Sector ETFs — End-of-Day Verdict
NO ACTION; MAGS BUY 64 declined (PullbackBuy -7 -> adj 57, W3 0.39x, limit above close); no other bullish actionable row; contingent exits SKYY/SPY/QQQ/AIQ/IBB if held
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 5 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 766.48 | SELL | 766.48 | 775.14 | 767.00 (+0.1%) | 774.54 (+1.1%) | 783.01 (+2.2%) | S&P rose +0.42% to 766.48: the at 766.13 reclaimed by 0.35 (marginal, hold on closing basis), the at 775.14 is still broken - SELL that at the 10-20 open if still held. Y5 blocks re-entry until a close > 775.14. · news |
| SKYY | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | 161.08 | SELL | 161.08 | 164.25 | 162.57 (+0.9%) | 165.08 (+2.5%) | 174.54 (+8.4%) | Cloud software bounced +1.62% to 161.08 (NO TRADE 0) but stayed below both lot stops (169.30 / 164.25); SELL 28 + 61 at the 10-20 open if still held. Y5 until a close > 169.30. · news |
| AIQ | Global X AI & Tech ETF | 62.96 | SELL | 62.96 | 66.10 | 63.59 (+1.0%) | 66.71 (+6.0%) | 67.31 (+6.9%) | AI/tech bounced +1.52% to 62.96 (NO TRADE 0), the sixth close below the 66.10 stop; SELL 73/126 at the 10-20 open if still held. Y5 until a close > 66.10. · news |
| IBB | iShares Biotech ETF | 204.06 | SELL | 204.06 | 208.68 | 204.62 (+0.3%) | 205.20 (+0.6%) | 209.05 (+2.4%) | Biotech rose +1.02% to 204.06 but printed AVOID 57 and remains below the 208.68 stop; SELL at the 10-20 open if still held. Y5 until a close > 208.68. · news |
| QQQ | Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100) | 718.36 | SELL | 718.36 | 736.27 | 720.61 (+0.3%) | 732.62 (+2.0%) | 745.80 (+3.8%) | Nasdaq-100 rebounded +1.21% to 718.36 (NO TRADE 0, consensus conflict) but stays 1.4 ATR below the 736.27 stop; SELL at the 10-20 open if still held. Y5 until a close > 736.27. · news |
| XLE | Energy Select Sector SPDR | 67.80 | WATCH | 67.80 | 64.40 | 67.82 (+0.0%) | 69.28 (+2.2%) | 72.36 (+6.7%) | Energy eased -0.64% to 67.80 as oil came off and the label decayed BUY 63 -> NO TRADE 0 ("Consensus conflict + low conviction"). Still 2.6 ATR above the 64.40 stop; HOLD the contingent if held. Two consecutive NO TRADE prints would be a deterioration tick, but no PROFIT_ARMED read (cost unknown). · news |
| DIA | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avg | 518.92 | WATCH | 518.92 | 518.92 | 519.73 (+0.2%) | 525.16 (+1.2%) | 527.98 (+1.7%) | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avg prints AVOID 51 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| DXYZ | Destiny Tech100 Inc | 27.91 | WATCH | 27.91 | 27.91 | 28.47 (+2.0%) | 29.41 (+5.4%) | 33.92 (+21.5%) | Destiny Tech100 Inc prints AVOID 48 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| — | iShares Russell 2000 ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | iShares Russell 2000 ETF prints NO TRADE 0: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| — | iShares Semiconductor ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | iShares Semiconductor ETF prints NO TRADE 0: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| GLD | SPDR Gold Shares ETF | 379.69 | WATCH | 379.69 | 379.69 | 382.06 (+0.6%) | 388.52 (+2.3%) | 403.47 (+6.3%) | SPDR Gold Shares ETF prints AVOID 62 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| — | VanEck Semiconductor ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | VanEck Semiconductor ETF prints NO TRADE 0: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| — | SPDR S&P Biotech ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | SPDR S&P Biotech ETF prints NO TRADE 0: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| XLF | Financial Select Sector SPDR | 55.06 | WATCH | 55.06 | 55.06 | 55.41 (+0.6%) | 55.91 (+1.5%) | 56.72 (+3.0%) | Financial Select Sector SPDR prints AVOID 44 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| XLI | Industrial Select Sector SPDR | 166.68 | WATCH | 166.68 | 166.68 | 166.52 (-0.1%) | 167.60 (+0.6%) | 169.65 (+1.8%) | Industrial Select Sector SPDR prints AVOID 56 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| — | Health Care Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Health Care Select Sector SPDR prints NO TRADE 0: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| — | Tech Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Tech Select Sector SPDR prints NO TRADE 0: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| — | Consumer Staples SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Consumer Staples SPDR prints NO TRADE 0: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary SPDR | 114.46 | WATCH | 114.46 | — | 115.20 (+0.6%) | 115.56 (+1.0%) | 115.44 (+0.9%) | Consumer Discretionary SPDR prints AVOID 0 (NoSignal); long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| UFO | Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech) | 39.45 | WATCH | 39.45 | 39.45 | 40.49 (+2.6%) | 40.91 (+3.7%) | 44.28 (+12.2%) | Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech) prints AVOID 80 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| — | Defiance Quantum ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Defiance Quantum ETF prints NO TRADE 0: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
88 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.427 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.