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US End-of-Day Verdict 11 Nov 2026, 16:00:00 GMT-5 Decided by: Manual

US — End-of-Day Verdict

EOD 2026-11-12 (us)

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Total-Return Index · Q4 2026 93.7 -6.3% QTD Performance ›

Event Horizon · next 10 trading days as of 2026-11-09

⚠ Event-dense: 2026-11-10 · 2026-11-12

DateEventScopeNames Dir1wk band(ATR)Stance
11-10
Rocket Lab Q3 (reports 9 Nov after close; reaction session 10 Nov)
The only listed launch peer to SPCX. Launch cadence and Neutron timing read through to space-sector sentiment. SPCX supply (the 180-day unlock, about 8 Dec) stays the larger driver. Band anchored on SPCX. confidence: low · source
ecosystem RKLBSPCXH ↕ ±3.0% ±0.4 none
11-10
October CPI, 08:30 ET
Consensus is core +0.2% m/m, with the annual core rate rising to 2.7% from 2.6% (Investing.com, 8 Nov). December hike odds are about 78% after the +165K payrolls beat. The Nasdaq is in correction, nearly 12% off its 6 Oct record, after SOX fell 12% on 5 Nov. A hot print hits long-duration tech hardest with the 10-year near 5%. A soft print has room to squeeze an oversold book. Band anchored on GOOGL. confidence: med · source
macro GOOGLHLLYHSPCXHNVDAHOKTAHNETHKLACHAVGOHSKHYH ↕ -3.0…+2.0% -0.7…+0.5 hold through
11-10
CoreWeave Q3 (after close, company-confirmed, call 17:00 ET)
The largest GPU-cloud buyer tests AI-financing stress (debt, backlog conversion) right after the post-midterm data-center policy selloff. It reads to NVDA demand durability one week before NVDA prints. Band anchored on NVDA. confidence: med · source
ecosystem CRWVNVDAH ↕ ±3.0% ±0.6 none
11-10
TSMC October revenue (about the 10th, inferred from cadence, not confirmed)
Monthly foundry revenue proxies AI-accelerator wafer and CoWoS volumes. CoWoS volumes pair with HBM stacks, which is the SKHY linkage. The Sep report came on 8 Oct and the Aug report on 10 Sep. Band anchored on NVDA. confidence: low · source
ecosystem TSMNVDAHSKHYH ↕ ±1.5% ±0.3 none
11-11
MSCI November index review announcement (effective 30 Nov close)
SPCX is already in MSCI USA and ACWI, so the review changes its weight (float growth after the Oct unlock) rather than adding it. The flow lands at the 30 Nov close, outside the window. The announcement itself can move the stock. Band anchored on SPCX. confidence: low · source
structure SPCXH ↕ ±2.0% ±0.3 none
11-12
Applied Materials FQ4 FY26 (after close, company-confirmed)
The closest WFE peer to KLAC. Its FY27 equipment guide, China mix and leading-edge/HBM tool demand read straight to KLAC orders. The chip complex had its worst day since 2020 on 5 Nov and only partly rebounded on 6 Nov. Band anchored on KLAC. confidence: high · source
ecosystem AMATKLACHLRCX ↕ ±5.0% ±0.6 none
11-12
Cisco FQ1 FY27 (after close, company-confirmed, call 16:30 ET)
Cisco AI-networking orders from hyperscalers read to AVGO Ethernet switching (Tomahawk/Jericho) demand. Band anchored on AVGO. confidence: med · source
ecosystem CSCOAVGOH ↕ ±2.0% ±0.3 none
11-12
Nebius Q3 (before the open, company-announced)
A watch row with its own print: GPU-cloud capacity, ARR and capex financing. CoreWeave two days earlier sets the tone. Band anchored on NBIS. confidence: high · source
direct NBIS ↕ ±15.0% ±1.1 none
11-13
October PPI, 08:30 ET
The second inflation read after CPI. It mostly confirms or softens the CPI reaction on the December hike odds. Band anchored on GOOGL. confidence: low · source
macro GOOGLHLLYHSPCXHNVDAHOKTAHNETHKLACHAVGOHSKHYH ↕ ±1.5% ±0.3 none
11-13
Eli Lilly ex-dividend date
A mechanical price adjustment of about one quarterly dividend. Immaterial against the trail. Band anchored on LLY. confidence: med · source
direct LLYH ▼ -0.2…0.0% -0.1…0.0 none
11-17
October retail sales, 08:30 ET (calendar date, not re-checked)
A consumer-demand read that feeds the December hike debate after a strong payrolls print. Second-order for this book. Band anchored on GOOGL. confidence: low · source
macro GOOGLHLLYHSPCXHNVDAHOKTAHNETHKLACHAVGOHSKHYH ↕ ±1.0% ±0.2 none
11-17
NVIDIA FQ3 FY27 (after close: release about 13:20 PT, call 17:00 ET, company-confirmed)
The book event of the window. The revenue guide is 108B +/-2%. It is the first hard read on AI-capex durability since the 5 Nov tech rout (S&P tech -7.3%) and the post-midterm data-center policy scare. NVDA carries a live re-committed sell trigger, currently below the conviction floor, and the 18 Nov settled close decides it, not the after-hours move. AVGO (AI ASICs/networking), SKHY (HBM supplier) and KLAC (leading-edge capacity) typically move 1/3 to 1/2 as much as NVDA. Band anchored on NVDA. confidence: high · source
direct NVDAHAVGOHSKHYHKLACHTSMMU ↕ ±8.0% ±1.5 hold through
11-18
Palo Alto Networks FQ1 FY27 (after close, company-confirmed, webcast 16:30 ET)
The largest security platform. Its billings and platformization commentary read to security-budget health for OKTA (identity) and NET (Zero Trust/SASE). NET has already printed, and OKTA has no date yet. Band anchored on OKTA. confidence: med · source
ecosystem PANWOKTAHNETH ↕ ±2.0% ±0.2 none
11-18
FOMC minutes for the 27-28 Oct meeting (about 3 weeks later; date estimated)
The 10-2 hold had two hike dissents (Cook, Hammack). The minutes show how broad the appetite for a December hike is. Band anchored on GOOGL. confidence: low · source
macro GOOGLHLLYHSPCXHNVDAHOKTAHNETHKLACHAVGOHSKHYH ↕ ±1.0% ±0.2 none
11-20
November monthly options expiry (third Friday)
Monthly options expiry lands 3 sessions after NVDA prints. Post-earnings dealer gamma unwinds can extend or reverse the NVDA-complex move into the close. Band anchored on GOOGL. confidence: med · source
structure GOOGLHLLYHSPCXHNVDAHOKTAHNETHKLACHAVGOHSKHYH ↕ ±1.5% ±0.3 none

