Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HMN | CapitaLand Ascott Trust | 0.91 | NO ACTION | 0.91 | 0.90 | 0.92 (+1.1%) | 0.93 (+2.2%) | 0.88 (-3.3%) | Sole floor-clearing buy this session (adj conv 67 = raw 71 + val_adj -4; FAIR_VALUE MoS -0.76, Quality_Pass True so gate off) but declined on the same grounds as the 07-10 M44U rejection: negative model 12wk (Target_12Week 0.88 < Close 0.91, ~-3.3%), L1-disfavored FailedBreakdown_Up_20D weak-chase family (not PullbackBuy), a single fresh BUY print (WATCH 44/51/63 -> BUY 71, low stability), marginal geometry (stop -1.1%, 4wk +2.2%, 12wk gives it back), and the 07-14 CPI de-risk gate 1 session out. Ledgered direction=none optional to grade the decline. Re-arm on a non-negative 12wk view plus a confirming 2nd BUY print or a shift out of the FailedBreakdown family. |
| — | AI SG REITs book | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | 9th idle session since ADR-0014 inception. CASH-only book (all REIT) so no disposals; the sole bullish buy (HMN) demoted on negative 12wk + L1 + single-print + CPI de-risk gate. SGD 2,000,000 seed retained in full; next BOD re-evaluates against the Tue 2026-07-14 open. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
21 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.