Singapore — End-of-Day Verdict
73rd cycle: two pre-registered tripwires fire on the same settled close. ME8U breaks the 1.80 escalation line (1.79), so its 16-cycle frozen 50% card escalates to a FULL EXIT. S63 breaks its 10.34 second-tranche line with Est_12W below the close, so its frozen 30% card grows to 50%. Both go out as market orders for the 10-16 open. Buy pool empty for a 5th session.
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 2 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ME8U | Mapletree Industrial Trust | 1.79 | SELL ALL | 1.79 | 1.89⚠ | 1.79 (+0.0%) | 1.79 (+0.0%) | 1.80 (+0.6%) | Mapletree Industrial settled at 1.79, a fresh low and below the pre-committed 1.80 escalation line on a position already 5.3% under its 1.89 stop and under EMA200 (1.91), with valuation deeply stretched (MoS_FV -16.7). The model's own forward view is flat (Est 1W/4W 1.79, 12W 1.80), so holding carries the downside with no projected recovery; exit the whole line. Operational: escalation tripwire stamped on the frozen 50% card since cycle 3 ('settled < 1.80 -> full exit') fired at cycle 16; SG-39 sequencing = re-publish once as a market order, re-freeze if unrecorded at the next EOD. SG-2 leg 1 met; leg 2 (Est_12W 1.80 vs 1.79) suppressed on this oversold below-stop REIT row (SG-48, RSI 23); MoS <= -3 tier bump (Step 6b). Today's HOLD 61 ReversalUp_Oversold print does not repair the stop. Not ex-div (last ex 07-30). Q2 results 10-27. Supersedes the frozen 50% card. Record TAKEN/SKIPPED (ADR-0019). · news |
| S63 | ST Engineering | 10.25 | SELL 50% | 10.25 | 10.64⚠ | 10.26 (+0.1%) | 10.29 (+0.4%) | 10.20 (-0.5%) | ST Engineering closed 10.25, its 6th settled close under the 10.64 stop and through the pre-registered 10.34 second-tranche line, with the 12-week estimate (10.20) below the close. Trend support is gone and the forward view is negative, so cut half. Operational: frozen 30% card (, c5) + 2nd tranche 30% of the remaining 2,700 (, lot-rounded) =, market at the 10-16 open. SG-21 corroboration = stop break + Est_12W < close. Valuation amplify suppressed (G2, DCF 6.83 vs EPV 0.97 non-informative, SG-EOQ-3). SG-39: re-freeze if unrecorded next EOD. Record TAKEN/SKIPPED (ADR-0019). · news |
| O39 | OCBC Bank | 28.99 | HOLD | — | 31.53⚠ | 29.06 | 28.91 | 28.43 | OCBC 28.99, 7th settled close under the 31.53 trail; Est_12W 28.43 < close: basis intact. Frozen 30% card cycle 6 (, ~S). Withdraw on settled >= 31.53 or Est_12W >= close. Q3 results 11-06. Record TAKEN/SKIPPED (ADR-0019). · news |
| BUOU | FRASER L&C TRUST | 0.88 | HOLD | — | 0.96⚠ | 0.88 | 0.88 | 0.90 | Frasers L&C AVOID 48 at 0.88, 8.3% under the 0.96 stop; Est_12W 0.90 > close. Frozen 50% card cycle 24 (, ~S). Record TAKEN/SKIPPED (ADR-0019). |
| J69U | FRASERS CPT TR | 2.06 | HOLD | — | 2.18⚠ | 2.07 | 2.07 | 2.12 | Frasers Centrepoint late-flipped to STRONG SELL-REDUCE 38 (BreakdownDown_52W, Sell_Rank #3) at 2.06 vs the 2.18 stop; Est_12W 2.12 > close and RSI 39.7 (not oversold, so SG-48 does not suppress leg 2). Frozen 30% card cycle 22 (, ~S). Record TAKEN/SKIPPED (ADR-0019). |
| S68 | Singapore Exchange | 20.89 | HOLD | — | 24.82⚠ | 20.99 | 21.22 | 22.56 | SGX NO TRADE at 20.89, 15.8% under the 24.82 stop; Est_12W 22.56 > close. Frozen 30% card cycle 23 (, ~S). Record TAKEN/SKIPPED (ADR-0019). |
| N2IU | Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr | 1.16 | HOLD | — | 1.31⚠ | 1.16 | 1.17 | 1.18 | Mapletree PanAsia STRONG SELL-REDUCE 39 (Sell_Rank #2, adj 44) at 1.16, 11.5% under the 1.31 stop; Est_12W 1.18 > close. Frozen 30% card cycle 24 (, ~S). Record TAKEN/SKIPPED (ADR-0019). |
| 9CI | CapitaLand Investment | 2.38 | HOLD | — | 2.62⚠ | 2.39 | 2.39 | 2.44 | CapitaLand Investment HOLD 61 (ReversalUp_Oversold, RSI 24) at 2.38, 9.2% under the 2.62 stop; Est_12W 2.44 > close, leg 2 fails. Watch (~S). Re-arm SELL 30%: settled < 2.62 with Est_12W < close. |
| C07 | Jardine C&C | 25.02 | HOLD | — | 26.07⚠ | 25.22 | 25.71 | 25.05 | Jardine C&C AVOID 54 at 25.02, 4.0% under the rebased 26.07 stop; Est_12W 25.05 sits Sabove the close, so leg 2 fails again by a hair. UNDERVALUED + Quality_Pass argues the minimum tier. Watch (~S). Re-arm SELL 30%: settled < 26.07 with Est_12W < close. |
| U11 | United Overseas Bank | 41.69 | HOLD | — | 42.17⚠ | 41.74 | 41.84 | 42.38 | UOB AVOID 62 at 41.69 (+1.5%), 1.1% under the 42.17 trail; Est_12W 42.38 > close so leg 2 fails. Watch. Re-arm SELL 30%: settled < 42.17 AND Est_12W < close. · news |
| D05 | DBS Group Holdings | 73.75 | HOLD | — | 76.86⚠ | 73.76 | 74.03 | 75.11 | DBS NO TRADE at 73.75 (-0.8%), 4.0% under the 76.86 trail; Est_12W 75.11 > close so leg 2 fails. Watch. Q3 results 11-05. Same conjunctive re-arm as U11. · news |
| B61 | BT SEMBAWANG EST | 4.37 | HOLD | — | 4.62⚠ | 4.38 | 4.39 | 4.53 | Bukit Sembawang faded SSR34 -> NO TRADE (liquidity gate) at 4.37 < 4.62 stop; Est_12W 4.53 > close and UNDERVALUED. Sell refused. |
| U13 | UOI LTD | 8.40 | HOLD | — | 8.03 | 8.39 | 8.39 | 8.38 | UOI NO TRADE (liquidity gate) at 8.40, above the 8.03 stop. Hold. |
| A17U | CapitaLand Ascendas REIT | 2.18 | HOLD | — | 2.42⚠ | 2.18 | 2.17 | 2.18 | Dust line (~S, SG-17). HOLD 70 ReversalUp_Oversold. |
| HMN | CAPITALAND and ASCOTT STAPLE U | 0.81 | HOLD | — | 0.88⚠ | 0.80 | 0.81 | 0.82 | Dust line (~S, SG-17). STRONG SELL-REDUCE 81 at Sell_Rank #1 (BreakdownDown_52W) but below the dispose materiality floor; no card. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
141 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-1.333 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
90 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.