Sector ETFs — Fair value
A slow-moving intrinsic anchor per name — earnings power and discounted cash flow, residual income for banks — answering what to pay, never when to trade.
0 unheld undervalued 0 held growth-priced-in 0 bargains ★
| Ticker | Name | Close | FV/sh | Method | MoS | Verdict | Quality | F | Bargain | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DXYZ | Destiny Tech100 Inc | 36.06 | 20.23 | ResInc | -78% | OVERVALUED VS RI | 1.0 | 2 | ||
| DIA | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avg | 509.41 | — | NA_ETF | — | n/a · ETF | 11.5 | 0 | ||
| SPY | SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 737.05 | — | NA_ETF | — | n/a · ETF | 11.5 | 0 | ||
| QQQ | Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100) | 707.83 | — | NA_ETF | — | n/a · ETF | 11.5 | 0 | ||
| IWM | iShares Russell 2000 ETF | 285.02 | — | NA_ETF | — | n/a · ETF | 11.5 | 0 | ||
| MAGS | Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF | 65.66 | — | NA_ETF | — | n/a · ETF | 11.5 | 0 | ||
| SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | 562.14 | — | NA_ETF | — | n/a · ETF | 11.5 | 0 | ||
| SMH | VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 591.01 | — | NA_ETF | — | n/a · ETF | 11.5 | 0 | ||
| AIQ | Global X AI & Tech ETF | 63.16 | — | NA_ETF | — | n/a · ETF | 11.5 | 0 | ||
| SKYY | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | 136.30 | — | NA_ETF | — | n/a · ETF | 11.5 | 0 | ||
| IBB | iShares Biotech ETF | 169.36 | — | NA_ETF | — | n/a · ETF | 11.5 | 0 | ||
| XBI | SPDR S&P Biotech ETF | 131.38 | — | NA_ETF | — | n/a · ETF | 11.5 | 0 | ||
| XLF | Financial Select Sector SPDR | 52.46 | — | NA_ETF | — | n/a · ETF | 11.5 | 0 | ||
| XLE | Energy Select Sector SPDR | 57.39 | — | NA_ETF | — | n/a · ETF | 11.5 | 0 | ||
| XLI | Industrial Select Sector SPDR | 175.60 | — | NA_ETF | — | n/a · ETF | 11.5 | 0 | ||
| XLV | Health Care Select Sector SPDR | 154.57 | — | NA_ETF | — | n/a · ETF | 11.5 | 0 | ||
| XLK | Tech Select Sector SPDR | 180.77 | — | NA_ETF | — | n/a · ETF | 11.5 | 0 | ||
| XLP | Consumer Staples SPDR | 84.10 | — | NA_ETF | — | n/a · ETF | 11.5 | 0 | ||
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary SPDR | 115.87 | — | NA_ETF | — | n/a · ETF | 11.5 | 0 | ||
| UFO | Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech) | 53.11 | — | NA_ETF | — | n/a · ETF | 11.5 | 0 | ||
| QTUM | Defiance Quantum ETF | 154.75 | — | NA_ETF | — | n/a · ETF | 11.5 | 0 |
How to read this table
- Ticker · H
- The exchange symbol; an H pill marks a name this book currently holds.
- Close
- The latest settled market price — what the stock costs today.
- FV/sh (fair value per share)
- Our estimate of what one share is intrinsically worth, from the company's own earnings power and cash flow — a slow-moving anchor refreshed with quarterly results, deliberately independent of the day's price action.
- Method
- How that fair value was computed: EPV (earnings power value — what steady current earnings are worth, assuming no growth), DCF (discounted cash flow — future cash flows brought back to today's dollars), or Bank (residual income — the right framework for banks, whose "cash flow" is not comparable to an industrial's).
- MoS (margin of safety)
- How far the price sits below fair value, as a percentage — the discount you get for buying today. Positive (teal) = priced below fair value; negative (red) = priced above it. The bar makes the size of the gap scannable.
- Verdict
- UNDERVALUED — price below the fair-value anchor. FAIR — above the anchor but still below the growth-inclusive DCF value. GROWTH PRICED IN — the price already assumes the optimistic growth case plays out. OVERVALUED VS RI — a bank trading above its residual-income value. When no verdict applies, the pill says why: n/a · currency — the listing trades in a different currency than the company reports in (typically an ADR: the price is USD per depositary share, the statements aren't), so price and fair value can't honestly be compared and the MoS is withheld (the FV/sh shown* is in the reporting currency); n/a · ETF — a fund holds other assets, so company-earnings frameworks don't apply; n/a · no data — not enough fundamentals to compute a fair value. n/a rows carry no valuation force downstream.
- Quality
- The name's rank within this book on a composite of five quality measures: return on invested capital, gross profitability, free-cash-flow yield, revenue growth, and the F-Score. Earlier letters = higher quality.
- F (Piotroski F-Score)
- A 0–9 checklist of accounting health — profitability, improving balance sheet, operating efficiency. 7–9 is strong; below 4 is a warning.
How valuation is used
Valuation re-ranks and resizes technical buy candidates by a bounded amount and can amplify a signal-based sell — it never originates a trade on its own. A richly priced name that is trending is not a sell case; a cheap one with no signal is not a buy case. n/a rows (ETFs, currency mismatches) carry no valuation force.