Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G07 | Great Eastern | 19.70 | HOLD | 18.27 | 18.45 | n/a | n/a | 25.34 (+38.7%) | Great Eastern is the book's best position at +7.8% and we are protecting the gain rather than cashing it: the 12-week view of Sstill sits 28.6% above the 19.70 close, so trimming here would cut a winner mid-trend. The stock is stretched (RSI 90.6) and printed an RSI-divergence warning, so we lift the stop above cost instead. Valuation reads mildly rich, but the residual-income anchor for an insurer is close to fair and valuation never originates a sell on its own. Operational: NOT profit-armed (Gain 2.29 ATR < 3.0; T12 progress 77.7% < 90) so the ADR-0012 fire rule cannot trigger on RSI_DIV alone; the G3 forward-view gate independently blocks a trim; G2/SGO-3 suppress the valuation-elevate on this IsFinancial row (blank DCF, MoS -0.36 far above -3). 4th consecutive 'Liquidity gate failed' NO TRADE = not-evaluated, NOT degradation (SGO-4), so the sec 9 N-consecutive exit case does not apply. Trail raised 17..45 (2.0x ATR chandelier off 19.70, ATR 0.625) - first time above the 18.27 cost, locks ~+1.0%. Re-arm trigger for a real trim: Gain >= 3.0 ATR (~20.15) or T12 >= 90%. |
| D05 | DBS Group Holdings | 71.90 | HOLD | 72.42 | 68.58 | n/a | n/a | 87.43 (+20.7%) | DBS is flat on cost (-0.7%) after cooling off an overbought run, and the reason to keep holding is the forward view: the 12-week target of Sis 21.6% above the 71.90 close and the position has already covered 82% of that path. There is no exit warning and the stop sits comfortably 4.6% below the market, so the position simply works. Valuation is mildly rich on a residual-income basis, which never originates a sell. Operational: 4th consecutive NO TRADE, reason 'Consensus conflict + low conviction' - no Exit_Warning, NOT armed (Gain -0.44 ATR). Stop unchanged at 68.58 and deliberately NOT loosened ahead of the two-sided 07-30 FOMC (+/-3.5%, high confidence, tighten-trail) and 07-31 MAS MPS (+/-2.0%, med) - both 8-9 sessions out, outside the 5-day catalyst window, so no pre-positioning today. |
| O39 | OCBC Bank | 28.69 | HOLD | 28.63 | 26.96 | n/a | n/a | 37.18 (+29.9%) | OCBC has turned slightly positive (+0.2%) since filling last week and the hold case mirrors DBS: a 12-week target of Sstands 29.6% above the 28.69 close, with no exit warning and the stop a full 6.0% below the market. The name is extended on momentum, but that is a reason to let the trailing stop do the work, not to sell. Residual-income valuation is mildly rich, which by doctrine cannot originate a sell. Operational: 2nd consecutive NO TRADE ('Consensus conflict + low conviction'), NOT armed (Gain 0.12 ATR, T12 progress 77.2%). Stop held at 26.96 through the 07-30 FOMC / 07-31 MAS pair (both tighten-trail stance, 8-9 sessions out). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
3 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
23 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.