Sector ETFs — End-of-Day Verdict
ACQUIRE 1 QUEUED (MAGS @71.56) / DISPOSE 0 on the recorded book; anticipate slot eligible (QTUM) but declined on payoff (W3/T7)
Recommendations
1 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAGS | Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF | 73.50 | BUY — QUEUED @71.56 | 71.56 | 70.20 | 73.88 (+3.2%) | 75.46 (+5.4%) | 80.82 (+12.9%) | The Magnificent Seven ETF printed a second straight BUY, upgrading to STRONG BUY 95 on a VWAP-pullback setup as the Nasdaq closed at a record; the model's buy-limit sits at 71.56, below the 73.50 close, with a 2.87x four-week payoff. OPERATIONAL: GTC buy-limit @71.56 (85.49% x conservative NAV x 20% = / 71.56), stop 70.20; expires 10-08. Re-arm from 10-02 (2nd consecutive BUY) fired. W6: SKIP this queue if the unrecorded MAGS is still held (no stacking). T3 fill caveat: limit is 1.65 ATR below close and 1.4% below the 10-05 low. · news |
| AIQ | Global X AI & Tech ETF | 66.85 | WATCH | 66.94 | 65.75 | 67.06 (+0.2%) | 67.14 (+0.3%) | 71.75 (+7.2%) | The AI & tech ETF's 10-02 buy would have filled at the 10-05 open of 66.33 (+0.15% vs the 66.23 card, inside the band) and closed 66.85, so the position is up and above its stop; the signal upgraded to STRONG BUY ANTICIPATE 93. OPERATIONAL: AIQ 126 unrecorded (ADR-0019); mark if filled +. Stop held at 65.75 (model 64.20 is wider; a trail never loosens). No add (W6; payoff 0.07x fails W3). · news |
| SPY | SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 774.83 | WATCH | 775.84 | 766.13 | 779.09 (+0.4%) | 787.45 (+1.5%) | 791.25 (+2.0%) | The S&P 500 ETF's 10-02 buy would have filled at the 10-05 open of 769.69 (flat to the card) and closed 774.83, with the label upgrading to ANTICIPATE 98. OPERATIONAL: SPY 6 unrecorded (ADR-0019); mark if filled +. Stop held at 766.13. No add (W6; payoff 0.55x fails W3). · news |
| QQQ | Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100) | 756.20 | WATCH | 755.45 | 736.27 | 760.20 (+0.6%) | 767.44 (+1.6%) | 775.34 (+2.6%) | The Nasdaq-100 ETF rose 0.88% to 756.20, a record-close session for the index, well above its 736.27 stop; the label moved BUY 70 to ANTICIPATE 75. OPERATIONAL: QQQ 6 @~742.51 unrecorded; mark if filled +. No add (W6; 0.44x fails W3). · news |
| SKYY | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | 169.84 | WATCH | 170.20 | 164.25 | 170.89 (+0.4%) | 172.70 (+1.5%) | 179.63 (+5.5%) | The cloud ETF closed +1.01% at 169.84, above its 164.25 stop, and the label recovered WATCH 61 to ANTICIPATE 85. OPERATIONAL: SKYY @162.02 unrecorded; mark if filled +. No add (W6; 0.27x fails W3). · news |
| IBB | iShares Biotech ETF | 207.96 | EXIT IF HELD | 207.96 | 208.68 | 208.56 (+0.3%) | 212.31 (+2.1%) | 223.41 (+7.4%) | The biotech ETF rallied 1.30% to 207.96 and printed BUY 65, but it still closed below its broken 208.68 stop, so the exit stands if the lot exists and re-entry stays blocked. OPERATIONAL: the 10-05 open contingent would have filled at 205.29; if still held sell at the 10-06 open. Y5 re-entry block until a close > 208.68; re-arm raw >= 66 with Payoff_4W >= 1.5x (today 1.05x). · news |
| XLE | Energy Select Sector SPDR | 63.45 | EXIT IF HELD | 63.45 | 63.66 | 63.92 (+0.7%) | 65.25 (+2.8%) | 66.62 (+5.0%) | The energy ETF rose 1.0% to 63.45 after the OPEC+ meeting but made an 11th close below its 63.66 stop; the label is only WATCH 55, so the exit stands if the lot exists. OPERATIONAL: the 10-05 open contingent would have filled at 62.745; if still held sell at the 10-06 open. · news |
| QTUM | Defiance Quantum ETF | 156.40 | BUY-STOP | 157.54 | 149.95 | 156.23 (-0.8%) | 155.30 (-1.4%) | 165.93 (+5.3%) | The quantum ETF is the first row eligible for the anticipate slot (ANTICIPATE in prints, conviction 88), but the buy-stop at 157.54 against a 3-ATR stop at 149.95 pays a negative four-week return (Est_4W 155.30), so it is declined. OPERATIONAL: T7/W3 (payoff -0.30x). Re-arm: ANTICIPATE/BUY with Payoff_4W >= 1.5x. · news |
