Sector ETFs — End-of-Day Verdict
ACQUIRE 1 QUEUED (MAGS @71.74) / DISPOSE 0 on the recorded book; anticipate slot eligible (QTUM/AIQ/SPY/QQQ/XLK) but all declined on payoff (W3/T7)
Recommendations
1 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAGS | Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF | 73.90 | BUY — QUEUED @71.74 | 71.74 | 70.51 | 74.24 (+3.5%) | 75.15 (+4.8%) | 80.01 (+11.5%) | The Magnificent Seven ETF printed a third straight BUY and upgraded to STRONG BUY 100 on a VWAP-pullback setup, while the S&P and Nasdaq closed at records. The model's buy-limit is 71.74, below the 73.90 close, with a 2.77x four-week payoff. OPERATIONAL: this REPRICES the 10-05 GTC limit (, was @71.56) to the live Entry_Price 71.74. That queue did not fill: the 10-06 low was 73.64. Sizing: 85.49% x conservative NAV (V7) x 20% = / 71.74 = 116.8, floored to 116. Stop 70.51, target 74.21, expires 10-09. W: SKIP if the unrecorded MAGS is still held. T3: the limit is 2.03 ATR below the close, so fill odds are low. · news |
| AIQ | Global X AI & Tech ETF | 67.05 | WATCH | 67.06 | 65.75 | 67.24 (+0.3%) | 68.64 (+2.4%) | 72.57 (+8.2%) | The AI & tech ETF held ANTICIPATE 93 and closed at 67.05, above the 65.75 stop. If the 10-02 card filled at the 10-05 open (66.33), the mark is +. OPERATIONAL: hold if filled. No add (W unrecorded lot; Payoff_4W 0.63x fails W3). The stop holds at 65.75; a trail never loosens. · news |
| SPY | SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 779.09 | WATCH | 777.31 | 766.13 | 782.95 (+0.7%) | 792.03 (+1.9%) | 792.31 (+1.9%) | The S&P 500 ETF closed at a record 779.09 (ANTICIPATE 83, down from 98), well above the 766.13 stop. If the 10-02 card filled at 769.69, the mark is +. OPERATIONAL: hold if filled. No add (W; Payoff_4W 0.70x). · news |
| QQQ | Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100) | 759.66 | WATCH | 757.78 | 736.27 | 761.58 (+0.5%) | 769.01 (+1.5%) | 783.17 (+3.4%) | The Nasdaq-100 ETF closed at 759.66 on the index record (ANTICIPATE 75), 23 points above the 736.27 stop. OPERATIONAL: hold if filled. Mark +vs 742.51. No add (W; Payoff_4W 0.44x). · news |
| SKYY | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | 171.01 | WATCH | 170.36 | 164.25 | 172.49 (+1.3%) | 173.79 (+2.0%) | 181.75 (+6.7%) | The cloud ETF upgraded to STRONG BUY 78 on a fresh 52-week breakout (BreakoutUp_52W), closing at 171.01. OPERATIONAL: hold if filled; mark +vs 162.02. The fresh buy is declined: Payoff_4W 0.35x fails W3, and W (the unrecorded) blocks stacking. Stop 164.25. · news |
| IBB | iShares Biotech ETF | 203.10 | EXIT IF HELD | 203.10 | 208.68 | 204.04 (+0.5%) | 207.25 (+2.0%) | 211.47 (+4.1%) | The biotech ETF reversed hard. It opened at 209.35 (above the stop), then sold off to 203.10 (-2.34%) and printed NO TRADE, so the exit stands if the lot exists. OPERATIONAL: if still held, sell at the 10-07 open. The 10-06 open would have filled at 209.35, above the stop. Y5 re-entry block stays until a close > 208.68. · news |
| XLE | Energy Select Sector SPDR | 63.75 | EXIT IF HELD | 63.75 | 63.66 | 64.26 (+0.8%) | 65.14 (+2.2%) | 66.72 (+4.7%) | The energy ETF closed at 63.75, a marginal +0.14% reclaim of the 63.66 stop after 11 closes below it. Conviction keeps decaying (AV65 -> W55 -> W48), so the reclaim is not decisive and the exit stands if the lot exists. OPERATIONAL: if still held, sell at the 10-07 open (L3: execute the de-risk). Re-arm only on BUY >= 65 with Payoff_4W >= 1.5x. · news |
| QTUM | Defiance Quantum ETF | 157.39 | BUY-STOP | 157.53 | 150.30 | 157.03 (-0.3%) | 156.42 (-0.7%) | 167.04 (+6.0%) | The quantum ETF has printed ANTICIPATE in snapshots (83), so it is slot-eligible. But the buy-stop at 157.53 against a 3-ATR stop at 150.30 has Est_4W 156.42 below the trigger (Payoff_4W -0.15x), so it is declined. OPERATIONAL: T7/W3. Re-arm: Payoff_4W >= 1.5x. · news |
