 72.89 (WATCH, adj 63 < 65): HOLD if held, 3rd close above the 71.94 stop. · news |
| XLE | Energy Select Sector SPDR | 68.16 | WATCH | — | 64.40 | 68.23 | 70.22 | 72.16 | Energy 68.16 (NO TRADE 0, RSI 67) stays well above the 64.40 stop; HOLD if held. · news |
| IWM | iShares Russell 2000 ETF | 276.48 | WATCH | — | — | 277.92 | 282.48 | 288.27 | AVOID 80 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only, stand aside. · news |
| UFO | Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech) | 40.64 | WATCH | — | — | 41.10 | 40.85 | 43.37 | AVOID 75 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only, stand aside. · news |
| GLD | SPDR Gold Shares ETF | 378.95 | WATCH | — | — | 381.14 | 388.18 | 402.99 | AVOID 75 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only, stand aside. · news |
| DXYZ | Destiny Tech100 Inc | 29.00 | WATCH | — | — | 29.22 | 29.88 | 35.29 | AVOID 69 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only, stand aside. Quality gate also fails (OVERVALUED, Quality_Pass False). · news |
| — | iShares Semiconductor ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE 0 ('Consensus conflict + low conviction'); no setup. |
| — | VanEck Semiconductor ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE 0 ('Consensus conflict + low conviction'); no setup. |
| — | Tech Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE 0 ('Consensus conflict + low conviction'); no setup. |
| — | Defiance Quantum ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE 0 ('Consensus conflict + low conviction'); no setup. |
| — | SPDR S&P Biotech ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE 0 ('Consensus conflict + low conviction'); no setup. |
| — | Industrial Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE 0 ('Consensus conflict + low conviction'); no setup. |
| — | Health Care Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE 0 ('Consensus conflict + low conviction'); no setup. |
| — | Consumer Staples SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE 0 ('Consensus conflict + low conviction'); no setup. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
97 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.427 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.