Singapore — End-of-Day Verdict
85th cycle: NO ACTION. Holdings are still unchanged, so all 7 frozen cards carry. F34 Wilmar printed STRONG BUY 89 ReversalUp_Oversold at Buy_Rank #1 on the settle only (adj 83), but the S cash gives a ticket of ~0.5% of the book, so SG-42 refuses it and it is ledgered optional. D05 printed SELL - REDUCE 74 at Sell_Rank #1, 6.7% under its stop, and SG-2 leg 2 refuses it (Est_12W 73.35 > 71.71, +2.3%) with DBS 3Q on 11-05. Banks led the fall: O39 -3.3%, D05 -1.9%, U11 -1.7%, none ex-dividend. S63 fell 2.3% to 9.92. J69U settled 2.11, 1c short of its 2.12 lapse. ME8U goes ex tomorrow.
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F34 | Wilmar International Ltd. | 2.95 | NO ACTION | 2.95 | 2.77 | 2.87 (-2.7%) | 3.11 (+5.4%) | 3.25 (+10.2%) | Wilmar flipped to STRONG BUY 89 at Buy_Rank #1 on an oversold reversal (RSI 17.8), near its 52-week low after falling about 14% in 11 sessions, with no stock-specific news found. Fair value and quality pass, adjusted conviction 83, but cash of S buys only @2.95 (S, ~0.5% of book), which fails the SG-42 2%-of-book floor. Even uncapped, the 0.75x ticket of S is under the ~S floor. Single settle print; `ReversalUp_Oversold|buy` has no cell (SG-45); Est_1W 2.87 is below the entry. Re-arm: frozen sells recorded (cash >= ~S), then a 2nd consecutive settled bullish print with adj >= 65, entry within 1 ATR and a ticket clearing SG-42 -> QUEUED gtc_stop at the live Entry_Price. · news |
| ME8U | Mapletree Industrial Trust | 1.74 | HOLD | — | 1.89⚠ | 1.74 | 1.75 | 1.81 | Mapletree Industrial settled 1.74 (+0.6%), still under the 1.80 full-exit line and 7.9% under the 1.89 stop. AVOID 60, MoS -16.3. Frozen 100% c5 (, ~S). Ex-distribution 11-03: stop rebases to 1.86 and the line to 1.77 on that session. Reverts to 50% on a settled close >= the line; withdraws on >= the stop. Record TAKEN/SKIPPED (ADR-0019). · news |
| S63 | ST Engineering | 9.92 | HOLD | — | 10.64⚠ | 10.00 | 10.17 | 9.89 | ST Engineering fell 2.3% to 9.92 with no new item found, under the 10.64 stop and the 10.34 tranche line, with Est_12W 9.89 just below the close, so the 50% basis is intact. Frozen 50% c8 (, ~S). 3Q update ~11-10. Reverts to 30% on settled >= 10.34; withdraw on >= 10.64 or Est_12W >= close. Record TAKEN/SKIPPED (ADR-0019). · news |
| BUOU | FRASER L&C TRUST | 0.89 | HOLD | — | 0.96⚠ | 0.89 | 0.91 | 0.92 | Frasers Logistics 0.895 (-6.8% vs the 0.96 stop); HOLD 47. Frozen 50% c36 (, ~S). MoS -5.5 (SG-3 amplify). FY results ~11-10. Record TAKEN/SKIPPED (ADR-0019). · news |
| S68 | Singapore Exchange | 20.32 | HOLD | — | 24.58⚠ | 20.53 | 21.43 | 21.38 | SGX 20.32 (+0.5%), still 17.3% under the rebased 24.58 stop, the book's deepest breach. STRONG SELL - REDUCE 67 at Sell_Rank #2 confirms the card but does not resize it; Est_12W 21.38 is above the close. Frozen 30% c35 (, ~S). Yahoo also lists 11.7c ex 11-13, unverified; confirm on SGXNET. Record TAKEN/SKIPPED (ADR-0019). · news |