| XLK | Tech Select Sector SPDR | 202.00 | WATCH | 201.65 | 193.76 | 202.51 (+0.4%) | 208.62 (+3.5%) | 218.42 (+8.3%) | The tech sector ETF printed ANTICIPATE 73, but RSI is 71.6 and Payoff_4W is 0.88x, below the 1.5x bar. OPERATIONAL: W3. Re-arm on BUY >= 65 with Payoff_4W >= 1.5x. · news |
| XLP | Consumer Staples SPDR | 81.80 | WATCH | 81.80 | 81.80 | 81.98 (+0.2%) | 82.69 (+1.1%) | 85.17 (+4.1%) | Consumer Staples SPDR prints AVOID 75 on a failed 20-day breakout (FailedBreakout_Down_20D). Long-only book, so no position. OPERATIONAL: X7 geometry (entry = stop = close). · news |
| GLD | SPDR Gold Shares ETF | 382.27 | WATCH | 382.27 | 382.27 | 384.12 (+0.5%) | 386.77 (+1.2%) | 395.00 (+3.3%) | SPDR Gold Shares ETF prints AVOID 75 on a failed 20-day breakout (FailedBreakout_Down_20D). Long-only book, so no position. OPERATIONAL: X7 geometry (entry = stop = close). · news |
| UFO | Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech) | 44.33 | WATCH | 44.33 | 44.33 | 44.44 (+0.2%) | 44.81 (+1.1%) | 49.05 (+10.6%) | Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech) prints AVOID 65 on a failed 20-day breakout (FailedBreakout_Down_20D). Long-only book, so no position. OPERATIONAL: X7 geometry (entry = stop = close). · news |
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary SPDR | 111.72 | WATCH | 111.72 | 111.72 | 112.17 (+0.4%) | 111.53 (-0.2%) | 113.01 (+1.2%) | Consumer Discretionary SPDR prints AVOID 64 on a failed 20-day breakout (FailedBreakout_Down_20D). Long-only book, so no position. OPERATIONAL: X7 geometry (entry = stop = close). · news |
| — | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avg | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avg prints NO TRADE: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| — | Destiny Tech100 Inc | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Destiny Tech100 Inc prints NO TRADE: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". It fell -3.01% to 31.57 from B68; the quality gate (F-Score 2) blocks new entries regardless. |
| — | Financial Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Financial Select Sector SPDR prints NO TRADE: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| — | SPDR S&P Biotech ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | SPDR S&P Biotech ETF prints NO TRADE: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". Biotech sold off -3.39% to 150.90. |
| — | VanEck Semiconductor ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | VanEck Semiconductor ETF prints NO TRADE: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". Semis flip-flopped again, from ANT65 to NO TRADE (Y7). |
| — | iShares Russell 2000 ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | iShares Russell 2000 ETF prints NO TRADE: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". Small caps slipped -0.72% from AV85 to NO TRADE. |
| — | iShares Semiconductor ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | iShares Semiconductor ETF prints NO TRADE: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| — | Health Care Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Health Care Select Sector SPDR prints NO TRADE: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
| — | Industrial Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Industrial Select Sector SPDR prints NO TRADE: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
63 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.275 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.