Recommendations
0 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| N2IU | Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr | 1.25 | SELL ALL | 1.25 | 1.25⚠ | 1.25 (-0.2%) | 1.24 (-0.8%) | 1.13 (-9.6%) | Sell the whole position in Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust at the open. The trust has now closed below its risk line for six straight sessions, tonight's close of 1.25 reached the stop the book had set, and the price sits below its 200-day average while the twelve-week view has deteriorated for a fifth consecutive session to 1.13, roughly ten percent under the current price. No fresh news explains the slide - it is a steady de-rating from 1.40 in March to 1.25 now, with the 52-week low just beneath at 1.20. Valuation played no part in this decision: REIT fair-value screening is unreliable on distribution-paying trusts and is deliberately given zero weight in this book. OPERATIONAL: exit basis is L2 / REIT-2 - decisive break of the 1.280 risk line on six sessions PLUS negative 12wk, with close below EMA200 (1.2948) matching the Step 6 enumerated full-exit basis. REIT-1 satisfied without relying on the RallySell_BearTrend label alone. This is NOT a re-derivation of the withdrawn 09-01 half-trim: had that card filled at today's open, the residual 72,600 would have been stopped out on tonight's 1.25 close, so the book's own two-step plan resolves to flat on this bar. Scorecard bias +5 - RallySell_BearTrend|sell turned ACTIONABLE tonight at n=5 hit_1w 0.75, inverting REIT-1's retired mirror-era prior of -6 (flagged for the learnings review, NOT promoted here). ADR-0020 checked and does NOT fire: peak stop 1.33 vs live 1.25 = 6.0% erosion, under the 15% threshold and unconfigured for this book. Model Stop_Price 1.30 prints ABOVE the close and is rejected as inverted for the sixth session. Horizon stance tighten-trail (NFP 09-04 REIT leg prices 07-Sep) is overridden by the stop touch plus the confirmed descending-close sequence, which is the catalyst-aware hold's own carve-out. Estimates are Step 7 fallbacks at f=0.30 (calib_1w -0.043 degenerate, L5); 12wk 1.13 exceeds the DCF anchor 1.0202 - annotation mechanical and zero-weighted per SGR-1. Proceeds Srealised -S (-6.02%) on the 1.33 cost. L8: executes at the 2026-09-03 open; reprice if the open gaps more than ~1.5%. · news |
| PORTFOLIO | sgreit | — | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | One disposal, no acquisitions. N2IU is sold in full at the open: the stop the book set at 1.25 was reached on tonight's close, the price has been below its risk line for six sessions and below its 200-day average, and the twelve-week view has fallen for a fifth straight session to about ten percent under the current price. Nothing was bought because nothing qualified - all eight names in the book printed a bearish or absent signal, and every single one projects lower over twelve weeks, so the buy pool was empty at source rather than filtered. OPERATIONAL: SGR-2 would independently bar all eight on Target_12Week < Close; SGR-3 never engaged; no BUY-ANTICIPATE print, so no anticipate slot. A17U printed the book's highest conviction at cv85 but as a BreakdownDown_52W on a -0 name in a long-only book - no action, though it corroborates the sector leg breaking down. Executor stale 21 trading days since 2026-08-03 with 15 consecutive dropped cards - BLOCKING. Learnings ACTIVE block 46 days old with six unpromoted PROPOSED blocks; overlay 59 days stale. Book goes to 100% cash (S) if this fills. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
17 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.043 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
48 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.