Sector ETFs — End-of-Day Verdict
NO ACTION on the recorded book: 0 ACQUIRE (only bullish row IBB BUY 69 / adj 68 fails Payoff_4W 0.81x < 1.5x and is a flip-flop), 0 DISPOSE (CASH only); anticipate slot ineligible (no BA print in 2 of last 3)
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 7 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBB | iShares Biotech ETF | 213.63 | WATCH | 213.63 | 208.68 | 214.71 (+0.5%) | 217.63 (+1.9%) | 221.05 (+3.5%) | Biotech re-printed BUY 69 (FailedBreakdown_Up_20D, +1.7% to 213.63), the only bullish row on the board; adj 68 after the -1 cell bias clears the floor, but Payoff_4W = (217.63-213.63)/(213.63-208.68) = 0.81x fails the W3 1.5x bar on a 0.74-ATR stop, and the trail SB78 -> NT0 -> B69 is a flip-flop (X2). WATCH, no new buy. Contingent : HOLD, 213.63 is +2.4% over the 208.68 closing stop. Re-arm: two consecutive >=65 prints with Payoff_4W >=1.5x. · news |
| — | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avg | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE (Consensus conflict + low conviction); no actionable read. |
| DXYZ | Destiny Tech100 Inc | 24.37 | WATCH | 24.37 | 24.37 | 25.83 (+6.0%) | 26.59 (+9.1%) | 35.23 (+44.6%) | AVOID 63 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only, so stand aside. Chip bounce on 11-06 did not repair the bearish consensus. |
| SPY | SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 735.29 | SELL | 735.29 | 766.13 | 738.22 (+0.4%) | 750.74 (+2.1%) | 740.80 (+0.7%) | Stop-discipline exit of an unrecorded contingent lot: SPY closed 735.29 on 11-06, still -4.0% below its 766.13 closing stop despite the chip rebound. SELL at the Mon 11-09 open only if the lot is real (reprice if the open gaps >1.5%). Not a downside forecast. Y5: blocked until a close above 766.13. Unreconciled (ADR-0019, 72nd run). · news |
| QQQ | Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100) | 656.10 | SELL | 656.10 | 736.27 | 665.37 (+1.4%) | 684.64 (+4.3%) | 648.74 (-1.1%) | Stop-discipline exit of an unrecorded contingent lot: QQQ closed 656.1 on 11-06, still -10.9% below its 736.27 closing stop despite the chip rebound. SELL at the Mon 11-09 open only if the lot is real (reprice if the open gaps >1.5%). Not a downside forecast. Y5: blocked until a close above 736.27. Unreconciled (ADR-0019, 72nd run). · news |
| — | iShares Russell 2000 ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE (Consensus conflict + low conviction); no actionable read. |
| MAGS | Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF | 67.53 | SELL | 67.53 | 71.94 | 67.85 (+0.5%) | 66.52 (-1.5%) | 69.08 (+2.3%) | Stop-discipline exit of an unrecorded contingent lot: MAGS closed 67.53 on 11-06, still -6.1% below its 71.94 closing stop despite the chip rebound. SELL at the Mon 11-09 open only if the lot is real (reprice if the open gaps >1.5%). Not a downside forecast. Y5: blocked until a close above 71.94. Unreconciled (ADR-0019, 72nd run). · news |
| SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | 136.53 | WATCH | 136.53 | 145.26 | 139.78 (+2.4%) | 150.68 (+10.4%) | 162.41 (+19.0%) | AVOID 56 (RallySell_BearTrend) on split-contaminated history (close 136.53 vs ~450 pre-11-05; ATR 10.10). No read until history is split-adjusted. |
| AIQ | Global X AI & Tech ETF | 56.89 | SELL | 56.89 | 66.10 | 58.13 (+2.2%) | 59.14 (+4.0%) | 59.46 (+4.5%) | Stop-discipline exit of an unrecorded contingent lot: AIQ closed 56.89 on 11-06, still -13.9% below its 66.1 closing stop despite the chip rebound. SELL at the Mon 11-09 open only if the lot is real (reprice if the open gaps >1.5%). Not a downside forecast. Y5: blocked until a close above 66.1. Unreconciled (ADR-0019, 72nd run). · news |
