Recommendations
1 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| O39 | OCBC Bank | 32.14 | ADD — QUEUED @31.62 | 31.62 | 31.14 | 32.11 (+1.5%) | 33.26 (+5.2%) | 37.62 (+19.0%) | We are adding to OCBC on a pullback. The signal upgraded to STRONG BUY-ADD 81 (#2) with a +19% three-month view, but the stock closed 1.6% above the model entry, so we queue a limit at the entry rather than chase. Ops: adj 67 = 81 - 4 val - 10 PullbackBuy_VWAP|buy scorecard; 114.38% x = 343 -> (~S); position trail 31.14 (armed, not fired); W8 not applied to ADDs on held names; GTC expires 09-25; reprice to live Entry_Price each session (SGO-5). · news |
| D05 | DBS Group Holdings | 77.80 | HOLD | 77.44 | 76.65 | 78.66 (+1.6%) | 80.31 (+3.7%) | 85.68 (+10.6%) | We hold DBS and cannot add. The signal strengthened to STRONG BUY-ADD 81 (#1) with a +10% three-month view, but the position is already 60.3% of the book, above the 60% single-name cap. Ops: add blocked by max_position_pct (headroom -S), would have queued @77.44 (EDATR -0.41); armed via T12 leg, not fired; chandelier 76.07 < watermark, stop stays 76.65 (1.33 ATR headroom); settled close < 76.65 -> SELL. |
| J36 | Jardine Matheson | 57.30 | HOLD | 57.30 | 56.74 | n/a | n/a | 44.63 (-22.1%) | We keep holding Jardine Matheson above its stop. The bearish signal persists (AVOID 60) and the drift is lower, but the price is still 0.54 ATR above the 56.74 exit line. Ops: third lower close 57.30; OTR-1/T3 at-stop not met; printed stop 59.37 above close not adopted (W6); PROFIT_ARMED false (R2/W5). Trigger: settled close <= 56.75, or a lower close <= 57.00 on an AVOID/SELL FailedBreakout_Down print -> SELL 100% (). · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
46 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-1.027 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.