Berkshire Mirror — Graded decisions
Every past recommendation whose target window has elapsed, scored against what actually happened. This is how we keep ourselves honest.
How to read this
- Graded — the recommendation’s horizon has passed, so we can score it.
- Hit target — price reached the model’s target. Stopped out — it hit the protective stop first. Closed — neither; it ran to the horizon. Not filled — a queued order that never triggered.
- 1wk / 4wk — the actual price return over that window after the decision.
| Date | Ticker | Decision | Signal | Outcome | 1wk | 4wk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | AAPL | SELL 30% | NoTrade | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-07-30 | OXY | SELL 50% | NoTrade | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-07-30 | NYT | SELL 30% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-07-30 | STZ | SELL 100% dust | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-07-30 | LEN-B | SELL 100% dust | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-07-30 | LEN | SELL 100% dust | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-07-30 | NVR | SELL 100% dust | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-07-30 | KR | SELL 100% dust | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-07-27 | BAC | ADD QUEUED @62.55 | MomentumContinuation_Up | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-07-27 | AXP | SELL 30% | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | +0.3% | — |
| 2026-07-27 | LLYVK | SELL 30% | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | -3.6% | — |
| 2026-07-27 | OXY | SELL 50% | NoTrade | Closed | +3.9% | — |
| 2026-07-27 | AAPL | ADD QUEUED @316.32 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Open | — | — |
| 2026-07-24 | BAC | ADD QUEUED @60.06 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-07-24 | AAPL | ADD QUEUED @308.38 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-07-23 | DAL | SELL 50% | NoTrade | Closed | +5.2% | — |
| 2026-07-23 | NYT | SELL 50% | NoTrade | Closed | +10.7% | — |
| 2026-07-23 | VRSN | SELL 50% | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | +11.2% | — |
| 2026-07-23 | STZ | SELL 100% | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | +1.9% | — |
| 2026-07-23 | LEN | SELL 100% | BreakdownDown_52W | Closed | +3.0% | — |
| 2026-07-23 | LEN-B | SELL 100% | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | +2.2% | — |
| 2026-07-23 | BAC | ADD QUEUED @59.93 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-07-22 | MCO | ADD QUEUED @480.93 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Hit target (1w) | +0.3% | — |
| 2026-07-22 | GOOGL | SELL 30% | NoTrade | Closed | -2.5% | — |
| 2026-07-22 | GOOG | SELL 30% | NoTrade | Closed | -2.7% | — |
| 2026-07-22 | VRSN | SELL 50% | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | +7.1% | — |
| 2026-07-22 | OXY | SELL 30% | BreakoutUp_20D | Closed | -4.6% | — |
| 2026-07-22 | STZ | SELL 100% | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | -0.1% | — |
| 2026-07-22 | LEN | SELL 100% | BreakdownDown_52W | Closed | +6.7% | — |
| 2026-07-21 | CB | ADD QUEUED @348.24 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Hit target (1w) | +3.9% | — |
| 2026-07-21 | OXY | SELL 30% | BreakoutUp_20D | Closed | -2.8% | — |
| 2026-07-21 | STZ | SELL 100% | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | -0.7% | — |
| 2026-07-21 | LEN | SELL 100% | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | +3.9% | — |
| 2026-07-20 | STZ | SELL 100% | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | -3.1% | — |
| 2026-07-20 | LEN | SELL 100% | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | +2.1% | — |
| 2026-07-17 | OXY | SELL 30% | FailedBreakdown_Up_2 | Closed | +5.0% | — |
| 2026-07-17 | CVX | SELL 30% | BreakoutUp_20D | Closed | +3.8% | — |
| 2026-07-16 | AXP | ADD QUEUED @346.91 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | -4.4% | — |
| 2026-07-16 | NUE | SELL 50% | NoTrade | Closed | +0.1% | — |
| 2026-07-16 | LEN | SELL 89% | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | -4.9% | — |
| 2026-07-16 | LEN-B | SELL 89% | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | -4.9% | — |
| 2026-07-16 | KR | SELL 50% | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | -1.8% | — |
| 2026-07-15 | AXP | ADD QUEUED @346.40 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-07-14 | BAC | ADD QUEUED @61.17 | MomentumContinuation_Up | Closed | +0.1% | — |
| 2026-07-14 | LLYVK | ADD QUEUED @103.48 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | -4.1% | — |
| 2026-07-14 | OXY | SELL 50% | NoTrade | Closed | +1.1% | — |
| 2026-07-14 | CVX | SELL 50% | NoTrade | Closed | +4.4% | — |
| 2026-07-14 | LPX | SELL 100% | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | -5.4% | — |
| 2026-07-14 | JEF | SELL residual on stop | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | +2.3% | — |
| 2026-07-08 | AXP | ADD 5,194 @340.30 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | +4.3% | — |
| 2026-07-08 | KR | SELL 89% | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | -1.0% | — |
| 2026-07-07 | ALLY | ADD QUEUED @45.28 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | +0.1% | — |
| 2026-07-07 | VRSN | SELL 89% | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | +1.3% | — |
| 2026-07-07 | LEN | SELL 89% | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | -4.5% | — |
| 2026-07-07 | STZ | SELL 89% | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | +2.1% | — |
| 2026-07-06 | OXY | SELL 89% | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | +8.1% | +16.7% |
| 2026-07-06 | CVX | SELL 89% | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | +4.3% | +16.3% |
| 2026-07-06 | KR | SELL 89% | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | +4.0% | -0.8% |