| GLD | SPDR Gold Shares ETF | 372.52 | WATCH | 372.52 | 372.52 | 370.49 (-0.5%) | 373.55 (+0.3%) | 386.98 (+3.9%) | AVOID 59 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only, so stand aside. Chip bounce on 11-06 did not repair the bearish consensus. |
| SMH | VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 463.96 | WATCH | 463.96 | 491.12 | 463.95 (-0.0%) | 502.67 (+8.3%) | 586.95 (+26.5%) | AVOID 68 (RallySell_BearTrend); long-only, so stand aside. Chip bounce on 11-06 did not repair the bearish consensus. |
| SKYY | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | 146.45 | SELL | 146.45 | 164.25 | 149.45 (+2.0%) | 150.42 (+2.7%) | 167.35 (+14.3%) | Stop-discipline exit of an unrecorded contingent lot: SKYY closed 146.45 on 11-06, still -10.8% below its 164.25 closing stop despite the chip rebound. SELL at the Mon 11-09 open only if the lot is real (reprice if the open gaps >1.5%). Not a downside forecast. Y5: blocked until a close above 164.25. Unreconciled (ADR-0019, 72nd run). · news |
| — | SPDR S&P Biotech ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE (Consensus conflict + low conviction); no actionable read. |
| — | Financial Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE (Consensus conflict + low conviction); no actionable read. |
| XLE | Energy Select Sector SPDR | 61.62 | SELL | 61.62 | 64.40 | 62.41 (+1.3%) | 63.41 (+2.9%) | 70.60 (+14.6%) | Stop-discipline exit of an unrecorded contingent lot: XLE closed 61.62 on 11-06, still -4.3% below its 64.4 closing stop despite the chip rebound. SELL at the Mon 11-09 open only if the lot is real (reprice if the open gaps >1.5%). Not a downside forecast. Y5: blocked until a close above 64.4. Unreconciled (ADR-0019, 72nd run). · news |
| XLI | Industrial Select Sector SPDR | 162.67 | SELL | 162.67 | 165.04 | 163.62 (+0.6%) | 168.92 (+3.8%) | 174.25 (+7.1%) | Stop-discipline exit of an unrecorded contingent lot: XLI closed 162.67 on 11-06, still -1.4% below its 165.04 closing stop despite the chip rebound. SELL at the Mon 11-09 open only if the lot is real (reprice if the open gaps >1.5%). Not a downside forecast. Y5: blocked until a close above 165.04. Unreconciled (ADR-0019, 72nd run). · news |
| — | Health Care Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE (Consensus conflict + low conviction); no actionable read. |
| XLK | Tech Select Sector SPDR | 164.74 | WATCH | 164.74 | 164.74 | 166.71 (+1.2%) | 169.79 (+3.1%) | 182.43 (+10.7%) | AVOID 66 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only, so stand aside. Chip bounce on 11-06 did not repair the bearish consensus. |
| — | Consumer Staples SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE (Consensus conflict + low conviction); no actionable read. |
| — | Consumer Discretionary SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE (Consensus conflict + low conviction); no actionable read. |
| UFO | Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech) | 39.01 | WATCH | 39.01 | 39.01 | 39.58 (+1.5%) | 41.89 (+7.4%) | 41.32 (+5.9%) | AVOID 75 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only, so stand aside. Chip bounce on 11-06 did not repair the bearish consensus. |
| QTUM | Defiance Quantum ETF | 123.37 | WATCH | 123.37 | 127.05 | 123.88 (+0.4%) | 127.83 (+3.6%) | 136.71 (+10.8%) | AVOID 57 (RallySell_BearTrend); long-only, so stand aside. Chip bounce on 11-06 did not repair the bearish consensus. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
155 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.427 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.