Recommendations
0 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| N2IU | Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr | 1.21 | SELL ALL | 1.21 | 1.25⚠ | 1.19 (-1.4%) | 1.15 (-4.7%) | 1.04 (-14.0%) | Mapletree PanAsia Commercial Trust closed at 1.21, its twenty-second session below our 1.250 risk line, under its 50/100/200-day averages and near its 52-week low. The model still projects 1.04 (about 14% lower) over 12 weeks, so we complete the full exit decided last month; valuation played no part. OPERATIONAL: LATE CATCH-UP written about 10:00 SGT 2026-10-02, after the 10-02 open. Full exit at market on the 2026-10-02 open / next available print, ref 1.21 (settled close; Entry_Price blank because NO TRADE 0 is the SG liquidity-gate spread leg, range 3.31% > 3%, PR-43/PR-37a). Proceeds ~S; book goes 100% cash (~S). CARRIED card (PR-56 status repriced): the 09-30 order was not filled at the 10-01 open (1.22, inside gates). This is the 36th consecutive dropped card; Auto-Executor stale since 2026-08-03 (PR-49). L2/REIT-2 origination, SGR-10 no withdrawal. scorecard_bias 0 per PR-63(a). Not a profit-take (PROFIT_ARMED defect, Gain_ATR -4.26). ADR-0020 not fired. Estimates f=0.30 (L5); 4wk = 4/12 linear path to Target_12Week (assumption). RE-DERIVE if the print is > ~1.228 or a close reclaims 1.25; REPRICE and still execute if < ~1.192; else market. · news |
| M44U | Mapletree Logistics Trust | 1.10 | WATCH | 1.10 | 1.10 | n/a | n/a | 0.89 (-19.1%) | Mapletree Logistics Trust edged up to 1.10, but the model's bearish failed-breakout read firmed to conviction 78 with a 12-week view of 0.89, so it stays off the buy list into the US payrolls gap. Re-arm: ReversalUp_Oversold >= 65 with 12wk >= close and a printed R:R >= 1:1. |
| PORTFOLIO | sgreit book | — | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No acquisitions: no REIT in the sleeve prints a buy signal, and all eight sit below their 200-day averages with negative 12-week views. One disposal: the carried N2IU full exit, at market on the 2026-10-02 open (ref 1.21); book goes 100% cash at ~SLATE CATCH-UP verdict for EOD 2026-10-01, written after the 10-02 open. Anticipate slot empty. Auto-Executor stale since 2026-08-03 (36 dropped cards). Fair value regenerated 2026-10-02. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
36 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-1.444 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.