Sector ETFs — End-of-Day Verdict
NO ACTION on the recorded book: 0 ACQUIRE (zero BUY prints on the board; prior IBB/DIA/XLF/XLP BUYs all decayed), 0 DISPOSE (CASH only); anticipate slot ineligible
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 6 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIA | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avg | 522.47 | WATCH | 522.47 | 518.67 | 524.42 (+0.4%) | 524.71 (+0.4%) | 512.13 (-2.0%) | BUY 71 decayed to WATCH 56 in one session (X2 half-life); T 512.13 < close 522.47 (deadwk). Re-arm: second >=65 print with Payoff_4W >=1.5x and T >= close. · news |
| DXYZ | Destiny Tech100 Inc | 25.30 | WATCH | 25.30 | 25.30 | 25.31 (+0.0%) | 29.04 (+14.8%) | 37.38 (+47.7%) | AVOID 68 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only - stand aside. · news |
| SPY | SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 757.12 | SELL | 757.12 | 766.13 | 761.34 (+0.6%) | 758.24 (+0.1%) | 756.92 (-0.0%) | Contingent stop-discipline exit: SPY closed 757.12 on 11-12, still -1.2% below its 766.13 closing stop; label AVOID. SELL at the 11-13 open only if the lot is real; reprice if the open gaps >1.5%. L2/SE-7/U3 + Y5 re-entry block until a close above 766.13. ADR-0019 unreconciled - record trade sell/skip. · news |
| QQQ | Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100) | 688.17 | SELL | 688.17 | 736.27 | 683.05 (-0.7%) | 665.14 (-3.3%) | 740.08 (+7.5%) | Contingent stop-discipline exit: QQQ closed 688.17 on 11-12, still -6.5% below its 736.27 closing stop; label NO TRADE. SELL at the 11-13 open only if the lot is real; reprice if the open gaps >1.5%. L2/SE-7/U3 + Y5 re-entry block until a close above 736.27. ADR-0019 unreconciled - record trade sell/skip. · news |
| IWM | iShares Russell 2000 ETF | 278.44 | WATCH | 278.44 | 275.65 | 279.08 (+0.2%) | 275.70 (-1.0%) | 267.23 (-4.0%) | WATCH, -1.6% on the day; T 267.23 < close. Re-arm: raw >=72 with Payoff_4W >=1.5x. · news |
| MAGS | Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF | 68.86 | SELL | 68.86 | 71.94 | 68.96 (+0.1%) | 68.08 (-1.1%) | 71.33 (+3.6%) | Contingent stop-discipline exit: MAGS closed 68.86 on 11-12, still -4.3% below its 71.94 closing stop; label NO TRADE. SELL at the 11-13 open only if the lot is real; reprice if the open gaps >1.5%. L2/SE-7/U3 + Y5 re-entry block until a close above 71.94. ADR-0019 unreconciled - record trade sell/skip. · news |
| SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | 154.99 | WATCH | 154.99 | — | 153.24 (-1.1%) | 167.88 (+8.3%) | 181.44 (+17.1%) | NO TRADE; split-adjusted history fix still unverified (Y7) - no read until verified. · news |
| AIQ | Global X AI & Tech ETF | 59.49 | SELL | 59.49 | 66.10 | 59.85 (+0.6%) | 58.27 (-2.1%) | 63.49 (+6.7%) | Contingent stop-discipline exit: AIQ closed 59.49 on 11-12, still -10.0% below its 66.10 closing stop; label NO TRADE. SELL at the 11-13 open only if the lot is real; reprice if the open gaps >1.5%. L2/SE-7/U3 + Y5 re-entry block until a close above 66.10. ADR-0019 unreconciled - record trade sell/skip. · news |
| GLD | SPDR Gold Shares ETF | 354.89 | WATCH | 354.89 | 361.98 | 355.73 (+0.2%) | 361.47 (+1.9%) | 358.72 (+1.1%) | AVOID 65 (RallySell_BearTrend); long-only - stand aside. · news |
| — | VanEck Semiconductor ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE (Consensus conflict + low conviction); no buy trigger. |
