Recommendations
0 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N2IU | Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr | 1.21 | SELL ALL | 1.21 | 1.25⚠ | 1.19 (-1.7%) | 1.14 (-5.8%) | 1.00 (-17.4%) | Mapletree PanAsia Commercial Trust closed flat at 1.21 for a thirteenth straight session beneath our 1.250 risk line and about 6% below its 200-day average, even as nearly 20 million units traded on the index-rebalance close; the model's bearish failed-breakout read held for a fourth session (conviction 60) and its 12-week view sits at 1.00, about 17% lower. We complete the full exit decided earlier this month; valuation played no part. OPERATIONAL: full exit at market on the 2026-09-21 open (China LPR day), proceeds ~Sbook goes 100% cash (~S). CARRIED card at 1.21 (live Entry_Price, PR-56 status repriced): the 09-17 order was not filled at the 09-18 open (1.21, inside both gates) - 27th consecutive dropped card, Auto-Executor stale since 2026-08-03 (PR-49 UNRECONCILED-infrastructure). SGR-10: no stop reclaim, no fill, book 12wk negative (parent sg divergence disclosed per PR-65). scorecard_bias 0 per PR-63(a). Not a profit-take (PROFIT_ARMED defect, Gain_ATR -5.17). ADR-0020 not fired. Estimates f=0.30 (L5); 4wk = 4/12 linear path to Target_12Week (1.14, assumption, Target_Price blank); 12wk 1.00 below DCF 1.0202. RE-DERIVE if 09-21 open > ~1.228 or a close reclaims 1.25; REPRICE and still execute if < ~1.192; else market. · news |
| J69U | FRASERS CPT TR | 2.10 | WATCH | 2.10 | 2.10 | n/a | n/a | 1.74 (-17.1%) | Frasers Centrepoint Trust held 2.10 but still carries a bearish failed-breakout label (conviction 60) and a 12-week view of 1.74, so we stay out. Re-arm: ReversalUp_*/OversoldBounce_* BUY at conv >= 71 and strengthening, R:R >= 1:1, close > EMA5 2.0982. |
| BUOU | FRASER L&C TRUST | 0.89 | WATCH | 0.89 | 0.86 | n/a | 0.91 (+2.2%) | 0.72 (-19.1%) | Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust printed its first oversold-reversal read after weeks of bearish labels, but only as a WATCH at conviction 57, with a printed target (0.91) closer than its stop (0.86) and a 12-week view of 0.72, so we do not buy. Re-arm: ReversalUp_* BUY >= 65 with printed R:R >= 1:1 (SGR-11) and close > EMA5 0.8964. |
| PORTFOLIO | sgreit book | — | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No acquisitions: seven of eight REITs carry bearish labels (Mapletree Logistics printed a fresh 52-week breakdown) and the one reversal read, BUOU, is a sub-threshold WATCH. One disposal: the carried N2IU full exit, at market on the 2026-09-21 open (ref 1.21); book goes 100% cash at ~SAnticipate slot empty. Auto-Executor stale since 2026-08-03 (27 dropped cards). Fair value fresh (2026-09-15). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
29 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.043 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.