Sector ETFs — End-of-Day Verdict
NO ACTION; MAGS SB95 WATCH (U4); XLE anticipate declined (W3); contingent AIQ exit if held
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avg | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE: Consensus conflict + low conviction. |
| DXYZ | Destiny Tech100 Inc | 30.10 | WATCH | 30.10 | 30.82 | 30.54 (+1.5%) | 32.28 (+7.2%) | 37.23 (+23.7%) | AVOID 49 RallySell_BearTrend; long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| — | SPDR S&P 500 ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE: Consensus conflict + low conviction. Contingent lots: hold on the written stops (SPY 775.14/766.13, SKYY 169.30/164.25). |
| QQQ | Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100) | 743.57 | WATCH | 743.57 | 738.84 | 747.33 (+0.5%) | 757.20 (+1.8%) | 761.58 (+2.4%) | WATCH 56 FailedBreakdown_Up_20D, below the 65 floor. Re-arm: BUY >=65 with Payoff_4W >=1.5x and RSI<75. Contingent : hold on stop 736.27. · news |
| IWM | iShares Russell 2000 ETF | 276.70 | WATCH | 276.70 | 280.27 | 279.86 (+1.1%) | 285.60 (+3.2%) | 290.68 (+5.1%) | AVOID 66 RallySell_BearTrend; long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | 543.90 | WATCH | 543.90 | 527.16 | 544.94 (+0.2%) | 542.80 (-0.2%) | 568.52 (+4.5%) | WATCH 49 FailedBreakdown_Up_20D, below the 65 floor. Re-arm: BUY >=65 with Payoff_4W >=1.5x and RSI<75. · news |
| AIQ | Global X AI & Tech ETF | 65.85 | SELL | 65.85 | 66.10 | 65.83 (-0.0%) | 67.03 (+1.8%) | 69.80 (+6.0%) | Second straight close below the written 66.10 stop (65.85; 10-13 low 65.05) with the label stuck at WATCH 56 after the B68 decay, so the stop break is confirmed rather than a fake-out. SELL ALL at the 10-14 open only if still held ( and/or; ADR-0019 unrecorded). Y5 block on re-entry until close > 66.10. · news |
| GLD | SPDR Gold Shares ETF | 381.67 | WATCH | 381.67 | 381.67 | 385.36 (+1.0%) | 391.57 (+2.6%) | 410.93 (+7.7%) | AVOID 62 FailedBreakout_Down_20D; long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| SMH | VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 588.12 | WATCH | 588.12 | 574.75 | 590.74 (+0.4%) | 598.46 (+1.8%) | 635.33 (+8.0%) | WATCH 52 FailedBreakdown_Up_20D, below the 65 floor. Re-arm: BUY >=65 with Payoff_4W >=1.5x and RSI<75. · news |
| — | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE: Consensus conflict + low conviction. Contingent lots: hold on the written stops (SPY 775.14/766.13, SKYY 169.30/164.25). |
| — | iShares Biotech ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE: Consensus conflict + low conviction. Contingent : SELL at the 10-14 open if still held (200.02 < 208.68); Y5 block. |
| — | SPDR S&P Biotech ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE: Consensus conflict + low conviction. |
| — | Financial Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE: Consensus conflict + low conviction. |
| XLI | Industrial Select Sector SPDR | 168.67 | WATCH | 168.67 | 170.07 | 168.79 (+0.1%) | 169.95 (+0.8%) | 169.70 (+0.6%) | AVOID 66 RallySell_BearTrend; long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| — | Health Care Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE: Consensus conflict + low conviction. |
| XLK | Tech Select Sector SPDR | 196.28 | WATCH | 196.28 | 193.92 | 198.44 (+1.1%) | 203.92 (+3.9%) | 210.11 (+7.0%) | WATCH 63 FailedBreakdown_Up_20D, improving with payoff 3.24x but 2 points short of the 65 floor. Re-arm: BUY >=65 with Payoff_4W >=1.5x and RSI<75. · news |
| XLP | Consumer Staples SPDR | 84.19 | WATCH | — | — | 84.67 | 86.09 | 86.71 | AVOID 0 NoSignal; long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary SPDR | 112.36 | WATCH | 112.36 | 112.36 | 112.65 (+0.3%) | 113.30 (+0.8%) | 113.57 (+1.1%) | AVOID 64 FailedBreakout_Down_20D; long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| UFO | Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech) | 40.74 | WATCH | 40.74 | 41.71 | 41.77 (+2.5%) | 43.56 (+6.9%) | 46.58 (+14.3%) | AVOID 63 RallySell_BearTrend; long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| QTUM | Defiance Quantum ETF | 147.61 | WATCH | 147.61 | 145.79 | 148.77 (+0.8%) | 153.34 (+3.9%) | 161.12 (+9.2%) | WATCH 52 FailedBreakdown_Up_20D, below the 65 floor. Re-arm: BUY >=65 with Payoff_4W >=1.5x and RSI<75. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
72 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.275 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.