Recommendations
0 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| N2IU | Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr | 1.22 | SELL ALL | 1.22 | 1.25⚠ | 1.21 (-0.8%) | n/a | 1.08 (-11.5%) | Sell the whole position in Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust at the open. The stop the book set at 1.25 was reached yesterday and has now been broken outright - the trust closed at 1.22, two and a half percent through its own risk line, below every moving average including the 200-day, and just one and a half percent above its 52-week low. The twelve-week view has deteriorated for a sixth straight session to 1.08, roughly eleven percent below the current price, and the engine itself has escalated to an outright sell rating - the worst-ranked name in the book. No fresh news explains the slide; it is a steady de-rating from 1.40 in March to 1.22 now. Valuation played no part in this decision: REIT fair-value screening is unreliable on distribution-paying trusts and is deliberately given zero weight on this book. OPERATIONAL: this is a REPRICE of the 2026-09-02 full-exit decision, not a re-derivation - L3 compliance rests on three material changes (stop breach 0.0% -> 2.4%, label AVOID -> SELL - REDUCE/Sell_Rank 1, price 1.25 -> 1.22 forcing an action-price reprice). Basis L2/REIT-2: decisive stop-break + negative 12wk + close below EMA200 1.2939; the 1.280 line has been closed through for seven consecutive sessions. REIT-1 satisfied without leaning on a label alone (family is BreakdownDown_52W, not RallySell). Taken at 100% against the engine's 49.19% because a hit-then-broken stop is not renegotiable and this book's documented failure mode is not cutting (47 untaken trims, median -4.39% at 4wk). Scorecard bias 0 - BreakdownDown_52W|sell has NO cell; the +5 RallySell bias behind the 09-02 card does not carry. Market order, not the printed 1.23 sell-limit, because a limit does not fill on a gap-down open and this exit has already failed sixteen times; reprice if the open gaps >~1.5%. 4wk estimate is n/a - Target_Price is null on the anchor row (systemic finding #4); the 1wk 1.21 is the Est_Low/Est_High midpoint, an explicit substitute for the unavailable f=0.30 interpolation. ADR-0020 does NOT fire (6.0% erosion vs 15% threshold, unconfigured here). BLOCKING: Auto-Executor last ran 2026-08-03. · news |
| PORTFOLIO | sgreit | — | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | One disposal, no acquisitions. N2IU is sold in full at the open: the stop the book set at 1.25 has been broken by two and a half percent, the price sits below every moving average including the 200-day and just above its 52-week low, the twelve-week view has fallen a sixth straight session to about eleven percent below the current price, and the engine now rates it an outright sell and the worst-ranked name in the book. Nothing was bought because nothing qualified - six of eight names printed AVOID and the two that moved printed WATCH, not BUY, and every single name in the book projects lower over twelve weeks. OPERATIONAL: buy pool empty at source for a ninth session, so the 65 floor / quality gate / size modulator were never reached; SGR-2 would independently bar all eight on Target_12Week < Close; SGR-3 never engaged; no BUY-ANTICIPATE print, so no anticipate slot. Near-misses: M44U ReversalUp_Oversold WATCH cv58 (re-arm on a BUY print in the ReversalUp_*/PullbackBuy_VWAP family at conv >=65 WITH Target_12Week >= Close) and ME8U FailedBreakdown_Up_20D WATCH cv53 (L1-discounted family). BLOCKING: Auto-Executor last ran 2026-08-03 - 22 trading days, 16 consecutive dropped cards, measured outage cost now ~SLearnings promotion loop stalled 7 weeks with 6 inert PROPOSED blocks while section C contradicts the live scorecard. Step 8a learnings review NOT run. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
18 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.043 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
48 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.