Singapore — End-of-Day Verdict
91st cycle: 1 DISPOSE (O39 SELL 30%). Holdings are still unchanged (UNRECONCILED, BLOCKING). OCBC printed STRONG SELL - REDUCE 66 `FailedBreakout_Down_20D` (Sell_Rank #1) on both settle prints, so the standing re-arm fires: settled SSR, adj 71 ≥ 65, close 28.82 < 31.53, Est_12W 28.67 < close. SELL at market at the 11-12 open. No acquire: F34 BUY 67 is a settle-only flip (adj 62), and J69U faded to NO TRADE x6, so its 2.09 re-arm lapses. BUOU settled 0.885, 0.6% under its 0.89 add-card stop, which is not decisive (Est_12W 0.91 > close). Frozen cards carry: ME8U 100% c11 (1.73 < 1.77), S68 30% c41, N2IU 30% c42.
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O39 | OCBC Bank | 28.82 | SELL 30% | 28.82 | 31.53⚠ | 28.90 (+0.3%) | 29.00 (+0.6%) | 28.67 (-0.5%) | OCBC printed STRONG SELL - REDUCE 66 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D, Sell_Rank #1) on both settle prints and closed 28.82, 8.6% under the 31.53 trail, with the 12-week estimate 28.67 now below the close for a second session; every leg of the standing re-arm (settled SR/SSR, adj >= 65, close < stop, Est_12W < close) is met, so trim 30% of this bank core. Valuation (OVERVALUED_VS_RI, MoS -0.57) is amplify-only and moves no tier; 3Q was a slight beat (no new news). Engine asks 80%; the book's pre-committed 30% bank-core trim governs (SG-4, still above EMA200 26.08). Market at the 11-12 open; reprice if the open gaps >1.5%. Further trim on a 2nd settled SSR or a settled close < 27.22. · news |
| ME8U | Mapletree Industrial Trust | 1.73 | HOLD | — | 1.86⚠ | 1.73 | 1.75 | 1.79 | Mapletree Industrial settled 1.73, still under the 1.77 full-exit line, so the frozen card stays at 100% (, ~S), c11; 7.0% under the 1.86 stop, AVOID 41. Revert to 50% on a settled close >= 1.77; withdraw on >= 1.86. Record TAKEN/SKIPPED (ADR-0019). |
| S68 | Singapore Exchange | 20.75 | HOLD | — | 24.58⚠ | 20.86 | 21.70 | 21.44 | SGX 20.75, 15.6% under the 24.58 stop, NO TRADE x5 after an opening SSR27; frozen 30% card (, ~S) carried, c41. 11.7c ex 11-13 still unverified. Record TAKEN/SKIPPED. |
| N2IU | Mapletree PanAsia Commercial Trust | 1.15 | HOLD | — | 1.29⚠ | 1.15 | 1.17 | 1.18 | Mapletree PanAsia 1.15, 10.9% under the 1.29 stop, HOLD 51 (FailedBreakdown_Up); frozen 30% card (, ~S) carried, c42. Record TAKEN/SKIPPED. |
| J69U | Frasers Centrepoint Trust | 2.14 | HOLD | — | 2.09 | 2.14 | 2.16 | 2.17 | Frasers Centrepoint faded to NO TRADE on all six prints and closed 2.14 (-1.4%), above the 2.09 stop, so the conditional 2.09 re-arm from 11-10 lapses (no live buy trigger). The 11-04 add (crossed at 2.15) is still unrecorded; record TAKEN or SKIPPED. |
| BUOU | Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust | 0.88 | HOLD | — | 0.89⚠ | 0.89 | 0.90 | 0.91 | Frasers Logistics settled 0.885, 0.6% under the 0.89 add-card stop (less than 0.25 ATR, not decisive), HOLD 54 FailedBreakdown_Up with Est_12W 0.91 above the close, so no L2 exit. The 11-05 add is still unrecorded; a 2nd settled close < 0.89 with a negative 12wk would become an exit case. |
| F34 | Wilmar International | 2.96 | WATCH | 2.96 | 2.75 | 2.98 (+0.7%) | 3.09 (+4.4%) | 3.27 (+10.5%) | Wilmar printed BUY 67 OversoldBounce_Up at Buy_Rank #1 on the settle only (AVOID 60 at 16:30): a same-day flip, adj 62 after the MoS haircut (< 65), an ungraded cell (SG-45), and the S of sits under the SG-42 materiality floor. Re-arm on a 2nd consecutive settled BUY with adj >= 65. |
| U11 | United Overseas Bank | 37.58 | HOLD | — | 42.17⚠ | 38.07 | 38.03 | 38.81 | UOB turned to HOLD 67 OversoldBounce_Up at the settle and closed 37.58 (+0.5%), 10.9% under the 42.17 stop; Est_12W 38.81 is +3.3% above the close, so SG-2 leg 2 refuses a sell. Re-arm SELL 49% on a settled SR/SSR, adj >= 65, Est_12W < close. |
| D05 | DBS Group Holdings | 70.97 | HOLD | — | 76.86⚠ | 71.01 | 72.09 | 72.00 | DBS 70.97, 7.7% under the 76.86 stop, NO TRADE x6; Est_12W 72.00 (+1.5%) refuses leg 2. Re-arm SELL 30% on settled < stop, adj >= 65, Est_12W < close. |
| S63 | ST Engineering | 9.74 | HOLD | — | 10.64⚠ | 9.78 | 9.89 | 10.07 | ST Engineering 9.74 (+2.2%), 8.5% under the 10.64 stop; faded from AVOID 56 to NO TRADE; Est_12W 10.07 (+3.4%) refuses leg 2. |
| C07 | Jardine Cycle & Carriage | 24.15 | HOLD | — | 26.07⚠ | 24.38 | 24.99 | 25.90 | Jardine C&C 24.15, 7.4% under the 26.07 stop, AVOID 54 (adj 59 < 65); UNDERVALUED (amplify only); Est_12W 25.90 above the close. |
| 9CI | CapitaLand Investment | 2.38 | HOLD | — | 2.62⚠ | 2.39 | 2.41 | 2.49 | CapitaLand Investment 2.38, 9.2% under the 2.62 stop; SSR27-35 intraday, AVOID 43 at the settle (adj 48 < 65); Est_12W 2.49 above the close. Position ~S. |
| B61 | Bukit Sembawang Estates | 4.42 | HOLD | — | 4.62⚠ | 4.42 | 4.43 | 4.49 | Bukit Sembawang 4.42, 4.3% under the 4.62 stop, NO TRADE x6; Est_12W 4.49 above the close; 1H results ~11-12, hold through the event (catalyst-aware). |
| U13 | UOI Ltd | 8.25 | HOLD | — | 8.03 | 8.26 | 8.29 | 8.37 | UOI 8.25, above the 8.03 stop; NO TRADE x6. Hold. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
146 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-1.333 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
90 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.