Scenario bands estimate how far a scheduled event could plausibly move a name within a week, in both directions where the outcome is binary. They are research context for the book's decisions — the signal engine, not the calendar, decides trades.

Today's recommendations

0 to acquire · 3 to dispose

TickerNameCloseActionAction Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. Rationale
GOOGLAlphabet A298.70SELL 22.8%298.70342.20⚠302.14 (+1.2%)315.98 (+5.8%)344.54 (+15.3%)Alphabet printed a second straight settled STRONG SELL (cv) and sits 12.7% under its 342.20 stop and below its 200-day average. A TPU read-through rally is not a company-specific catalyst. Repriced 11-11 card (unexecuted); keep on 342.20. · news
SPCXSpace Exploration Tech139.94SELL 30%139.94156.54⚠138.89 (-0.8%)139.04 (-0.6%)164.61 (+17.6%)SpaceX shares printed a fifth straight settled STRONG SELL and faded from a 147.58 high, 10.6% under the 156.54 stop. Merger-talk headlines are undated context. Repriced 11-11 card (unexecuted); keep through the MSCI effective date 11- (US-85). · news
NVDANVIDIA166.19SELL 30%166.19228.72⚠170.59 (+2.6%)181.21 (+9.0%)189.33 (+13.9%)NVIDIA's CEO Jensen Huang resigned and the stock printed a STRONG SELL breakdown (cv85), 27% under its stop and below its 200-day average, firing the pre-committed 11-11 trigger. Trims 30% ahead of the 11-17 print; BreakdownDown_20D|sell cell is -8 (hit_4w 0), stated; keep. · news
KLACKLA157.30NO ACTION157.30194.81⚠n/a155.66 (-1.0%)181.40 (+15.3%)KLA is 19.3% under its 194.81 stop but prints AVOID cv49 with no sell label, so no sell originates. 11th unexecuted EOD; a TAKEN/SKIPPED Disposition is owed (US-37). Trigger: a settled SR/SSR with adj >= 65, or settled <= 150.00, through file 20261119_060012.
NETCloudflare318.50NO ACTION318.50336.93⚠n/a322.72 (+1.3%)332.72 (+4.5%)Cloudflare slipped from a lone STRONG SELL to AVOID cv64 on a +1.1% close with a positive 12wk view, so no sell fires. Tightened trigger (US-62): a settled SR/SSR, or settled <= 295.98, through file 20261119_060012 (PANW 11-18).
SKHYSK hynix137.71NO ACTION137.71129.19n/a145.75 (+5.8%)179.72 (+30.5%)SK hynix fell back to AVOID cv61 and sits above its 129.19 stop with a rising 12wk view. Trigger: a settled SR/SSR, or settled <= 127.25, through file 20261119_060012.
OKTAOkta182.54NO ACTION182.54213.23⚠n/a192.10 (+5.2%)197.35 (+8.1%)Okta's 8th NO TRADE is uncorroborated (close +0.2%, 12wk 197.35 rising), so the T12-armed position holds (US-71/US-33). Re-based to 30% of after the discretionary 11- buy. Trigger: a settled SR/SSR, or settled <= 165.00, through file 20261119_060012.
AVGOBroadcom364.36NO ACTION364.36331.53n/a361.91 (-0.7%)377.59 (+3.6%)Broadcom rallied 5.5% on the NVIDIA rotation; armed via T12 but no tick fired, so the trail is raised 316.36 -> 331.53 (close - 1.5 ATR). Trigger: settled <= 326.56, or a settled SR/SSR, through file 20261119_060012.
LLYEli Lilly1427.28NO ACTION1427.281365.17n/a1430.06 (+0.2%)1547.58 (+8.4%)Lilly is profit-armed (Gain_ATR 8.26) but no deterioration tick fired, so it holds on the 1365.17 trail. Trigger: a fired ADR-0012 tick (2nd corroborated NO TRADE, conviction collapse from a bullish row, new Exit_Warning), or settled <= 1344.69, through file 20261119_060012.
TSLATesla397.45NO ACTION397.45385.20398.07 (+0.2%)396.69 (-0.2%)415.38 (+4.5%)Tesla printed a fresh BUY cv69 (adj 71) on a failed breakdown, clearing the floor, but acquires are vetoed while owed sells are unreconciled (US-56). WATCH: on a 2nd consecutive BUY print, buy at the live Entry_Price if US-56 has lifted. Quality_Pass False is an implausible-parse artifact (US-60).
VISTVista Energy55.49NO ACTION55.4948.2856.41 (+1.7%)57.69 (+4.0%)58.45 (+5.3%)Vista Energy printed a fresh oversold-bounce BUY cv63 and is undervalued with quality (adj), but acquires are vetoed under US-56. WATCH: on a 2nd consecutive BUY print, buy at the live Entry_Price if US-56 has lifted.
AAPLApple354.88BUY-STOP356.78330.69357.64 (+0.2%)358.07 (+0.4%)360.31 (+1.0%)Apple printed a 2nd BUY - ANTICIPATE (2 of the last 3, cv69, adj 68), making it anticipate-eligible, but the pre-commitment required US-56 to lift and it has not. WATCH: GTC buy-stop at the live Entry_Price, 0.5x slot x0.5, once US-56 lifts.

Outcome & track record

How accurate the calls have been.

351 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.310 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.

Signal-type track record How each signal *type* has performed across ALL of this book's past decisions — not a per-stock note. 'bias' is the conviction nudge (+/-) applied to a fresh signal of that type; n = sample size, hit_1w = share that hit the 1-week target. Reliable cells earn a boost; weak ones a haircut.

How each signal type has performed across this book's past decisions (aggregate, not per-stock) — and the conviction nudge it earns.