| J69U | FRASERS CPT TR | 2.11 | HOLD | — | 2.12⚠ | 2.11 | 2.13 | 2.13 | Frasers Centrepoint settled 2.11, one cent under the 2.12 stop; the morning print touched 2.12 but the settle did not, so the card does not lapse. HOLD 53. Frozen 30% c34 (, ~S). Withdraws on a settled close >= 2.12 (SG-29). Record TAKEN/SKIPPED (ADR-0019). · news |
| O39 | OCBC Bank | 28.32 | HOLD | — | 31.53⚠ | 28.40 | 28.52 | 28.18 | OCBC fell 3.3% to 28.32, not ex-dividend, 10.2% under the 31.53 stop, with Est_12W 28.18 below the close, so the basis is intact. NO TRADE. Frozen 30% c18 (, ~S). OCBC 3Q 11-06. Record TAKEN/SKIPPED (ADR-0019). · news |
| N2IU | Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr | 1.15 | HOLD | — | 1.31⚠ | 1.15 | 1.17 | 1.19 | MPACT 1.15 (-12.2% vs the 1.31 stop); STRONG SELL - REDUCE 71 faded to AVOID 60. Frozen 30% c36 (, ~S). Ex-distribution 11-06 (1.94c): stop rebases to 1.29 on that session. Record TAKEN/SKIPPED (ADR-0019). · news |
| D05 | DBS Group Holdings | 71.71 | HOLD | — | 76.86⚠ | 71.87 | 73.17 | 73.35 | DBS fell 1.9% to 71.71, not ex-dividend, its lowest settle of the slide and 6.7% under the 76.86 stop. It printed SELL - REDUCE 74 at Sell_Rank #1 on the settle only, but the 12-week estimate of 73.35 sits above the close (+2.3%), so SG-2 leg 2 refuses the sell, and DBS reports 3Q on 11-05, so the position holds through. Re-arm SELL 30% (, ~S) on settled < stop, adj >= 65, Est_12W < close. · news |
| U11 | United Overseas Bank | 40.66 | HOLD | — | 42.17⚠ | 40.65 | 40.99 | 40.23 | UOB 40.66 (-1.7% on the day; -3.6% vs the 42.17 stop); Est_12W 40.23 < close (-1.1%), so leg 2 passes, but NO TRADE 0 fails the adj >= 65 floor. UOB 3Q 11-04. Re-arm SELL 30% on settled < 42.17, adj >= 65, Est_12W < close. · news |
| C07 | Jardine C&C | 22.96 | HOLD | — | 26.07⚠ | 23.40 | 23.59 | 24.57 | Jardine C&C 22.96 (-11.9% vs the 26.07 stop); AVOID 56 (adj 61) and Est_12W 24.57 > close (+7.0%), UNDERVALUED, so the sell is refused. 9M statement ~11-10. Re-arm per the conjunctive rule. · news |
| 9CI | CapitaLand Investment | 2.38 | HOLD | — | 2.62⚠ | 2.38 | 2.40 | 2.50 | CapitaLand Investment 2.38 (-9.2% vs the 2.62 stop); AVOID 46 (adj 51) and Est_12W 2.50 > close (+5.0%), so the sell is refused. 3Q update 11-05. Re-arm SELL 30% on settled < 2.62, adj >= 65, Est_12W < close. · news |
| B61 | BT SEMBAWANG EST | 4.38 | HOLD | — | 4.62⚠ | 4.38 | 4.39 | 4.50 | Bukit Sembawang 4.38 (-5.2% vs the 4.62 stop); HOLD 44, no sell label, Est_12W 4.50 > close, UNDERVALUED. Sell refused; re-arm per the conjunctive rule. 1H results ~11-12. · news |
| U13 | UOI LTD | 8.24 | HOLD | — | 8.03 | 8.25 | 8.25 | 8.37 | UOI 8.24, ~2.6% above the 8.03 stop; NO TRADE. Hold. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
144 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-1.333 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
90 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.