Sector ETFs — End-of-Day Verdict
NO ACTION; XLE B63 declined (below floor, W3 0.37x, buy-stop below close); no other bullish actionable row; contingent exits SKYY/SPY/QQQ/AIQ/IBB/MAGS if held
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 6 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLP | Consumer Staples SPDR | 87.62 | WATCH | 87.62 | 86.93 | 88.27 (+0.7%) | 88.80 (+1.3%) | 89.43 (+2.1%) | Staples extended (+1.08% to 87.62, RSI 71.9) but decayed SB84 -> WATCH 61 (X2); FailedBreakdown_Up_20D cell -1 gives adj 60, below the floor even though Payoff_4W is 1.71x. Re-arm: bullish adj >=65 with Payoff_4W >= 1.5x and entry within 0.25 ATR of close. · news |
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary SPDR | 112.46 | WATCH | 112.46 | 111.62 | 112.66 (+0.2%) | 114.12 (+1.5%) | 113.68 (+1.1%) | Discretionary went AVOID 0 -> WATCH 59 (FailedBreakdown_Up_20D, adj 58); Payoff_4W 1.98x but conviction is below the floor on a single print. Re-arm: bullish adj >=65 with Payoff_4W >= 1.5x. · news |
| XLV | Health Care Select Sector SPDR | 176.71 | WATCH | 176.71 | 175.14 | 177.80 (+0.6%) | 177.19 (+0.3%) | 179.26 (+1.4%) | Healthcare decayed B70 -> WATCH 53 (-0.27% to 176.71) with Payoff_4W 0.31x; the breakout re-arm is not met. Re-arm unchanged: bullish >=65 with trigger >= close and Payoff_4W >= 1.5x. · news |
| SPY | SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 763.25 | SELL | 763.25 | 766.13 | 765.20 (+0.3%) | 771.25 (+1.0%) | 781.73 (+2.4%) | The S&P ETF fell 1.11% to 763.25 on the tech sell-off, below BOTH written lot stops (775.14 and now 766.13); SELL both-share lots at the 10-19 open only if still held (L2, ADR-0019 unrecorded). BUY 66 -> WATCH; Y5 blocks re-entry until a close > 775.14. · news |
| SKYY | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | 158.51 | SELL | 158.51 | 164.25 | 158.83 (+0.2%) | 162.32 (+2.4%) | 173.72 (+9.6%) | Cloud software fell 4.87% to 158.51 (WATCH 59 -> AVOID 0), below both lot stops (169.30 and 164.25 - the 's reclaim failed after one session); SELL 28 + 61 at the 10-19 open only if still held. Y5 blocks re-entry until a close > 169.30. · news |
| AIQ | Global X AI & Tech ETF | 62.02 | SELL | 62.02 | 66.10 | 62.65 (+1.0%) | 65.77 (+6.0%) | 67.09 (+8.2%) | AI & tech ETF fell 3.23% to 62.02 (WATCH 56 -> NO TRADE 0), a fifth close below the 66.10 stop; SELL the 73/ at the 10-19 open only if still held. Y5 until a close > 66.10. · news |
| MAGS | Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF | 71.28 | SELL | 71.28 | 71.94 | 71.92 (+0.9%) | 72.97 (+2.4%) | 70.54 (-1.0%) | Megacaps fell 1.97% to 71.28, a decisive close below the 71.94 stop (it held only intraday on 10-15); SELL the contingent at the 10-19 open only if still held (L2). WATCH 54 with a limit 1.15 ATR above the close (Y1) and Payoff_4W 0.09x: no add. · news |
| IBB | iShares Biotech ETF | 201.99 | SELL | 201.99 | 208.68 | 202.35 (+0.2%) | 203.90 (+0.9%) | 205.46 (+1.7%) | Biotech gave back 2.61% to 201.99 (AVOID 65 -> NO TRADE 0), further below the 208.68 stop; SELL at the 10-19 open only if still held. Y5 until a close > 208.68. · news |
| QQQ | Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100) | 709.80 | SELL | 709.80 | 736.27 | 712.36 (+0.4%) | 716.83 (+1.0%) | 762.05 (+7.4%) | Nasdaq-100 ETF fell 2.50% to 709.80 (NO TRADE 0, RSI 35), now 2.0 ATR below the 736.27 stop; SELL at the 10-19 open only if still held. Y5 until a close > 736.27. · news |
| GLD | SPDR Gold Shares ETF | 382.01 | WATCH | 382.01 | 382.01 | 384.94 (+0.8%) | 391.06 (+2.4%) | 405.49 (+6.1%) | SPDR Gold Shares ETF prints AVOID 69 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| XBI | SPDR S&P Biotech ETF | 144.32 | WATCH | 144.32 | 152.55 | 144.52 (+0.1%) | 145.13 (+0.6%) | 152.44 (+5.6%) | SPDR S&P Biotech ETF prints AVOID 63 (RallySell_BearTrend); long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| XLF | Financial Select Sector SPDR | 55.52 | WATCH | 55.52 | 55.52 | 55.86 (+0.6%) | 56.38 (+1.5%) | 56.65 (+2.0%) | Financial Select Sector SPDR prints AVOID 64 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| XLI | Industrial Select Sector SPDR | 167.76 | WATCH | 167.76 | 171.06 | 167.73 (-0.0%) | 169.18 (+0.8%) | 170.59 (+1.7%) | Industrial Select Sector SPDR prints AVOID 66 (RallySell_BearTrend); long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| UFO | Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech) | 39.28 | WATCH | 39.28 | 39.28 | 40.45 (+3.0%) | 40.89 (+4.1%) | 43.45 (+10.6%) | Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech) prints AVOID 59 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| DXYZ | Destiny Tech100 Inc | 27.91 | WATCH | 27.91 | 27.91 | 28.61 (+2.5%) | 29.80 (+6.8%) | 35.90 (+28.6%) | Destiny Tech100 Inc prints AVOID 55 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| — | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avg | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avg prints NO TRADE 0: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| — | iShares Russell 2000 ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | iShares Russell 2000 ETF prints NO TRADE 0: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| — | iShares Semiconductor ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | iShares Semiconductor ETF prints NO TRADE 0: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| — | VanEck Semiconductor ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | VanEck Semiconductor ETF prints NO TRADE 0: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| — | Tech Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Tech Select Sector SPDR prints NO TRADE 0: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| — | Defiance Quantum ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Defiance Quantum ETF prints NO TRADE 0: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
82 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.427 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.