Sector ETFs — End-of-Day Verdict
NO ACTION; XLP SB84 declined (W3 0.51x, buy-stop below close, X2); XLV B70 declined (W3 0.63x, trigger below close); SPY B66 blocked (Y5, at floor); contingent exits SKYY-28/SPY-775/QQQ/AIQ/IBB if held
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 4 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKYY | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | 166.62 | SELL | 166.62 | 169.30 | 167.65 (+0.6%) | 175.56 (+5.4%) | 176.96 (+6.2%) | Cloud software rebounded +1.59% to 166.62 off a 160.45 gap-down open but remains below the 169.30 stop on the; SELL at the 10-16 open only if still held (ADR-0019 unrecorded). The reclaimed its 164.25 stop and holds. WATCH 59 is below the floor; Y5 blocks re-entry until a close > 169.30. · news |
| QQQ | Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100) | 728.00 | SELL | 728.00 | 736.27 | 729.89 (+0.3%) | 751.29 (+3.2%) | 765.65 (+5.2%) | Nasdaq-100 ETF closed 728.00 (WATCH 44), still below the 736.27 written stop after a 718.54 gap-down open; SELL at the 10-16 open only if still held. Y5 blocks re-entry until a close > 736.27. · news |
| AIQ | Global X AI & Tech ETF | 64.09 | SELL | 64.09 | 66.10 | 64.45 (+0.6%) | 67.44 (+5.2%) | 69.12 (+7.8%) | AI & tech ETF closed 64.09 (WATCH 56), a fourth close below the 66.10 stop; SELL the 73/ at the 10-16 open only if still held. Y5 blocks re-entry until a close > 66.10. · news |
| IBB | iShares Biotech ETF | 207.41 | SELL | 207.41 | 208.68 | 207.88 (+0.2%) | 210.58 (+1.5%) | 210.99 (+1.7%) | Biotech led the board (+2.05%) but closed 207.41, still 0.25 ATR below the 208.68 written stop, labelled AVOID 65; SELL at the 10-16 open only if still held. Y5 blocks re-entry until a close > 208.68. · news |
| MAGS | Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF | 72.71 | WATCH | 72.78 | 71.94 | 73.62 (+1.2%) | 75.04 (+3.1%) | 77.71 (+6.8%) | Megacaps decayed BUY 73 -> WATCH (X2) at 72.71; the contingent traded through 71.94 intraday (low 71.63) but closed above it, so it holds on a closing basis. No add: conviction below the floor. · news |
| XLE | Energy Select Sector SPDR | 66.56 | WATCH | 66.56 | 64.40 | 66.87 (+0.5%) | 67.78 (+1.8%) | 71.04 (+6.7%) | Energy went AVOID 47 -> NO TRADE 0 (-1.58% to 66.56), still above the 64.40 stop; hold the contingent if held. Not armed, so no profit-take tick applies. · news |
| XLK | Tech Select Sector SPDR | 189.19 | WATCH | 189.19 | 184.84 | 190.87 (+0.9%) | 200.37 (+5.9%) | 206.25 (+9.0%) | Tech held WATCH 55 (-0.65%); Payoff_4W 2.57x but conviction is below the 65 floor. Re-arm: BUY >=65 with Payoff_4W >= 1.5x. · news |
| GLD | SPDR Gold Shares ETF | 382.71 | WATCH | 382.71 | 382.71 | 385.82 (+0.8%) | 393.94 (+2.9%) | 411.56 (+7.5%) | SPDR Gold Shares ETF prints AVOID 75 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| DIA | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avg | 521.18 | WATCH | 521.18 | 521.18 | 521.03 (-0.0%) | 526.15 (+1.0%) | 522.59 (+0.3%) | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avg prints AVOID 64 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| UFO | Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech) | 40.01 | WATCH | 40.01 | 40.64 | 41.08 (+2.7%) | 42.69 (+6.7%) | 45.15 (+12.8%) | Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech) prints AVOID 57 (RallySell_BearTrend); long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| DXYZ | Destiny Tech100 Inc | 29.00 | WATCH | 29.00 | 30.05 | 29.63 (+2.2%) | 31.10 (+7.2%) | 37.73 (+30.1%) | Destiny Tech100 Inc prints AVOID 51 (RallySell_BearTrend); long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary SPDR | 113.41 | WATCH | 113.41 | — | 113.57 (+0.1%) | 113.62 (+0.2%) | 114.88 (+1.3%) | Consumer Discretionary SPDR prints AVOID 0 (NoSignal); long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| — | iShares Russell 2000 ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | iShares Russell 2000 ETF prints NO TRADE 0: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| — | iShares Semiconductor ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | iShares Semiconductor ETF prints NO TRADE 0: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| — | VanEck Semiconductor ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | VanEck Semiconductor ETF prints NO TRADE 0: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| — | SPDR S&P Biotech ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | SPDR S&P Biotech ETF prints NO TRADE 0: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| — | Financial Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Financial Select Sector SPDR prints NO TRADE 0: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| — | Industrial Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Industrial Select Sector SPDR prints NO TRADE 0: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| — | Defiance Quantum ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Defiance Quantum ETF prints NO TRADE 0: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
82 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.427 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.