US — Graded decisions
Every past recommendation whose target window has elapsed, scored against what actually happened. This is how we keep ourselves honest.
How to read this
- Graded — the recommendation’s horizon has passed, so we can score it.
- Hit target — price reached the model’s target. Stopped out — it hit the protective stop first. Closed — neither; it ran to the horizon. Not filled — a queued order that never triggered.
- 1wk / 4wk — the actual price return over that window after the decision.
| Date | Ticker | Decision | Signal | Outcome | 1wk | 4wk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | META | SELL 100% | BreakdownDown_52W | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-07-31 | NVDA | SELL 50% | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-07-30 | META | SELL 100% | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-07-30 | MU | SELL 50% | NoTrade | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-07-30 | NVDA | SELL 50% | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-07-29 | KLAC | SELL 50% | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-07-29 | MU | SELL 50% | NoTrade | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-07-29 | META | SELL 100% | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-07-29 | AAPL | BUY QUEUED @341.50 | MomentumContinuation_Up | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-07-28 | AAPL | ADD QUEUED @316.32 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | — | — |
| 2026-07-28 | KLAC | SELL 30% | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-07-28 | META | SELL 100% | NoTrade | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-07-28 | GOOGL | SELL 100% | NoTrade | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-07-25 | AAPL | BUY QUEUED @308.38 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-07-25 | GOOGL | SELL 100% | NoTrade | Closed | +8.7% | — |
| 2026-07-25 | META | SELL 100% | NoTrade | Closed | -8.0% | — |
| 2026-07-25 | NVDA | SELL 30% | NoTrade | Closed | -4.7% | — |
| 2026-07-24 | META | SELL 100% | NoTrade | Closed | -12.4% | — |
| 2026-07-24 | GOOGL | SELL 100% | NoTrade | Closed | +4.4% | — |
| 2026-07-24 | NVDA | SELL 30% | NoTrade | Closed | -5.7% | — |
| 2026-07-23 | NVDA | SELL 30 | NoSignal | Closed | -9.6% | — |
| 2026-07-22 | GLW | SELL 150 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | -28.9% | — |
| 2026-07-22 | NVDA | SELL 30 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | -6.3% | — |
| 2026-07-21 | GLW | SELL 150 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | -9.2% | — |
| 2026-07-21 | SNDK | SELL | NoTrade | Closed | -8.2% | — |
| 2026-07-21 | NVDA | SELL | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | -2.1% | — |
| 2026-07-18 | GLW | SELL | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | -3.8% | — |
| 2026-07-18 | SNDK | SELL | NoTrade | Closed | +9.7% | — |
| 2026-07-18 | NVDA | SELL | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | +2.3% | — |
| 2026-07-18 | AAPL | BUY-ANTICIPATE QUEUED @335.48 | AnticipationUp_VCP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-07-17 | AAPL | BUY-ANTICIPATE QUEUED @329.58 | AnticipationUp_VCP | Stopped out | -0.6% | — |
| 2026-07-17 | NBIS | SELL 50% | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | +32.0% | — |
| 2026-07-17 | GLW | SELL 100% | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | +0.3% | — |
| 2026-07-17 | SNDK | SELL 50% | NoTrade | Closed | +16.3% | — |
| 2026-07-17 | NVDA | SELL 30% | NoTrade | Closed | +0.6% | — |
| 2026-07-16 | AMD | BUY 18 @539.28 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | +2.1% | — |
| 2026-07-16 | GLW | SELL | NoTrade | Closed | -8.4% | — |
| 2026-07-16 | NVDA | SELL | NoSignal | Closed | -2.6% | — |
| 2026-07-16 | SNDK | SELL | NoTrade | Closed | -1.1% | — |
| 2026-07-15 | DELL | BUY QUEUED @423.60 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | +6.0% | — |
