Total-Return Index 100.0 0.0% since inception Performance ›
Today's recommendations
1 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| N2IU | Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr | 1.36 | BUY — QUEUED @1.33 | 1.33 | 1.30 | 1.36 (+2.0%) | 1.42 (+6.8%) | 1.39 (+4.5%) | Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust is the first Singapore REIT in this book's history to satisfy every one of our entry rules at once, and we are buying it the patient way. The trust has now signalled a buy twice in a row on the same pattern we trust most - a pullback to its volume-weighted average price - strengthening from a moderate reading to the strongest in weeks, with price above every major moving average and the trend firmly established. Crucially, we are not chasing it: today's close ran 2.2% ahead of the price we are willing to pay, so we are leaving a resting order below the market that fills only if the shares come back to us. That structure is deliberate, because the US Federal Reserve decides on rates tonight and the trust reports quarterly numbers tomorrow. If the market rallies away from us we simply do not get filled and reassess; if it dips, we buy at a better price with a stop just 2.3% lower. The valuation screen still marks this trust down, as it does every distribution-paying REIT, but the signal now clears our bar even after that penalty is applied in full - the first time that has happened. OPERATIONAL: SGR-3 satisfied (2nd consecutive same-family PullbackBuy_VWAP print, both >= 65). SGR-2 clears (T12 1.39 >= close 1.36, +2.2%). L1-favoured family. No-chase: Entry_Distance_ATR -1.14, buy-limit only. Floor cleared on the FULLY PENALISED arithmetic (96 - 10 + 0 = 86); Quality_Pass=False hard gate OVERRIDDEN under SGR-1 (REIT net-income-EPV/F-Score screen known-miscalibrated; second time this override has enabled an acquire, after C38U 07-23). Size 0.5x on STAGING grounds (FOMC 07-30, MPACT 1Q 07-30, PMI 08-03, sector 1H 08-05), not on the valuation modulator, which SGR-1 nulls. Sizing: 96.51% x Sown seed (ADR-0014) x 20% buy_pct = 386,040; max_position_pct 60% no bind; x0.5 = 193,020; /1.33 = 145,127 -> lot 100 -> = S = 9.65% of book. Risk if stopped: S = 0.22% of book. L8: executes at the 07-30 open as a resting GTC limit; reprice/re-validate if the open gaps >1.5%; expires_on 2026-08-03 (3 sessions). ANNOTATIONS: 12wk 1.39 exceeds DCF anchor 1.1313 (GROWTH_PRICED_IN) - projection assumes growth beyond priced-in; and 12wk 1.39 < 4wk 1.42 is internally incoherent (see systemic finding 4) - treat 1.42 as the trade objective, 1.39 as the softer figure. f=0.30 on the 1wk per L5 (calib_1w null, 1 graded entry). Withdraw if conviction < 65 at any subsequent EOD. · news |
Outcome & track record
How accurate the calls have been.
1 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
21 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.
Portfolio & signals
Every name we scanned, and where it stands.
| Ticker | Name | Close | Signal The chart pattern the engine detected on this name. Hover a signal for its one-line definition; click it for the full setup/trigger rules, the trade box it produces, and the newsletter issue that teaches the underlying concept. | Action | Conv | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C38U | CapitaLand Integrated Comm Tr | 2.51 | BreakoutUp_20D | STRONG BUY | 97 | 2.59 (+3.2%) | 2.79 (+11.2%) | 2.66 (+6.0%) |
| N2IU | Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr | 1.36 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | STRONG BUY | 96 | 1.36 (-0.0%) | 1.42 (+4.4%) | 1.39 (+2.2%) |
| BUOU | FRASER L&C TRUST | 1.00 | BreakoutUp_52W | STRONG BUY | 90 | 1.03 (+3.0%) | 1.11 (+11.0%) | 1.01 (+1.0%) |
| HMN | CAPITALAND and ASCOTT STAPLE U | 0.90 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | WATCH | 43 | 0.91 (+0.6%) | 0.92 (+1.7%) | 0.88 (-2.8%) |
| J69U | FRASERS CPT TR | 2.28 | NoSignal | AVOID | 0 | n/a | n/a | 2.20 (-3.5%) |
| ME8U | Mapletree Industrial Trust | 1.96 | NoSignal | AVOID | 0 | n/a | n/a | 1.86 (-5.1%) |
| M44U | Mapletree Logistics Trust | 1.24 | NoTrade | NO TRADE | 0 | n/a | n/a | 1.19 (-4.0%) |
| A17U | CapitaLand Ascendas REIT | 2.58 | NoSignal | AVOID | 0 | n/a | n/a | 2.50 (-3.1%) |
Archive
Earlier end-of-day records.
- 29 July 2026 1 acquire / 0 dispose ACQUIRE 1 QUEUED (N2IU buy-limit 1.33) / DISPOSE 0, anticipate slot not filled
- 28 July 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose NO ACTION (ACQUIRE 0 / DISPOSE 0, anticipate slot not filled)
- 27 July 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose NO ACTION (ACQUIRE 0 / DISPOSE 0, +1 queue withdrawal)
- 23 July 2026 1 acquire / 0 dispose ACQUIRE 1 (C38U staged) / DISPOSE 0
- 22 July 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose NO ACTION
- 21 July 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose NO ACTION
- 17 July 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose NO ACTION
- 16 July 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose NO ACTION
- 15 July 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose NO ACTION
- 14 July 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose NO ACTION
- 13 July 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose NO ACTION
- 10 July 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose NO ACTION
- 9 July 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose NO ACTION
- 8 July 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose NO ACTION
- 7 July 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose NO ACTION
- 6 July 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose NO ACTION
- 3 July 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose NO ACTION
- 2 July 2026 0 acquire / 3 dispose 3 DISPOSE (ME8U -60% 71000 -> keep 47279; J69U -50% 14000 -> keep 14000; A17U 100% 400 -> keep 0) all shared/sg-governed, execute ONCE via combined pool; frees ~S gross. HMN sell re-matured but bargain-braked -> near-miss. ACQUIRE/ADD/ADD-NEW/PROFIT-TAKE all NO ACTION. S sub- dry.
- 1 July 2026 0 acquire / 1 dispose 1 DISPOSE (ME8U -60% 71000, sg-governed, execute once) frees ~S combined; HMN downgraded exit->WATCH; ADD/ADD-NEW/PROFIT-TAKE all NO ACTION. S sub- dry.
- 30 June 2026 0 acquire / 2 dispose 1 DISPOSE ME8U -60% (shared/sg-governed) + optional HMN cleanup (1,300); BUOU watch; ADD/ADD-NEW/PROFIT-TAKE all NO ACTION. S dry.
- 25 June 2026 0 acquire / 1 dispose 1 DISPOSE (J69U trim 50% — cross-book w/ sg, execute once) + NO ACQUIRE (buy pool empty). REITs constructive but unconfirmed; ~SGD82k staged dry for the first REIT that flips bullish.