Recommendations
0 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N2IU | Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr | 1.20 | SELL ALL | 1.20 | 1.25⚠ | 1.18 (-1.7%) | 1.13 (-5.8%) | 0.99 (-17.5%) | Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust closed at 1.20, an eleventh straight session beneath our 1.250 risk line and below every moving average, and the model still reads the tape as a failed breakout to the downside - the sell pattern that has been most reliable on this REIT sleeve. With the 12-week view at 0.99 (about 17% lower) we complete the full exit decided earlier this month; valuation played no part. OPERATIONAL: full exit at market on the 2026-09-17 open (post-FOMC), proceeds ~Sbook goes 100% cash (~S). CARRIED card repriced 1.21 -> 1.20 (live Entry_Price, PR-56 status repriced): the 09-15 order was not filled at the 09-16 open (1.21, inside both gates) - 25th consecutive dropped card, Auto-Executor stale since 2026-08-03 (PR-49 UNRECONCILED-infrastructure). Signal FailedBreakout_Down_20D AVOID conv 53 (2nd print, REIT-1 trusted family). SGR-10: no stop reclaim, no fill, book 12wk negative (PR-65 parent divergence disclosed). scorecard_bias 0 per PR-63(a). Not a profit-take (PROFIT_ARMED defect, Gain_ATR -5.19). ADR-0020 not fired. Estimates f=0.30 (L5); 4wk = 4/12 linear path to Target_12Week (1.13, assumption, Target_Price blank); 12wk 0.99 below DCF 1.0202. RE-DERIVE if 09-17 open > ~1.218 or a close reclaims 1.25; REPRICE and still execute if < ~1.182; else market. · news |
| J69U | FRASERS CPT TR | 2.09 | WATCH | 2.09 | 2.09 | n/a | n/a | 1.72 (-17.7%) | Frasers Centrepoint Trust's buy signal did not confirm - it flipped back to a bearish failed-breakout read at conviction 57, so we stay out. BUY 57 -> AVOID 57; SGR-3/PR-51 declines of 09-14/09-15 vindicated. Re-arm: ReversalUp_*/OversoldBounce_* BUY at conv >= 71 and strengthening, R:R >= 1:1, close > EMA5 2.0961. |
| PORTFOLIO | sgreit book | — | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No acquisitions: every name in the REIT sleeve now carries a bearish label, including Frasers Centrepoint, whose buy signal failed to confirm. One disposal: the carried N2IU full exit, at market on the 2026-09-17 open (repriced 1.20); book goes 100% cash at ~SAnticipate slot empty. Auto-Executor stale since 2026-08-03 (25 dropped cards). Fair value fresh (2026-09-15). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
27 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.043 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.