  • AnticipationUp_VCP (buy): 15 past trades, 93% hit the 1-week target → +9 conviction nudge.
  • AnticipationUp_VCP (sell): 5 past trades, 75% hit the 1-week target → +5 conviction nudge.
  • BreakdownDown_20D (sell): 10 past trades, 13% hit the 1-week target → -8 conviction nudge.
  • BreakoutUp_20D (buy): 8 past trades, 25% hit the 1-week target → -5 conviction nudge.
  • BreakoutUp_52W (buy): 13 past trades, 50% hit the 1-week target → no conviction nudge.
  • FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (buy): 19 past trades, 58% hit the 1-week target → +2 conviction nudge.
  • FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (sell): 27 past trades, 44% hit the 1-week target → -1 conviction nudge.
  • FailedBreakout_Down_20D (sell): 75 past trades, 67% hit the 1-week target → +3 conviction nudge.
  • MomentumContinuation_Up (buy): 6 past trades, 33% hit the 1-week target → -3 conviction nudge.
  • NoSignal (sell): 6 past trades, 33% hit the 1-week target → -3 conviction nudge.
  • NoTrade (sell): 88 past trades, 30% hit the 1-week target → -4 conviction nudge.
  • PullbackBuy_VWAP (buy): 32 past trades, 32% hit the 1-week target → -4 conviction nudge.
  • PullbackBuy_VWAP (sell): 6 past trades, 67% hit the 1-week target → +3 conviction nudge.
  • RallySell_BearTrend (sell): 27 past trades, 37% hit the 1-week target → -3 conviction nudge.

Portfolio & signals

Every name we scanned, and where it stands.