| SKYY | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | 154.19 | SELL | 154.19 | 164.25 | 153.54 (-0.4%) | 158.05 (+2.5%) | 171.81 (+11.4%) | Contingent stop-discipline exit: SKYY closed 154.19 on 11-12, still -6.1% below its 164.25 closing stop; label NO TRADE. SELL at the 11-13 open only if the lot is real; reprice if the open gaps >1.5%. L2/SE-7/U3 + Y5 re-entry block until a close above 164.25. ADR-0019 unreconciled - record trade sell/skip. · news |
| IBB | iShares Biotech ETF | 213.43 | WATCH | 213.43 | 213.15 | 214.63 (+0.6%) | 218.19 (+2.2%) | 220.66 (+3.4%) | Contingent : close 213.43 > trail 213.15; HOLD, exit on any close below 213.15. Cushion is now only +0.1% after a -2.2% day and the signal cooled B74 -> W63: any close below 213.15 is an exit (do not lower the trail to the model's 210.70). No add: no BUY print. · news |
| XBI | SPDR S&P Biotech ETF | 151.20 | WATCH | 151.20 | 151.20 | 151.45 (+0.2%) | 149.31 (-1.2%) | 156.10 (+3.2%) | W62 -> AVOID 53 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D), -3.3% worst on board. Long-only: stand aside. Re-arm: raw >=66 BUY with Payoff_4W >=1.5x. · news |
| XLF | Financial Select Sector SPDR | 58.21 | WATCH | 58.21 | — | 58.61 (+0.7%) | 58.15 (-0.1%) | 57.57 (-1.1%) | BUY streak (66/67/70) broke to NO TRADE; T 57.57 < close. Re-arm: two consecutive >=80 prints with Payoff_4W >=1.5x and T >= close. · news |
| XLE | Energy Select Sector SPDR | 64.33 | SELL | 64.33 | 64.40 | 63.93 (-0.6%) | 65.67 (+2.1%) | 69.84 (+8.6%) | Contingent stop-discipline exit: XLE closed 64.33 on 11-12, still -0.1% below its 64.40 closing stop; label NO TRADE. SELL at the 11-13 open only if the lot is real; reprice if the open gaps >1.5%. L2/SE-7/U3 + Y5 re-entry block until a close above 64.40. ADR-0019 unreconciled - record trade sell/skip. · news |
| XLI | Industrial Select Sector SPDR | 169.44 | WATCH | 169.44 | 165.04 | 169.79 (+0.2%) | 167.07 (-1.4%) | 168.04 (-0.8%) | Contingent : close 169.44 > trail 165.04; HOLD, exit on any close below 165.04. Signal NT0 -> W49; cushion +2.7%. No add: no BUY print. · news |
| XLV | Health Care Select Sector SPDR | 187.83 | WATCH | 187.83 | — | 188.65 (+0.4%) | 188.01 (+0.1%) | 181.08 (-3.6%) | W61 -> NO TRADE; T 181.08 < close 187.83. Re-arm: two consecutive >=80 prints with Payoff_4W >=1.5x and T >= close. · news |
| — | Tech Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE (Consensus conflict + low conviction); no buy trigger. |
| XLP | Consumer Staples SPDR | 91.06 | WATCH | 91.06 | — | 91.25 (+0.2%) | 88.76 (-2.5%) | 87.93 (-3.4%) | BUY 66 -> NO TRADE; T 87.93 < close. Re-arm: two consecutive >=80 prints with Payoff_4W >=1.5x and T >= close. · news |
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary SPDR | 120.46 | WATCH | 120.46 | — | 120.67 (+0.2%) | 118.10 (-2.0%) | 122.63 (+1.8%) | Second NO TRADE after the one-session B73. Re-arm: fresh >=65 print with Payoff_4W >=1.5x and T >= close. · news |
| UFO | Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech) | 41.12 | WATCH | 41.12 | 41.12 | 41.09 (-0.1%) | 41.92 (+1.9%) | 45.14 (+9.8%) | AVOID 30 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only - stand aside. · news |
| QTUM | Defiance Quantum ETF | 132.49 | WATCH | 132.49 | 132.49 | 132.04 (-0.3%) | 131.16 (-1.0%) | 146.17 (+10.3%) | AVOID 54 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only - stand aside. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
180 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.427 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.