| 2026-07-15 | SNDK | SELL profit-take | NoTrade | Closed | -14.0% | — |
| 2026-07-14 | NVDA | SELL | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | +1.2% | — |
| 2026-07-14 | SNDK | SELL | NoTrade | Closed | -14.8% | — |
| 2026-07-11 | SNDK | SELL | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | -25.0% | — |
| 2026-07-10 | NVDA | SELL | NoTrade | Closed | +3.0% | — |
| 2026-07-10 | SNDK | SELL | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | -19.4% | — |
| 2026-07-10 | DELL | ADD QUEUED @416.78 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | -3.5% | — |
| 2026-07-09 | NVDA | SELL | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | +2.8% | -1.6% |
| 2026-07-09 | GOOGL | SELL | NoTrade | Closed | +1.9% | -1.6% |
| 2026-07-07 | NVDA | SELL | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | +6.7% | +0.6% |
| 2026-07-07 | GOOGL | SELL | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | -3.0% | -9.5% |
| 2026-07-07 | TSM | BUY 56 @451.79 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | -4.4% | -10.2% |
| 2026-07-07 | SNOW | ADD QUEUED @242.58 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-07-03 | KLAC | SELL | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | -6.3% | -10.6% |
| 2026-07-03 | NVDA | SELL | NoTrade | Closed | +1.2% | +6.2% |
| 2026-07-03 | GOOGL | SELL | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | +0.6% | -11.2% |
| 2026-07-03 | SNOW | BUY NEW 95 QUEUED gtc-limit @266.58 | MomentumContinuation_Up | Closed | -1.6% | +0.8% |
| 2026-07-03 | AMD | BUY NEW 25 QUEUED gtc-limit @521.71 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | +6.4% | -6.9% |
| 2026-07-01 | ASML | ACQUIRE NEW ~15 @1989 PENDING next open | MomentumContinuation_Up | Stopped out | -7.0% | -8.5% |
| 2026-07-01 | KLAC | ACQUIRE-ADD ~70 @280 QUEUED gtc-limit, ->970 | BreakoutUp_20D | Stopped out | -23.5% | -23.4% |
| 2026-07-01 | SNDK | ACQUIRE NEW ~5 starter +10 QUEUED @1979 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | -8.9% | -17.1% |
| 2026-07-01 | GLW | ACQUIRE-ADD ~60 @>261 QUEUED gtc-stop, ->210 | AnticipationUp_VCP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-06-30 | AVGO | EXIT | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | -3.2% | +3.6% |
| 2026-06-30 | KLAC | ADD | MomentumContinuation_Up | Stopped out | -15.4% | -22.0% |
| 2026-06-30 | MU | ADD | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | -14.8% | -15.0% |
| 2026-06-30 | LRCX | BUY | MomentumContinuation_Up | Stopped out | -14.5% | -22.1% |
| 2026-06-30 | GLW | ADD | BreakoutUp_52W | Stopped out | -12.6% | -31.2% |
| 2026-06-27 | NVDA | REDUCE | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | +1.2% | +7.0% |
| 2026-06-27 | GOOGL | EXIT | NoTrade | Closed | +6.7% | +6.3% |
| 2026-06-27 | SNOW | BUY | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Hit target (1w) | +4.5% | +9.7% |
| 2026-06-27 | LLY | ADD | BreakoutUp_20D | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-06-26 | NVDA | TRIM | NoTrade | Closed | +1.1% | +3.6% |
| 2026-06-26 | GOOGL | EXIT | NoTrade | Closed | +5.3% | +0.9% |
| 2026-06-26 | MU | ADD | BreakoutUp_52W | Stopped out | -16.6% | -30.2% |
| 2026-06-26 | GLW | ADD | BreakoutUp_52W | Stopped out | -9.5% | -27.8% |
| 2026-06-26 | DELL | BUY | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | -1.3% | -3.6% |
| 2026-06-25 | QCOM | EXIT 100% @197.41 | NoTrade | Closed | -6.8% | -14.8% |
| 2026-06-25 | NVDA | TRIM 20% @199 | NoTrade | Closed | -2.1% | +2.5% |
| 2026-06-25 | GOOGL | EXIT 100% @345.29 | NoTrade | Closed | +4.8% | +0.0% |
| 2026-06-25 | GLW | ADD QUEUED gtc-stop @212.74 breakout; BUY-ADD cv78 | BreakoutUp_20D | Stopped out | -1.3% | -27.3% |
| 2026-06-25 | MU | ADD QUEUE pullback ~1100; BUY-ADD cv71 post-blowout; don't chase +14% AH gap | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | -11.3% | -15.7% |
| 2026-06-25 | ASX | ACQUIRE @41.34 | BreakoutUp_20D | Stopped out | +5.1% | -7.7% |
