This website is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and assess your own risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

SG End-of-Day Verdict 31 Jul 2026, 17:00:00 GMT+8 Decided by: Manual

Singapore — End-of-Day Verdict

22nd cycle: a broad pre-FOMC melt-up flips FIVE names bullish at once; N2IU upgrades to STRONG BUY - ADD cv96 and becomes the book's FIRST acquire in 7 sessions (QUEUED @1.33); C38U prints STRONG BUY cv97 at BuyRank #1 and is blocked at the quality gate; both loud sells fail SG-2 for the fifth and sixth time

Total-Return Index 106.7 +6.7% since inception Performance ›

Event Horizon · next 10 trading days as of 2026-07-27

⚠ Event-dense: [object Object] · [object Object] · [object Object]

DateEventScopeNames Dir1wk band(ATR)Stance
07-28
CapitaLand Ascott Trust 1H 2026 results
CLAS is a hospitality trust: 1H gross profit, RevPAU and the 1H distribution (plus any divestment-gain top-up) reset the yield the market pays for it; on a very low ATR base a routine results move is mechanically large in ATR terms. confidence: med · source
direct HMNH ±3.0% ±3.5 hold through
07-28
FCT 3QFY2026 business update — first full session reaction (released 27 Jul, pre-window)
FCT released its 3QFY2026 update on 27 Jul, one day before the window opens, so the first full price-discovery session is 28 Jul. Tenant sales/occupancy and management's read on Johor-Singapore RTS Link shopper leakage at Causeway Point and Northpoint City (together roughly half of gross revenue) drive the re-rate. confidence: med · source
direct J69UH ±2.5% ±2.1 hold through
07-28
Mapletree Logistics Trust 1QFY26/27 results
MLT is the sector's cleanest read on Asian logistics rent: China reversions (about a sixth of gross revenue, running negative at -2% last quarter) and Singapore/Japan reversions set the mark the market applies to the other industrial-logistics landlords. ME8U shares the Mapletree sponsor and the industrial rent cycle; BUOU is priced off the same logistics reversion benchmark. MLT's own move on the print is the wider one, roughly +/-3% (+/-1.59 ATR); the band here is the held-name read-through. confidence: high · source
ecosystem M44UHME8UHBUOU ±1.5% ±1.4 queue below
07-29
FOMC decision (2pm ET; SG session reaction 30 Jul) — bank read
SG bank NIMs track USD short rates through SORA-linked and USD-book pricing. The funds upper bound has sat at 3.75% since Dec-2025 and this meeting carries a live hawkish tail under the new chair (market-implied odds of a HIKE around a quarter), which is NIM-positive for the banks — so the skew inside this two-sided band is upward for D05/O39/U11, and it lands three days before their own prints. confidence: high · source
macro D05HO39HU11H ±2.5% ±1.5 hold through
07-29
FOMC decision (2pm ET; SG session reaction 30 Jul) — S-REIT read
S-REITs are the levered-yield end of the SG tape: a hawkish outcome lifts the discount rate applied to DPU and the marginal cost of refinancing at the same time, so the event that helps the banks hurts the trusts. With a live hike tail rather than a routine hold, the band is wider than a normal meeting and the skew inside it is downward — across all seven held rate-sensitive names simultaneously, which makes this the largest single-event book exposure in the window. confidence: high · source
macro A17UHN2IUHHMNHBUOUHME8UHJ69UH9CIH ±3.5% ±2.4 tighten trail
07-30
MPACT 1QFY26/27 business update
Two assets carry the print: VivoCity (about 30% of gross revenue, reversions near 14% with occupancy close to full) and Festival Walk (about 20%, where last quarter's +6% tenant sales and +4.1% traffic were the first turn after a multi-year slide). Confirmation or reversal of the Festival Walk inflection is what re-rates the name, and it lands in the first SG session that has digested the FOMC. confidence: high · source
direct N2IUH ±3.0% ±1.8 hold through
07-30
Jardine Cycle & Carriage 1H 2026 interim results
JC&C is an Astra-dominated proxy: Indonesian auto and heavy-equipment volumes, coal-linked earnings, and the interim dividend drive it, against a FY2025 underlying profit that grew only 1%. Parent Jardine Matheson has already reaffirmed FY2026 guidance and raised its dividend, which caps the upside surprise and shifts the weight of the print onto Astra's segment detail and the interim payout. confidence: med · source
direct C07HJ36 ±4.0% ±1.8 hold through
08-03
US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jul) + Singapore SIPMM manufacturing PMI (Jul)
Both prints land at the start of the same week and set the industrial-cycle tone: SG PMI (51.0 last, barely expansionary) feeds directly into industrial-landlord leasing expectations for ME8U/BUOU and into S63's order-pipeline narrative, while US ISM plus Astra's regional demand read is the cyclical input for C07. Low magnitude, breadth-wide rather than name-specific. confidence: med · source
macro C07HS63HME8UHBUOUH ±1.0% ±0.5 hold through
08-04
Great Eastern Holdings Q2 2026 results
OCBC owns the overwhelming majority of Great Eastern, so GEH's Q2 total weighted new sales, new business embedded value and mark-to-market investment result pre-announce the insurance line of OCBC's own Q2 print three days later. A weak GEH investment result is the most common source of an OCBC miss that is not credit-driven. confidence: med · source
ecosystem G07HO39 ±1.5% ±0.7 hold through
08-05
CapitaLand Ascendas REIT 1H 2026 results
CLAR reports full financials half-yearly, so this is the first hard number since the 1Q update: the test is whether the +10.6% 1Q rental reversion holds against management's mid-single-digit FY2026 guide, and whether aggregate leverage steps down from 42.0% toward the guided ~37.3% after April's raise. DPU also faces an enlarged unit base from that raise, the main dilution risk in the print. confidence: med · source
direct A17UH ±3.0% ±2.1 hold through
08-05
CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust 1H 2026 results
CICT is the largest Singapore retail-plus-office landlord, so its 1H reversion and occupancy set the comparable the market applies to MPACT's Singapore retail book (VivoCity) the week after MPACT has reported; CICT is also CLI-managed, so its fee-generating performance feeds 9CI's FUM and fee narrative one day before CLI's own print. confidence: med · source
ecosystem C38UHN2IUH9CI ±2.0% ±1.2 queue below
08-06
DBS Group Q2 2026 results (pre-open)
Largest single weight in the book and the first of the three banks to print, so it sets the tone for OCBC and UOB the next day. The move keys on NIM trajectory against whatever rate path the 29 Jul FOMC just signalled, fee and wealth momentum, and the capital-return signal in the quarterly dividend. confidence: high · source
direct D05H ±4.0% ±2.5 hold through
08-06
CapitaLand Investment 1H 2026 results
CLI is the operationally-geared manager rather than a pass-through trust: fee-related earnings, FUM growth and capital-recycling pace compound, and its unusually low ATR turns an ordinary results-day percentage move into the widest ATR-normalised swing among the book's core names. It prints the day after both CICT and CLAR, so the manager's number arrives with its managed vehicles already on the tape. confidence: med · source
direct 9CIH ±4.0% ±3.3 hold through
08-06
Singapore Exchange FY2026 full-year results
SGX closes FY2026 (Jul-2025 to Jun-2026) against a high bar — record volumes are largely already in the tape — so the swing sits on the final dividend, derivatives-mix guidance and the cost outlook rather than the headline. A soft dividend or cautious cost guide against that expectation is the down-case; a raised or special dividend is the up-case. confidence: high · source
direct S68H ±5.0% ±3.1 tighten trail
08-07
OCBC Bank Q2 2026 results
NIM against the post-FOMC rate path, credit costs, and the insurance contribution already flagged by Great Eastern on 4 Aug. Prints the same morning as UOB, so the two are read against each other and against DBS's number from the day before. confidence: high · source
direct O39H ±4.0% ±2.0 hold through
08-07
UOB Q2 2026 results
Most ASEAN-weighted of the three, so regional loan growth and asset quality carry more of the print than at DBS; NIM against the post-FOMC path plus the dividend and capital signal complete it. Lands into the same session as OCBC and, after the close, US payrolls. confidence: high · source
direct U11H ±4.0% ±2.1 hold through
08-07
US July nonfarm payrolls (8:30 ET — SG reaction deferred to 11 Aug)
First labour print after the 29 Jul FOMC, so it either validates or breaks the rate path the banks and REITs have just repriced against. Critically it lands after the SGX close on Friday and the next SG session is the National Day holiday, so the payrolls reaction cannot express itself in Singapore until Tue 11 Aug. confidence: med · source
macro D05HO39HU11HA17UHN2IUH9CIH ±1.5% ±0.9 hold through
08-11
SGX reopens after National Day holiday — one session absorbs two US sessions
SGX is shut Mon 10 Aug (National Day observed), so the 11 Aug open is the first Singapore print to absorb both Friday's payrolls reaction and the whole Monday US session. That compresses two sessions of rate repricing into a single gap with no intervening SG session in which to manage a stop — a mechanical gap-risk day for every rate-sensitive held name, immediately after all three banks and SGX have reported. confidence: med · source
structure D05HO39HU11HA17UHN2IUH9CIHS68HHMNHJ69UHBUOUHME8UH ±2.0% ±1.2 tighten trail

Scenario bands estimate how far a scheduled event could plausibly move a name within a week, in both directions where the outcome is binary. They are research context for the book's decisions — the signal engine, not the calendar, decides trades.

Today's recommendations

0 to acquire · 0 to dispose

NO ACTION — nothing cleared the bar.

Outcome & track record

How accurate the calls have been.

97 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.229 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.

Signal-type track record How each signal *type* has performed across ALL of this book's past decisions — not a per-stock note. 'bias' is the conviction nudge (+/-) applied to a fresh signal of that type; n = sample size, hit_1w = share that hit the 1-week target. Reliable cells earn a boost; weak ones a haircut.

How each signal type has performed across this book's past decisions (aggregate, not per-stock) — and the conviction nudge it earns.

  • FailedBreakout_Down_20D (sell): 72 past trades, 50% hit the 1-week target → no conviction nudge.
  • RallySell_BearTrend (sell): 9 past trades, 33% hit the 1-week target → -3 conviction nudge.

Portfolio & signals

Every name we scanned, and where it stands.

TickerNameCloseSignal The chart pattern the engine detected on this name. Hover a signal for its one-line definition; click it for the full setup/trigger rules, the trade box it produces, and the newsletter issue that teaches the underlying concept. ActionConv1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.
N2IUHMapletree PanAsia Com Tr1.36PullbackBuy_VWAPSTRONG BUY - ADD961.36 (-0.0%)1.42 (+4.4%)1.35 (-0.7%)
BUOUHFRASER L&C TRUST1.00BreakoutUp_52WSTRONG BUY - ADD901.00 (+0.0%)1.11 (+11.0%)1.00 (+0.0%)
9CIHCapitaLand Investment2.66ReversalDown_OverboughtSTRONG SELL - REDUCE792.66 (-0.0%)n/a2.78 (+4.5%)
U11HUnited Overseas Bank43.89FailedBreakdown_Up_20DHOLD7143.91 (+0.0%)45.45 (+3.6%)45.67 (+4.1%)
S68HSingapore Exchange24.03PullbackBuy_VWAPBUY - ADD7024.04 (+0.0%)25.28 (+5.2%)24.25 (+0.9%)
S63HST Engineering10.72FailedBreakout_Down_20DSTRONG SELL - REDUCE6710.75 (+0.3%)n/a10.75 (+0.3%)
B61HBT SEMBAWANG EST4.89FailedBreakdown_Up_20DHOLD634.88 (-0.2%)4.98 (+1.8%)4.91 (+0.4%)
D05HDBS Group Holdings75.00MomentumContinuation_UpHOLD5874.61 (-0.5%)81.57 (+8.8%)77.17 (+2.9%)
HMNHCAPITALAND and ASCOTT STAPLE U0.90FailedBreakdown_Up_20DHOLD430.90 (-0.6%)0.92 (+1.7%)0.91 (+0.6%)
J69UHFRASERS CPT TR2.28NoSignalAVOID02.28 (+0.0%)n/a2.35 (+3.1%)
C07HJardine C&C28.10NoTradeNO TRADE028.02 (-0.3%)n/a28.93 (+3.0%)
ME8UHMapletree Industrial Trust1.96NoSignalAVOID01.96 (-0.0%)n/a1.95 (-0.5%)
O39HOCBC Bank29.78NoTradeNO TRADE029.70 (-0.3%)n/a29.58 (-0.7%)
U13HUOI LTD8.60NoTradeNO TRADE08.61 (+0.1%)n/a8.65 (+0.6%)
A17UHCapitaLand Ascendas REIT2.58NoSignalAVOID02.59 (+0.4%)n/a2.58 (+0.0%)
C38UCapitaLand Integrated Comm Tr2.51BreakoutUp_20DSTRONG BUY972.51 (+0.0%)2.79 (+11.2%)2.49 (-0.8%)
S59SIA ENGR3.11BreakdownDown_20DAVOID903.12 (+0.3%)2.84 (-8.7%)3.15 (+1.3%)
F34Wilmar International Ltd.3.90FailedBreakdown_Up_20DWATCH623.91 (+0.3%)4.03 (+3.3%)3.81 (-2.3%)
S58SATS4.73PullbackBuy_VWAPBUY604.71 (-0.4%)4.94 (+4.4%)5.03 (+6.3%)
Z74Singtel4.61ReversalDown_OverboughtAVOID534.61 (-0.0%)4.44 (-3.7%)4.56 (-1.1%)
M44UMapletree Logistics Trust1.24NoTradeNO TRADE01.24 (-0.0%)n/a1.23 (-0.8%)
G07Great Eastern21.52NoTradeNO TRADE021.37 (-0.7%)n/a21.68 (+0.7%)
BN4Keppel12.00NoTradeNO TRADE012.02 (+0.2%)n/a11.76 (-2.0%)
V03Venture Corporation15.71NoTradeNO TRADE015.83 (+0.8%)n/a16.31 (+3.8%)
J36Jardine Matheson67.99NoTradeNO TRADE067.75 (-0.4%)n/a68.16 (+0.3%)
VC2Olam Group Ltd.1.40NoTradeNO TRADE01.39 (-0.7%)n/a1.33 (-5.0%)

Archive

Earlier end-of-day records.

This website is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and assess your own risk tolerance before making investment decisions.