Recommendations
0 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| N2IU | Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr | 1.26 | SELL 50% | 1.26 | 1.25 | n/a | n/a | 1.15 (-8.7%) | MPACT's downtrend broadened rather than paused: the trust closed 1.26 again, a fourth decisive break of the 1.280 risk line in five sessions and its ninth straight close below the 200-day average (1.2977), while the model's twelve-week view slipped once more to 1.15 - nearly 9% below today's price and now 4.3% BELOW the 52-week low. Tonight the signal is FailedBreakout_Down_20D, the one bearish pattern this REIT book actually trusts, so the exit case no longer needs an exception argued for it. There is no adverse news at the trust - the fifteen-property gateway portfolio is unchanged and the SAugust distribution is already banked as a receivable - and sector coverage frames the whole Singapore REIT sleeve's weakness as rate-path repricing, not broken businesses. That is exactly why this is a half-trim and not an exit: a distribution-payer de-rating on the discount rate deserves a smaller position, not a closed one. Selling half returns ~Sof the book's only exposure to cash as the FOMC minutes' Singapore REIT reaction lands on the very session this executes. OPERATIONAL: pre-committed 08-06 ladder, clause (A) decisive stop-break (-1.56% / -0.87 ATR) AND clause (B) 9th close below EMA200 (-2.92% / -1.64 ATR) with negative 12wk - L2 / REIT-2 basis, each firing independently; REIT-1 is now affirmative support rather than a caveat. Residual trigger (A') settled close < 1.25 did NOT fire - the low tagged exactly 1.25 for a SECOND straight session and the close held 1.26 (+0.43 ATR); L4 says the settled close governs, so the portion stays 50%, not more. 1wk/4wk estimates are UNAVAILABLE because the FailedBreakout_Down_20D row emits a blank Target_Price - systemic finding 7, reproduced tonight on three names including this one. PROFIT_ARMED is a FALSE POSITIVE for the 12th session (Gain_ATR -3.04, T12_Progress 109.57% on a position down 5.26%) and is NOT the basis - systemic finding 1. Valuation (MoS -0.25, val_adj -1) recorded but barred from originating per CLAUDE.md section 9 / REIT-2 / SGR-1, and far too shallow to bump a tier. Action price 1.26 is the LIVE anchor Entry_Price (unchanged because the price did not move) - no carried-forward level. 72,550 rounded down to the 100-share SG board lot = 72,500; residual 72,600 keeps stop 1.25. Reprice if the open gaps outside 1.241-1.279. EIGHTH issue of the same card - the 08-07, 08-11, 08-12, 08-13, 08-14, 08-17 and 08-18 cards all lapsed unfilled because the auto-executor has not run since 2026-08-03 (eleven trading days stale); today's miss cost Sand the cumulative gap holds at ~Sbut the outage has now pushed the de-risk from BEFORE the FOMC minutes to INSIDE the SGX reaction session. · news |
| A17U | CapitaLand Ascendas REIT | 2.42 | WATCH | 2.42 | — | n/a | n/a | 2.21 (-8.7%) | No action - unheld and bearish. Ascendas REIT's five-session conviction ramp finally broke downward as the price made a fresh low at 2.42; that ramp was an artifact of the 13 Aug 7.482c distribution mark-down and reversed the moment genuine price information arrived. The model's twelve-week view fell again to 2.21, roughly 8.7% below today's price, and the stop sits above the close. Nothing here to buy. Highest conviction in the book tonight, and it points down. SGR-2 blocks on the negative 12wk; SGR-1 nulls the -7.86 margin-of-safety read for buy purposes. Systemic finding 8(b) evidence. |
| HMN | CAPITALAND and ASCOTT STAPLE U | 0.86 | WATCH | 0.85 | — | n/a | n/a | 0.77 (-9.9%) | No action - unheld and bearish. CapitaLand Ascott closed 0.855 completely unchanged for a third session with the RSI frozen at 37.46 and conviction pinned at 60, on the bearish FailedBreakout pattern. The twelve-week view is 0.77, nearly 10% below the actionable price, and the exit strategy on the row reads immediate. A flatlining name with a negative forward view is not an entry. Row also prints a blank Target_Price - second live instance of systemic finding 7 tonight. SGR-2 blocks independently. |
| ME8U | Mapletree Industrial Trust | 1.91 | WATCH | 1.91 | — | n/a | n/a | 1.81 (-5.2%) | No action - unheld and bearish. Mapletree Industrial broke five sessions of no-signal by printing a bearish FailedBreakout at conviction 52 - on a day when the close did not move (1.91 to 1.91), the RSI did not move, and the entire range was one cent. The twelve-week view of 1.81 is the least-bad in the book and is still 5.2% below the price. Nothing actionable. FLAGGED: a conviction-52 bearish label emerging from a zero-information bar is systemic finding 8(c) - the label is treated as non-informative here and the row is declined on SGR-2's negative-12wk rule, which holds regardless. val_adj nulled by SGR-1 (EPV screen non-informative on distribution-paying trusts). |
| J69U | FRASERS CPT TR | 2.17 | WATCH | 2.17 | — | n/a | n/a | 1.92 (-11.5%) | No action - unheld and breaking down. Frasers Centrepoint closed 2.17, a fresh 52-week low, and the signal reclassified to a 52-week breakdown. Conviction fell from, but that is the pattern being renamed, not the trend improving - and the low was set on half yesterday's volume, which is drift rather than capitulation. The twelve-week view of 1.92 is 11.5% below the price, the worst forward read in the book. SGR-3 vindicated a tenth time: the 08-17 ReversalUp_Oversold 41 bounce lasted exactly one session. Valuation NA (gate off, val_adj 0). |
| M44U | Mapletree Logistics Trust | 1.16 | WATCH | 1.16 | — | n/a | n/a | 1.06 (-8.6%) | No action - unheld and breaking to fresh lows. Mapletree Logistics ended four sessions pinned at 1.17 by closing 1.16 on the low of the day, and the signal flipped to the bearish FailedBreakout family. The twelve-week view is 1.06, some 8.6% below the price and still deteriorating, with the stop level sitting right at the close. The 08-04 BUY at 1.23 this book declined now trades 5.7% lower - SGR-3 graded correct a tenth time. Row prints a blank Target_Price (third instance of systemic finding 7 tonight). Valuation NA. |
| C38U | CapitaLand Integrated Comm Tr | 2.37 | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | 2.31 | No action - the engine gives no trade at all (consensus conflict, zero conviction) for a second session. CapitaLand Integrated went ex-dividend Stoday and closed 2.37, exactly the 0.84% mechanical drop that was predicted last night; the twelve-week view fell 2.36 to 2.31 purely on that information-free mark-down. The name now trades 4.4% below the 2.48 level it was chasing two sessions ago - declining to queue there was right, and the re-arm has never triggered. Heaviest volume in the book again at 38.15M. Systemic finding 8(a) VERIFIED to the cent. Re-arm trigger unchanged: a fresh PullbackBuy_VWAP at conviction >= 65 with Target_12Week >= close, queued at the THEN-LIVE Entry_Price - never a carried-forward 2.48. |
| BUOU | FRASER L&C TRUST | 0.94 | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | 0.86 | No action - the engine gives no trade at all for a sixth straight session. Frasers Logistics closed at a fresh low of 0.94 and its RSI fell to 26.9, the only deeply oversold reading in the book and the obvious temptation tonight. Declined: there is no entry, no stop and no target on the row to size or risk-define against, and the twelve-week view of 0.86 is 8.5% below the price. Oversold is not a signal without a trigger. NOTE: this row still carries the book's only Bargain=True flag alongside a -6.07 margin of safety - self-contradictory (systemic finding 4), and the flag has now been true for six sessions while the name fell in every one. SGR-1 nulls the valuation read; SGR-2 blocks on the negative 12wk. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
9 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.043 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
48 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.