| 2026-06-24 | LLY | QUEUED gtc-stop @1122.58 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Hit target (4w) | +9.1% | +5.0% |
| 2026-06-24 | AMD | QUEUED gtc-limit @513.42 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | +2.8% | -3.4% |
| 2026-06-24 | ARM | QUEUED gtc-stop @385.61 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-06-23 | AMD | ACQUIRE QUEUED gtc-limit 510.51 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | +3.4% | -2.9% |
| 2026-06-23 | COHR | ACQUIRE 425.48; 0.5x | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | -14.3% | -34.9% |
| 2026-06-23 | TSM | ACQUIRE 467.67 | BreakoutUp_52W | Stopped out | -3.4% | -14.8% |
| 2026-06-19 | INTC | STRONG BUY | BreakoutUp_20D | Stopped out | -2.8% | -28.9% |
| 2026-06-19 | MRVL | STRONG BUY | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | -10.7% | -39.6% |
| 2026-06-19 | QCOM | BUY - ADD | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | -18.6% | -25.6% |
| 2026-06-19 | ARM | STRONG BUY | MomentumContinuation_Up | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-06-18 | NBIS | ADD ~70 | BreakoutUp_20D | Stopped out | -16.6% | -36.0% |
| 2026-06-18 | INTC | BUY new | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | +6.8% | -22.0% |
| 2026-06-18 | MSFT | EXIT executed | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | -0.5% | +2.1% |
| 2026-06-18 | LLY | BUY-ADD cv71 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | KLAC | TRIM 50% — stands | NoTrade | Closed | +14.9% | -10.5% |
| 2026-06-16 | ASML | BUY | MomentumContinuation_Up | Stopped out | -8.1% | -6.6% |
| 2026-06-16 | AAOI | BUY | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | -31.9% | -46.5% |
| 2026-06-16 | INTC | BUY | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-06-13 | INTC | BUY | MomentumContinuation_Up | Stopped out | -3.0% | -26.5% |
| 2026-06-13 | ARM | BUY | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | +1.9% | -19.5% |
| 2026-06-13 | TSM | BUY starter at Monday open ~423.93 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | +6.6% | -6.0% |
| 2026-06-13 | ASML | Near-miss adj 68; keep carried GTC 1833.28 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | -1.1% | -4.7% |
| 2026-06-12 | ASML | GTC 1833.28 starter | BreakoutUp_20D | Closed | -1.1% | -4.7% |
| 2026-06-12 | GS | GTC 1017.96 re-armed | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Hit target (4w) | +1.1% | +4.6% |
| 2026-06-12 | TSM | GTC 421.88 optional | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | +6.8% | -5.6% |
| 2026-06-11 | GS | BUY starter | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Hit target (4w) | +1.5% | +5.0% |
| 2026-06-11 | MS | BUY starter ~205 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Hit target (4w) | +2.8% | +5.4% |
| 2026-06-11 | QCOM | EXIT | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | -3.8% | -12.0% |
| 2026-06-10 | QCOM | Tighten 196; reduce on break | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Closed | -7.6% | -15.6% |
| 2026-06-10 | GS | GTC ~1000 post-FOMC | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-06-09 | KLAC | STRONG BUY-ADD staged post-FOMC | BreakoutUp_52W | Stopped out | -88.5% | -90.2% |
| 2026-06-09 | ASML | BUY starter | BreakoutUp_52W | Hit target (1w) | +1.8% | -1.9% |
| 2026-06-08 | AMKR | EXIT FULL | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | +17.4% | -10.4% |
| 2026-06-05 | NVDA | BUY-ADD | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | -10.9% | -6.7% |
| 2026-06-05 | AAOI | BUY GTC ~190 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | -29.6% | -44.8% |
| 2026-06-05 | AMKR | EXIT FULL | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | +23.6% | -5.7% |
| 2026-06-05 | NBIS | TRIM 50% | NoTrade | Closed | +2.3% | -21.5% |
| 2026-06-05 | LLY | ADD GTC ~1080 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |