Recommendations
0 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| N2IU | Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr | 1.23 | SELL ALL | 1.23 | 1.25⚠ | n/a | n/a | 1.06 (-13.8%) | Mapletree PanAsia Commercial Trust has closed below its 1.250 risk line for a sixth straight session and now sits under every moving average we track, including the 200-day at 1.2915, while the model's own 12-week view has fallen again to 1.06 - roughly 14% below today's price. Tonight the engine itself returned to a full-exit call (STRONG SELL, top-ranked sell, status CLOSING), so the label, the trend, the risk line and our own track record on this signal family all point the same way; with a US CPI print two sessions away and Fed and Bank of Japan decisions that name this trust's Japanese assets directly, we are stepping out of a position that has already given back 7.5% rather than holding it through a rate gauntlet. Valuation played no part in this decision (SGR-1/REIT-2 - the REIT fair-value layer is treated as non-informative here, val_adj 0). OPERATIONAL: full exit at market on the 2026-09-10 open; proceeds ~Sbook goes 100% cash. This is a REPRICE (1.23 -> 1.23) of the 09-02/03/04/07/08 full-exit thread, NOT a new derivation - the 09-08 card's re-derive trigger (open above ~1.251) did not fire (open 1.23) and the reprice trigger (below ~1.212) did not either. Adj conviction 67 + 0 (SGR-1) + 6 (scorecard FailedBreakout_Down_20D|sell n=12 hit_1w.778) = 73, CLEARS the 65 floor on the label itself - unlike 09-08's 52, which carried on L2/note-B. NOT a profit-take: PROFIT_ARMED is a defect on a -7.52% position (Gain_ATR -4.24, T12_Progress 116% because Target_12Week 1.06 < Avg_Cost 1.33) - systemic finding 2. L2/L3/REIT-1 applied; REIT-2 satisfied (valuation zero-weight). ADR-0020 does not fire (5.3% erosion vs 15%, unconfigured). Estimates: 1wk n/a (Est band exactly symmetric close +/-2.00%, 5th session), 4wk n/a (Target_Price null, 5th session), 12wk 1.06 = -13.8% (3.9% above the 1.0202 DCF anchor). 52W low 1.2020 is 2.3% below; today's low 1.21 came within 0.7% of it. RE-DERIVE if the 09-10 open gaps above ~1.251 (reclaims the stop); REPRICE if below ~1.212. Twentieth consecutive dropped card - Auto-Executor stale since 2026-08-03 (26 sessions), measured thread cost ~S. · news |
| PORTFOLIO | sgreit book | — | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No acquisitions: for a thirteenth consecutive session not one of the eight REITs printed a bullish label, and every single one now carries a negative model 12-week view (-9.9% to -16.5%), so SGR-2 would bar each independently even if a buy signal appeared. J69U and HMN jumped to conviction 84 tonight but that is bearish conviction on BreakdownDown_20D - the sleeve deteriorating, not a setup. ME8U's re-arm failed a third session (NoTrade, 'Consensus conflict + low conviction'). One disposal: the N2IU full exit. Post-execution the book is 100% cash at SAnticipate slot empty (no BUY - ANTICIPATE print in the last 3 snapshots). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
22 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.043 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
48 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.