BreakoutUp_52W
52-week high breakout with volume confirmation and VCP. Setup requires striking distance of the high (top 10% of the 52W range), not merely the upper quartile.
Setup — what must already be true
- 52-week range position is one of New High / Upper Quartile
- 52-week range position ≥ 90
- EMA stack (5/10/20/50 alignment) is one of Bullish Full / Bullish Partial (HK: Bullish Full / Bullish Partial / Mixed)
- Multi-timeframe agreement is Aligned
- RSI regime is not Extreme Overbought
- Price vs EMA100/200 is one of Above Both / Between / Unknown
- Liquidity gate is Pass
Trigger — what fires the signal
- 52-week range position is New High
- Momentum trajectory (RSI + MACD direction) is one of Both Improving / Mixed
- Volume vs 20-day average ≥ 1.2 (HK: 1.2, SG: 1.3)
- Volatility contraction pattern (VCP) is one of VCP Detected / Partial Contraction
Trade box & conviction bar
- Entry: buy stop at 0.1 ATR offset
- Stop: chandelier trail (3 ATR)
- Target: trailing
- Conviction: BUY-grade at ≥ 55, STRONG at ≥ 75
📰 From the newsletter
- Issue #7-2 · Listening for the Wind — Trend tools answer two questions: where price is moving and whether that movement has enough strength to matter.
Live track record for this signal
- US Main (buy): 40% hit the 1-week target (n=6)
- Hong Kong Main (buy): 50% hit the 1-week target (n=2, building sample)
- AI · HK Financials (buy): 100% hit the 1-week target (n=1, building sample)
- Singapore Main (buy): 0% hit the 1-week target (n=2, building sample)
- Sector ETFs (buy): 100% hit the 1-week target (n=3, building sample)
See it live right now
- BUOU · FRASER L&C TRUST in Singapore Main — STRONG BUY - ADD at conviction 90 (chart with entry/stop/targets drawn)
- BUOU · FRASER L&C TRUST in AI · SG REITs — STRONG BUY at conviction 90 (chart with entry/stop/targets drawn)