Sector ETFs — End-of-Day Verdict
NO ACTION; MAGS SB95 declined to WATCH (U4); contingent AIQ exit if held; anticipate slot: none eligible
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avg | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE: 'Consensus conflict + low conviction' (Z4: no sector read). |
| DXYZ | Destiny Tech100 Inc | 30.29 | WATCH | 30.29 | 30.29 | 30.90 (+2.0%) | 32.52 (+7.4%) | 36.97 (+22.1%) | AVOID 54 FailedBreakout_Down_20D - long-only, stand aside (X7/Y2 zero-width stop on FailedBreakout_Down). Quality gate: OVERVALUED_VS_RI, Quality_Pass False. · news |
| — | SPDR S&P 500 ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE: 'Consensus conflict + low conviction' (B66 -> NT0). Hold-if-filled from 10-12 on stop 775.14 (older lot 766.13); <=4wk swing (SE-2). |
| — | Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100) | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE: 'Consensus conflict + low conviction' (W61 -> NT0). Contingent : hold on stop 736.27. |
| — | iShares Russell 2000 ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE: 'Consensus conflict + low conviction' (Z4: no sector read). |
| SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | 544.85 | WATCH | 544.85 | 536.95 | 542.42 (-0.4%) | 533.26 (-2.1%) | 569.99 (+4.6%) | WATCH 49 FailedBreakdown_Up_20D - below the 65 floor. Re-arm: BUY >=65 with Payoff_4W >=1.5x. · news |
| AIQ | Global X AI & Tech ETF | 65.92 | SELL | 65.92 | 66.10 | 65.92 (+0.0%) | 67.09 (+1.8%) | 70.42 (+6.8%) | The written 66.10 stop broke: low 65.83, close 65.92, and the buy signal decayed B68 -> WATCH 56 in one session on a semis-led tech sell-off. SELL ALL at the 10-13 open only if held ( from 10-12 and/or from 10-08; ADR-0019 unrecorded). Y5 block on re-entry until close > 66.10. · news |
| GLD | SPDR Gold Shares ETF | 382.15 | WATCH | 382.15 | 382.15 | 385.19 (+0.8%) | 390.91 (+2.3%) | 409.52 (+7.2%) | AVOID 62 FailedBreakout_Down_20D - long-only, stand aside (X7/Y2 zero-width stop on FailedBreakout_Down). · news |
| SMH | VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 590.99 | WATCH | 590.99 | 583.72 | 590.27 (-0.1%) | 592.23 (+0.2%) | 642.37 (+8.7%) | WATCH 52 FailedBreakdown_Up_20D - below the 65 floor. Re-arm: BUY >=65 with Payoff_4W >=1.5x. · news |
| — | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE: 'Consensus conflict + low conviction' (SB90 -> NT0; the W3 decline saved ~1.4%). Contingent 28 + : hold on 169.30 / 164.25. |
| IBB | iShares Biotech ETF | 204.26 | WATCH | 204.26 | 208.68 | 204.47 (+0.1%) | 206.95 (+1.3%) | 208.26 (+2.0%) | AVOID 51 FailedBreakout_Down_20D - long-only, stand aside. Y5 block until close > 208.68; the 10-12 open exit of any was confirmed (close 204.26). · news |
| — | SPDR S&P Biotech ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE: 'Consensus conflict + low conviction' (Z4: no sector read). |
| — | Financial Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE: 'Consensus conflict + low conviction' (Z4: no sector read). |
| XLE | Energy Select Sector SPDR | 66.01 | WATCH | 66.26 | 64.40 | 66.49 (+0.3%) | 67.07 (+1.2%) | 69.59 (+5.0%) | BUY-ANTICIPATE 60 AnticipationUp_VCP, below the 65 floor, anticipate-ineligible (1/3), payoff 0.20x. Contingent : hold on stop 64.40. Re-arm: BUY >=65 with Payoff_4W >=1.5x. · news |
| — | Industrial Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE: 'Consensus conflict + low conviction' (Z4: no sector read). |
| XLV | Health Care Select Sector SPDR | 171.99 | WATCH | 172.13 | 164.25 | 173.03 (+0.5%) | 172.79 (+0.4%) | 171.99 (-0.1%) | BUY-ANTICIPATE 85 AnticipationUp_VCP: anticipate-ineligible (1 of last 3 snapshots) and Payoff_4W 0.08x on the 3.00-ATR family stop (W3/T7). Re-arm: 2nd ANTICIPATE print with Payoff_4W >=1.5x. · news |
| XLK | Tech Select Sector SPDR | 196.36 | WATCH | 196.36 | 194.93 | 198.77 (+1.2%) | 204.34 (+4.1%) | 211.32 (+7.6%) | WATCH 56 FailedBreakdown_Up_20D - below the 65 floor (payoff 5.58x). Re-arm: BUY >=65 with Payoff_4W >=1.5x and RSI<75. · news |
| XLP | Consumer Staples SPDR | 84.41 | WATCH | 84.41 | 84.41 | 84.94 (+0.6%) | 86.21 (+2.1%) | 86.79 (+2.8%) | AVOID 59 FailedBreakout_Down_20D - long-only, stand aside (X7/Y2 zero-width stop on FailedBreakout_Down). · news |
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary SPDR | 112.27 | WATCH | 112.27 | 112.27 | 112.74 (+0.4%) | 112.76 (+0.4%) | 113.96 (+1.5%) | AVOID 49 FailedBreakout_Down_20D - long-only, stand aside (X7/Y2 zero-width stop on FailedBreakout_Down). · news |
| UFO | Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech) | 41.51 | WATCH | 41.51 | 42.80 | 41.98 (+1.1%) | 44.41 (+7.0%) | 45.66 (+10.0%) | AVOID 71 RallySell_BearTrend - long-only, stand aside (X7/Y2 zero-width stop on FailedBreakout_Down). · news |
| QTUM | Defiance Quantum ETF | 148.49 | WATCH | 148.49 | 146.95 | 149.11 (+0.4%) | 152.32 (+2.6%) | 161.43 (+8.7%) | WATCH 55 FailedBreakdown_Up_20D - below the 65 floor. Re-arm: BUY >=65 with Payoff_4W >=1.5x. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
71 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.275 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.