TickerNameCloseSignal The chart pattern the engine detected on this name. Hover a signal for its one-line definition; click it for the full setup/trigger rules, the trade box it produces, and the newsletter issue that teaches the underlying concept. ActionConv1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.
HNVIDIA Corporation166.19BreakdownDown_20DSTRONG SELL - REDUCE85170.59 (+2.6%)n/a189.33 (+13.9%)
HSpace Exploration Tech Corp139.94FailedBreakout_Down_20DSTRONG SELL - REDUCE76138.89 (-0.8%)n/a164.61 (+17.6%)
HAlphabet, Inc.- Class A298.70FailedBreakout_Down_20DSTRONG SELL - REDUCE75302.14 (+1.2%)n/a344.54 (+15.3%)
HCloudflare, Inc.318.50FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID64316.79 (-0.5%)n/a332.72 (+4.5%)
HSK hynix Inc.137.71FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID61137.21 (-0.4%)n/a179.72 (+30.5%)
HKLA Corporation157.30FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID49156.16 (-0.7%)n/a181.40 (+15.3%)
HBroadcom Inc364.36NoSignalAVOID0365.29 (+0.3%)n/a377.59 (+3.6%)
HEli Lilly & Co1427.28NoTradeNO TRADE01442.10 (+1.0%)n/a1547.58 (+8.4%)
HOkta Inc.182.54NoTradeNO TRADE0184.20 (+0.9%)n/a197.35 (+8.1%)
Tesla Inc397.45FailedBreakdown_Up_20DBUY69398.07 (+0.2%)433.91 (+9.2%)415.38 (+4.5%)
Apple354.88AnticipationUp_VCPBUY - ANTICIPATE69357.64 (+0.8%)408.96 (+15.2%)360.31 (+1.5%)
Datadog Inc.184.46FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID69190.20 (+3.1%)n/a191.66 (+3.9%)
GE Vernova Inc818.49FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID69820.85 (+0.3%)n/a855.64 (+4.5%)
Sandisk Corporation937.46FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID68967.56 (+3.2%)n/a1077.10 (+14.9%)
Bank of America50.51FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID6750.83 (+0.6%)n/a49.80 (-1.4%)
Accenture PLC249.95PullbackBuy_VWAPBUY64250.75 (+0.3%)272.15 (+8.9%)261.99 (+4.8%)
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de55.49OversoldBounce_UpBUY6356.41 (+1.7%)63.52 (+14.5%)58.45 (+5.3%)
Amazon.com Inc267.44FailedBreakdown_Up_20DWATCH62269.20 (+0.7%)288.07 (+7.7%)278.45 (+4.1%)
Lockheed Martin Corporation604.09FailedBreakdown_Up_20DWATCH62608.99 (+0.8%)644.18 (+6.6%)632.34 (+4.7%)
The Procter & Gamble Company168.03FailedBreakdown_Up_20DWATCH62169.51 (+0.9%)174.50 (+3.9%)170.11 (+1.2%)
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.52.85FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID6154.44 (+3.0%)n/a61.95 (+17.2%)
Arm Holdings plc199.78FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID61200.82 (+0.5%)n/a190.29 (-4.8%)
Corning Incorporated119.50FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID61119.25 (-0.2%)n/a112.25 (-6.1%)
Lam Research Corp233.78FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID61232.10 (-0.7%)n/a259.63 (+11.1%)
Marvell Technology164.45FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID61168.81 (+2.7%)n/a180.65 (+9.9%)