| XLK | Tech Select Sector SPDR | 200.93 | NO ACTION | 201.66 | 193.53 | 201.72 (+0.0%) | 206.63 (+2.5%) | 221.76 (+10.0%) | The tech sector ETF recovered to ANTICIPATE 78 but this is prints and the buy-stop's four-week payoff is 0.61x. OPERATIONAL: re-arm BUY >= 65 with Payoff_4W >= 1.5x. · news |
| SMH | VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 633.90 | NO ACTION | 637.54 | 598.85 | 631.76 (-0.9%) | 643.24 (+0.9%) | 670.20 (+5.1%) | The semiconductor ETF flipped AVOID 63 to ANTICIPATE 65 with a 0.15x payoff; no entry. OPERATIONAL: X7/Y7 flip pattern on semis; re-arm ANTICIPATE in with Payoff_4W >= 1.5x. · news |
| DXYZ | Destiny Tech100 Inc | 32.55 | NO ACTION | 32.55 | 31.94 | 32.78 (+0.7%) | 34.32 (+5.4%) | 36.87 (+13.3%) | The Destiny Tech100 fund printed a fresh BUY 68 after four AVOID prints, but it is the one priced row in this book and fails the quality screen (F-Score 2), trading at 1.8x its residual-income value; new entries are blocked. OPERATIONAL: val_adj -4 (MoS -0.78) -> adj 63, below floor; valuation data 116 days stale. · news |
| IWM | iShares Russell 2000 ETF | 283.38 | WATCH | 283.38 | 283.38 | 286.14 (+1.0%) | 291.86 (+3.0%) | 291.08 (+2.7%) | iShares Russell 2000 ETF prints AVOID 85 on a FailedBreakout_Down_20D setup; long-only book, no entry. OPERATIONAL: X7 geometry (Stop == Entry, blank target). · news |
| GLD | SPDR Gold Shares ETF | 379.55 | WATCH | 379.55 | 379.55 | 382.55 (+0.8%) | 386.41 (+1.8%) | 386.54 (+1.8%) | SPDR Gold Shares ETF prints AVOID 59 on a FailedBreakout_Down_20D setup; long-only book, no entry. OPERATIONAL: X7 geometry (Stop == Entry, blank target). · news |
| XLP | Consumer Staples SPDR | 81.04 | WATCH | 81.04 | 81.04 | 81.08 (+0.0%) | 82.12 (+1.3%) | 85.33 (+5.3%) | Consumer Staples SPDR prints AVOID 75 on a FailedBreakout_Down_20D setup; long-only book, no entry. OPERATIONAL: X7 geometry (Stop == Entry, blank target). · news |
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary SPDR | 110.42 | WATCH | 110.42 | 110.42 | 110.55 (+0.1%) | 110.24 (-0.2%) | 112.29 (+1.7%) | Consumer Discretionary SPDR prints AVOID 75 on a FailedBreakout_Down_20D setup; long-only book, no entry. OPERATIONAL: X7 geometry (Stop == Entry, blank target). · news |
| UFO | Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech) | 43.56 | WATCH | 43.56 | 43.56 | 43.71 (+0.3%) | 44.38 (+1.9%) | 48.72 (+11.8%) | Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech) prints AVOID 75 on a FailedBreakout_Down_20D setup; long-only book, no entry. OPERATIONAL: X7 geometry (Stop == Entry, blank target). · news |
| — | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avg | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avg prints NO TRADE: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| — | iShares Semiconductor ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | iShares Semiconductor ETF prints NO TRADE: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| — | SPDR S&P Biotech ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | SPDR S&P Biotech ETF prints NO TRADE: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| — | Financial Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Financial Select Sector SPDR prints NO TRADE: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| — | Industrial Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Industrial Select Sector SPDR prints NO TRADE: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| — | Health Care Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Health Care Select Sector SPDR prints NO TRADE: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
63 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.322 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.