Recommendations
0 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| N2IU | Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr | 1.20 | SELL ALL | 1.20 | 1.25⚠ | 1.19 (-0.5%) | 1.18 (-1.7%) | 0.99 (-17.5%) | Mapletree PanAsia Commercial Trust closed at 1.20 for a ninth straight session beneath our 1.250 risk line, below every moving average we track including the 200-day at 1.289, and US inflation data reached SGX today without any relief rally. The model's 12-week view sits at 0.99, about 17% lower, and with Fed and Bank of Japan decisions this week we are completing the full exit decided earlier this month rather than carrying a position 9.8% underwater with no risk line left to defend. Valuation played no part (REIT fair-value layer is non-informative here). OPERATIONAL: full exit at market on the 2026-09-15 open, proceeds ~Sbook goes 100% cash (~S). CARRIED card, not a new decision (PR-56 status repriced; price unchanged at 1.20): the 09-11 market order was dropped at the 09-14 open - 23rd consecutive dropped card, Auto-Executor stale since 2026-08-03 (PR-49 UNRECONCILED-infrastructure). Engine label de-escalated to AVOID conv 50 / HOLDING / Portion 0, but SGR-10: an L2/REIT-2-originated exit tests withdrawal conditions only - no stop reclaim, no fill, book 12wk negative (parent sg row prints 1.23, +2.5%, disclosed per PR-65). Note B shape (AVOID-degraded-from-SELL-REDUCE + below stop + negative 12wk). scorecard_bias 0 per PR-63(a): scorer's RallySell_BearTrend|sell +7 is 100% phantom re-issues. SGR-9: had 09-11 filled the book would be flat already. optional_trim counterfactual not cited (PR-57). Not a profit-take (PROFIT_ARMED defect, Gain_ATR -5.26). Estimates f=0.30 (L5): 1wk 1.194, 4wk 1.18 (Target_Price), 12wk 0.99 below DCF 1.0202. RE-DERIVE if 09-15 open > ~1.218; REPRICE and still execute if < ~1.182; else market. · news |
| PORTFOLIO | sgreit book | — | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No acquisitions: J69U's lone buy print is a single fresh reading with sub-1:1 printed risk/reward on a 52-week-low bar; A17U's 09-11 buy collapsed to AVOID 31 tonight. One disposal: the carried N2IU full exit, at market on the 2026-09-15 open; book goes 100% cash at ~SAnticipate slot empty. Auto-Executor stale since 2026-08-03 (23 dropped cards). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
25 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.043 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
48 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.