SG End-of-Day Verdict 16 Oct 2026, 17:00:00 GMT+8

Singapore — End-of-Day Verdict

74th cycle: NO ACTION. Yesterday's two market exits (ME8U 100%, S63 50%) went unrecorded at the 10-16 open, so both RE-FREEZE under SG-39. ME8U's full-exit basis is intact (1.79 < 1.80). S63's 2nd tranche lapsed (10.39 > 10.34), so its card reverts to the original 30%. C07 fell 5.3% under its stop but leg 2 still fails. Buy pool empty for a 6th session.

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Ticker	Name	Close	Action	Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice.	Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice.	1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	Rationale
ME8U	Mapletree Industrial Trust	1.79	HOLD	—	1.89⚠	1.79	1.79	1.79	Mapletree Industrial settled flat at 1.79, still under the spent 1.80 escalation line, 5.3% under the 1.89 stop and under EMA200 1.91, with valuation deeply negative (MoS -16.7). The full-exit basis stands. The 10-15 market-exit card went unrecorded at the 10-16 open, so per SG-39 it re-freezes at cycle 1 (, ~S). Withdraw on settled >= 1.89. Record TAKEN/SKIPPED (ADR-0019). · news
S63	ST Engineering	10.39	HOLD	—	10.64⚠	10.40	10.43	10.28	ST Engineering closed 10.39, its 7th settled close under the 10.64 stop, and Est_12W (10.28) is below the close, so the L2 basis holds. The pre-registered 2nd tranche lapsed because the close is back above the 10.34 line (L4/SG-29). The 10-15 50% card went unrecorded and re-freezes at the original 30% (, ~S). Re-arm the 2nd tranche (+800) on a settled close < 10.34. Record TAKEN/SKIPPED (ADR-0019). · news
O39	OCBC Bank	29.00	HOLD	—	31.53⚠	28.97	28.97	28.39	OCBC 29.00, 8th settled close under the 31.53 trail; Est_12W 28.39 < close: basis intact. Frozen 30% card cycle 7 (, ~S). Withdraw on settled >= 31.53 or Est_12W >= close. Q3 results 11-06. Record TAKEN/SKIPPED (ADR-0019).
BUOU	FRASER L&C TRUST	0.88	HOLD	—	0.96⚠	0.88	0.89	0.91	Frasers L&C AVOID 58 at 0.885, 7.8% under the 0.96 stop; Est_12W 0.91 > close. Frozen 50% card cycle 25 (, ~S). Record TAKEN/SKIPPED (ADR-0019).
J69U	FRASERS CPT TR	2.06	HOLD	—	2.18⚠	2.07	2.07	2.12	Frasers Centrepoint faded SSR38 -> NO TRADE 0 at 2.06 vs the 2.18 stop; Est_12W 2.12 > close. Frozen 30% card cycle 23 (, ~S). Record TAKEN/SKIPPED (ADR-0019).
S68	Singapore Exchange	21.00	HOLD	—	24.82⚠	21.10	21.34	22.73	SGX NO TRADE at 21.00, 15.4% under the 24.82 stop; Est_12W 22.73 > close. Frozen 30% card cycle 24 (, ~S). Record TAKEN/SKIPPED (ADR-0019).
N2IU	Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr	1.15	HOLD	—	1.31⚠	1.15	1.17	1.19	Mapletree PanAsia SELL-REDUCE 58 (BreakdownDown_52W, Sell_Rank #1, Portion 49%) at 1.15, 12.2% under the 1.31 stop; Est_12W 1.19 > close. Frozen 30% card cycle 25 (, ~S). No re-publish under SG-23. Record TAKEN/SKIPPED (ADR-0019).
C07	Jardine C&C	23.70	HOLD	—	26.07⚠	24.09	24.32	24.48	Jardine C&C fell 5.3% to 23.70 (NO TRADE, liquidity gate), 9.1% under the rebased 26.07 stop; Est_12W 24.48 > close, so leg 2 fails. UNDERVALUED + Quality_Pass. No company news found. Watch (~S). Re-arm SELL 30%: settled < 26.07 with Est_12W < close. · news
9CI	CapitaLand Investment	2.38	HOLD	—	2.62⚠	2.39	2.39	2.45	CapitaLand Investment HOLD 72 (OversoldBounce_Up, RSI 24) at 2.38, 9.2% under the 2.62 stop; Est_12W 2.45 > close. Watch (~S). Re-arm SELL 30%: settled < 2.62 with Est_12W < close.
U11	United Overseas Bank	41.61	HOLD	—	42.17⚠	41.69	41.76	42.31	UOB printed SSR38 x3 intraday, then faded to NO TRADE at the settled 41.61, 1.3% under the 42.17 trail; Est_12W 42.31 > close, so leg 2 fails. Watch. Re-arm SELL 30%: settled < 42.17 AND Est_12W < close.
D05	DBS Group Holdings	74.11	HOLD	—	76.86⚠	74.10	74.49	75.42	DBS NO TRADE at 74.11 (+0.5%), 3.6% under the 76.86 trail; Est_12W 75.42 > close. Watch. Q3 results 11-05.
B61	BT SEMBAWANG EST	4.38	HOLD	—	4.62⚠	4.38	4.40	4.51	Bukit Sembawang AVOID 44 at 4.38 < 4.62 stop; Est_12W 4.51 > close and UNDERVALUED. Sell refused.
U13	UOI LTD	8.40	HOLD	—	8.03	8.38	8.39	8.39	UOI NO TRADE (liquidity gate) at 8.40, above the 8.03 stop. Hold.
A17U	CapitaLand Ascendas REIT	2.17	HOLD	—	2.42⚠	2.17	2.16	2.16	Dust line (~S, SG-17). HOLD 57 OversoldBounce_Up.
HMN	CAPITALAND and ASCOTT STAPLE U	0.81	HOLD	—	0.88⚠	0.81	0.82	0.83	Dust line (~S, SG-17). Faded SSR81 -> AVOID 42.

Outcome & track record

Accuracy at the time of this record.

143 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →

-1.333 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.

90 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.

Earlier record 15 October 2026 73rd cycle: two pre-registered tripwires fire on the same settled close. ME8U breaks the 1.80 escalation line (1.79), so its 16-cycle frozen 50% card escalates to a FULL EXIT. S63 breaks its 10.34 second-tranche line with Est_12W below the close, so its frozen 30% card grows to 50%. Both go out as market orders for the 10-16 open. Buy pool empty for a 5th session. Later record 19 October 2026 75th cycle: NO ACTION. Holdings are still unchanged, so all 7 frozen cards carry (ME8U 100% c2, S63 30% c2, BUOU 50% c26, N2IU 30% c26, S68 30% c25, J69U 30% c24, O39 30% c8). ME8U slid to 1.76 (RSI 18), and its full-exit basis is intact. C07 printed a late, low-conviction SSR39 but leg 2 fails. Buy pool empty for a 7th session.