Intel Corporation61.20FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID6163.07 (+3.1%)n/a70.34 (+14.9%)
Meta Platforms623.61FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID59624.50 (+0.1%)n/a611.75 (-1.9%)
Moderna, Inc.231.35PullbackBuy_VWAPBUY57233.27 (+0.8%)276.41 (+19.5%)272.05 (+17.6%)
Qualcomm Incorporated177.14FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID57177.78 (+0.4%)n/a187.57 (+5.9%)
Red Violet, Inc.76.00FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID5776.64 (+0.8%)n/a80.43 (+5.8%)
Coherent Corp.232.08FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID56229.80 (-1.0%)n/a268.02 (+15.5%)
CoreWeave, Inc.56.60FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID5657.30 (+1.2%)n/a63.26 (+11.8%)
Lumentum Holdings624.65FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID56636.64 (+1.9%)n/a838.25 (+34.2%)
SAP AE234.06PullbackBuy_VWAPBUY55236.06 (+0.9%)248.98 (+6.4%)255.29 (+9.1%)
Amkor Technology37.12FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID5437.14 (+0.1%)n/a41.49 (+11.8%)
Nebius Group, N.V.128.64RallySell_BearTrendAVOID53135.45 (+5.3%)113.30 (-11.9%)159.29 (+23.8%)
Pfizer Inc.28.83FailedBreakdown_Up_20DWATCH5228.91 (+0.3%)30.47 (+5.7%)29.89 (+3.7%)
Microsoft Corp523.00FailedBreakdown_Up_20DWATCH51527.97 (+1.0%)556.53 (+6.4%)569.10 (+8.8%)
Netflix, Inc62.69FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID4964.25 (+2.5%)n/a61.44 (-2.0%)
Plant Labs PBC13.90FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID4913.92 (+0.1%)n/a13.68 (-1.6%)
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc585.30NoSignalAVOID0587.03 (+0.3%)n/a693.42 (+18.5%)
ASML Holding NV1497.12NoTradeNO TRADE01511.00 (+0.9%)n/a1608.89 (+7.5%)
ASE Technology Holding36.29NoTradeNO TRADE036.57 (+0.8%)n/a42.92 (+18.3%)
SalesForce Inc217.57NoTradeNO TRADE0219.33 (+0.8%)n/a231.63 (+6.5%)
Dell Technologies Inc371.17NoTradeNO TRADE0380.33 (+2.5%)n/a433.32 (+16.7%)
Micron Technology, Inc.798.44NoTradeNO TRADE0810.80 (+1.5%)n/a889.71 (+11.4%)
Snowflake Inc.298.70NoTradeNO TRADE0301.47 (+0.9%)n/a314.22 (+5.2%)
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C405.49NoTradeNO TRADE0408.10 (+0.6%)n/a424.38 (+4.7%)
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.913.60NoTradeNO TRADE0926.56 (+1.4%)n/a937.59 (+2.6%)
JPMorgan Chase & Co.342.82NoTradeNO TRADE0347.37 (+1.3%)n/a351.85 (+2.6%)
Morgan Stanley Corp189.17NoTradeNO TRADE0191.78 (+1.4%)n/a197.41 (+4.4%)
Palantir Technologies Inc.171.58NoTradeNO TRADE0172.84 (+0.7%)n/a181.82 (+6.0%)
Woodside Energy Goup Ltd21.24NoTradeNO TRADE021.50 (+1.2%)n/a23.03 (+8.4%)
Rocket Lab Corporation64.07NoTradeNO TRADE063.76 (-0.5%)n/a71.33 (+11.3%)

Archive

Earlier end-of-day records.

This website is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and assess your own risk tolerance before making investment decisions.