Singapore — End-of-Day Verdict
88th cycle: 1 ACQUIRE (QUEUED). BUOU Frasers Logistics printed STRONG BUY - ADD 85 `BreakoutUp_20D` three times in a row at Buy_Rank #1 (after BA72 x2 this morning), reclaiming its 0.923 EMA200 at 0.925. Its frozen SELL 50% card (c39) WITHDRAWS (SG-29): the row is no longer oversold (RSI 68), so SG-48's leg-2 suppression no longer covers it, and Est_12W 0.95 sits above the close. Queue ADD GTC limit @0.92 (adj 77, size ×0.5 for MoS -5.63), stop 0.89, expires 11-10. Yesterday's J69U buy-stop 2.14 TRIGGERED at the 2.15 open, but holdings are unchanged, so record it TAKEN or SKIPPED; J69U faded to HOLD 62, so do not re-chase. ME8U settled 1.77, exactly on its rebased 1.77 line, so its frozen 100% card REVERTS to 50% (the 10-23 treatment). DBS 3Q missed (NP S8bn, -5% y/y vs S95bn consensus) but D05 rose 0.6%; no sell label, leg 2 refuses.
Recommendations
1 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUOU | Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust | 0.93 | ADD — QUEUED @0.92 | 0.92 | 0.89 | 0.93 (+1.1%) | 0.93 (+1.1%) | 0.95 (+3.3%) | Frasers Logistics broke out above its 20-day high and reclaimed its 200-day average, printing STRONG BUY - ADD 85 three times in a row at Buy_Rank #1. The valuation is stretched (MoS -5.6), so the add is halved. GTC limit 0.92 (printed entry; close 0.925 is 0.3 ATR extended, so no chase), (~S, ~5% of book), stop 0.89 (~1.8 ATR), expires 11-10. FY results ~11-10: withdraw if they gap it before a fill (L6). The frozen SELL 50% card (c39) is WITHDRAWN under SG-29: RSI 68 takes the row out of SG-48's oversold-REIT slice and Est_12W 0.95 > close fails leg 2. : frozen ME8U/S68/N2IU exits + cash (~S) vs this + J69U; else fund externally or SKIP (SG-42). BreakoutUp_20D|buy +2 n5 (SG-32). · news |
| J69U | Frasers Centrepoint Trust | 2.17 | HOLD | — | 2.09 | 2.17 | 2.18 | 2.18 | Frasers Centrepoint's 11-04 GTC buy-stop at 2.14 was crossed at the 2.15 open (close 2.17), but holdings are unchanged. Record the add TAKEN at ~2.15 or SKIPPED (ADR-0019). The signal faded to HOLD 62 at RSI 70.7, so any unfilled remainder is withdrawn and the name is not re-chased. If filled, the stop is 2.09 (model, ~2 ATR). |
| ME8U | Mapletree Industrial Trust | 1.77 | HOLD | — | 1.86⚠ | 1.77 | 1.79 | 1.82 | Mapletree Industrial settled 1.77, exactly on its rebased 1.77 full-exit line (escalation needs a close below it), so the frozen card reverts from 100% to 50% (, ~S), the 10-23 treatment. AVOID 62 (adj 67), 4.8% under the 1.86 stop. Re-escalate to 100% on a settled close < 1.77; withdraw on a settled close >= 1.86. Frozen c8, not re-published (SG-8/SG-23). Record TAKEN/SKIPPED (ADR-0019). |
| N2IU | Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust | 1.21 | HOLD | — | 1.31⚠ | 1.21 | 1.23 | 1.26 | MPACT rose to 1.21 but is still 7.6% under the 1.31 stop; AVOID 56. Frozen 30% c39 (, ~S). Ex 1.94c on 11-06, when the stop rebases to 1.29. Record TAKEN/SKIPPED (ADR-0019). |
| S68 | Singapore Exchange | 21.01 | HOLD | — | 24.58⚠ | 21.05 | 21.73 | 21.40 | SGX rose to 21.01 but is still 14.5% under the 24.58 stop, the book's deepest breach; NO TRADE (liquidity gate). Frozen 30% c38 (, ~S). The 11.7c ex on 11-13 is still unverified. Record TAKEN/SKIPPED (ADR-0019). |
| D05 | DBS Group Holdings | 71.20 | HOLD | — | 76.86⚠ | 71.15 | 72.02 | 72.05 | DBS missed 3Q (net profit S8bn, -5% y/y vs ~S95bn consensus) on a 65% drop in markets trading income, but held its 66c + 15c payout, and the stock rose 0.6% to 71.20. It is 7.4% under the 76.86 stop with NO TRADE and Est_12W 72.05 above the close, so SG-2 leg 2 refuses the sell. Re-arm SELL 30% () on settled < stop, adj >= 65, Est_12W < close. · news |
| U11 | United Overseas Bank | 37.81 | HOLD | — | 42.17⚠ | 38.31 | 38.31 | 39.31 | UOB slid another 1.6% to 37.81 (RSI 23.7), 10.3% under the 42.17 stop, but now prints HOLD 53 ReversalUp_Oversold and Est_12W 39.31 is above the close, so there is no sell basis. Re-arm SELL 30% () on settled < 42.17, adj >= 65, Est_12W < close. |
| O39 | OCBC Bank | 27.93 | HOLD | — | 31.53⚠ | 28.01 | 27.94 | 27.97 | OCBC 27.93, 11.4% under the 31.53 trail; NO TRADE and Est_12W 27.97 only +0.1% above the close, one tick from failing leg 2. 3Q on 11-06. Re-arm SELL 30% on settled < 31.53 with Est_12W < close. |
| S63 | ST Engineering | 9.80 | HOLD | — | 10.64⚠ | 9.86 | 9.97 | 9.87 | ST Engineering 9.80 (-0.8%), 7.9% under the 10.64 stop; NO TRADE and Est_12W 9.87 > close (+0.7%). Re-arm SELL 30% on settled < 10.64 with Est_12W < close; +2nd tranche on < 10.34. |
| C07 | Jardine Cycle & Carriage | 24.13 | HOLD | — | 26.07⚠ | 24.30 | 24.68 | 25.59 | Jardine C&C 24.13 (+1.6%), 7.4% under the 26.07 stop; AVOID 54 gives adj 59 < 65, Est_12W 25.59 > close, and the name is UNDERVALUED, so the sell is refused. 9M statement ~11-10. |
| 9CI | CapitaLand Investment | 2.45 | HOLD | — | 2.62⚠ | 2.45 | 2.47 | 2.57 | CapitaLand Investment rose 2.9% to 2.45 on its 3Q day (-6.5% vs the 2.62 stop); NO TRADE (liquidity gate) and Est_12W 2.57 > close. Re-arm SELL 30% on settled < 2.62, adj >= 65, Est_12W < close. |
| B61 | Bukit Sembawang Estates | 4.40 | HOLD | — | 4.62⚠ | 4.39 | 4.39 | 4.52 | Bukit Sembawang 4.40 (-4.8% vs the 4.62 stop); NO TRADE, Est_12W 4.52 > close, UNDERVALUED. No sell basis; 1H results ~11-12. |
| U13 | UOI Ltd | 8.24 | HOLD | — | 8.03 | 8.25 | 8.26 | 8.39 | UOI flat at 8.24, ~2.6% above the 8.03 stop; NO TRADE. Hold. |
| M44U | Mapletree Logistics Trust | 1.12 | NO ACTION | 1.11 | 1.02 | 1.12 (+0.9%) | 1.15 (+3.6%) | 1.15 (+3.6%) | Mapletree Logistics printed STRONG BUY 76 BreakoutUp_20D at Buy_Rank #3 at the settle, but it flip-flopped (NT0 at 16:30) and sits 0.34 ATR past its 1.11 entry. As an unheld name its cash-capped ticket (~S, ~0.5% of book) fails SG-42. Ledgered optional so the counterfactual prices the miss. Re-arm on a stable re-print with. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
144 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-1.333 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
90 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.