Recommendations
0 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| N2IU | Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr | 1.28 | SELL 50% | 1.28 | 1.25 | 1.25 (-2.1%) | n/a | 1.19 (-7.0%) | Take half off Singapore's Mapletree PanAsia Commercial Trust at S. The trust has now closed below its 200-day average for twelve straight sessions and the model's twelve-week view sits 7% under today's price, so the trend and the forward view point the same way; the four-session bounce stalled today, giving back the 20- and 50-day averages it had reclaimed only yesterday. Valuation is not the reason to sell - the discount is far too shallow to matter and, on a distribution-paying REIT, this book treats the intrinsic-value screen as unreliable in any case. Sector news has turned from supportive to merely neutral: Singapore REITs lagged the broader market through the first half, and the central bank nudged policy tighter again in July while raising its inflation forecast. Selling half rather than exiting respects the genuine counterweight - the engine's conviction in the bearish read actually fell today, to its lowest of this sequence - and it puts the position in front of the two widest rate events of the next four sessions. OPERATIONAL: eleventh re-issue of the same card; the prior ten all lapsed unfilled because the auto-executor has not run since 2026-08-03 (16 trading days). Repriced from 1.29 to the live Entry_Price per the provenance rule - no carried-forward level. Basis is clause (B) alone (close below EMA200 + negative 12wk, L2/REIT-2); clause (A) decisive stop-break did NOT fire for a second session - close 1.28 tags the 1.280 pre-trim stop exactly. Clause (B) re-widened tonight from -0.27 to -0.69 ATR. Scorecard cell FailedBreakout_Down_20D|sell crossed to ACTIONABLE at n=5 but bias +0, so no adjustment was taken. Residual 72,600 on stop 1.25; triggers (A') close below 1.25 -> exit residual, (B') any SELL-REDUCE label -> act, (C') settled close above EMA200 ~1.2964 with Target_12Week >= close -> ladder VOID, revert to HOLD. Reprice if the open gaps outside 1.261-1.299. · news |
| — | Mapletree Industrial Trust | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Closest thing to a buy in the book and still declined. Second consecutive WATCH on the same signal, but conviction slipped - the confirming second print arrived weaker, which is the opposite of confirmation. Twelve points below the 65 floor; the model's twelve-week view is 4.2% below today's price, and this book does not initiate a REIT position into a projected decline. OPERATIONAL: fails floor by 12, SGR-2 (neg 12wk), SGR-3 (confirming print weakened not strengthened), L1 (FailedBreakdown_Up chases ~0.25 hit / ~60% stop-first). val_adj -10 nulled per SGR-1. Only name at/above its EMA200 in the sleeve (1.93 vs 1.92710). MSCI Aug review exposure 08-31 (+/-1.2%). RE-ARM: strengthening same-family print at conv >= 65 with Target_12Week >= Close, at the then-live Entry_Price. |
| — | FRASERS CPT TR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Highest conviction in the book tonight at 71 - but it is conviction in a bearish read, not a bullish one, and the twelve-week view is 10.5% below today's price, the worst forward gap in the sleeve. Not owned, nothing to do. OPERATIONAL: bearish family, unheld,. The 08-20 ReversalUp_Oversold conv-67 print has decayed four straight sessions - SGR-3 vindicated a twelfth time. Val_Signal NA (blank EPV) = SGR-1(b) silent abstention. |
| — | CapitaLand Ascendas REIT | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Bearish signal with conviction rebounding, and a twelve-week view 7.3% below today's price. Not owned; no action. OPERATIONAL: bearish family, unheld. Quality_Pass=False with a blank DCF - the SGR-1(a) over-penalty mode on a distribution payer; val_adj -10 nulled. |
| — | Mapletree Logistics Trust | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Gave back a cent and the signal engine's conviction collapsed, the largest single-session conviction move in the book - a fading bearish read rather than an emerging bullish one. Twelve-week view 8.6% below price. Not owned; no action. OPERATIONAL: bearish family, unheld. Val_Signal NA (negative EPV/share) = SGR-1(b) silent abstention, logged again. |
| — | CAPITALAND and ASCOTT STAPLE U | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | The only name the model still classes as trending, but conviction rebounded within the bearish family, and the twelve-week view is 8.1% under price. Gave back yesterday's cent. Not owned; watch for a family flip rather than act. OPERATIONAL: bearish family, unheld; val_adj -4 nulled per SGR-1. First name to watch for a bullish family flip. |
| — | CapitaLand Integrated Comm Tr | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | On the tape this is the best-positioned REIT in the book - comfortably above its 200-day average, the shallowest projected decline in the sleeve at 3.3%, and the heaviest trading volume - but the signal engine has printed no trade at zero conviction for five straight sessions, giving no entry, no stop and no target to size against. Nothing to act on. OPERATIONAL: NoTrade_Reason verbatim 'Consensus conflict + low conviction', 5th consecutive. Only name comfortably above EMA200 (2.40 vs 2.30866); 21.8M volume. Logged as systemic finding 9. val_adj -10 nulled per SGR-1. RE-ARM: a real bullish label at conv >= 65 with Target_12Week >= close, at the then-live Entry_Price - never a carried-forward level. |
| — | FRASER L&C TRUST | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Climbed above its 200-day average tonight, the second name in the book to do so, yet the signal engine still prints no trade at zero conviction for a fifth session - no entry, stop or target to size against. The countervailing fact is a twelve-week view 9.5% below price, the second-worst in the sleeve. Watch only. OPERATIONAL: NoTrade_Reason verbatim 'Consensus conflict + low conviction', 5th consecutive; close 0.95 vs EMA200 0.94238. Row self-contradiction persists (Bargain=True and Val_Signal=FAIR_VALUE vs MoS_FV -5.85) - systemic finding 7, twelfth session. val_adj -10 nulled per SGR-1. RE-ARM requires a real bullish label with Target_12Week >= close per SGR-2 plus SGR-3's confirming second print. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
12 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.043 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
48 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.