This website is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and assess your own risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

US End-of-Day Verdict 11 Nov 2026, 16:00:00 GMT-5 Decided by: AI 🤖

Berkshire Mirror — End-of-Day Verdict

EOD 2026-11-12

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Total-Return Index · Q4 2026 98.7 -1.3% QTD Performance ›

Today's recommendations

0 to acquire · 3 to dispose

TickerNameCloseActionAction Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. Rationale
COFCapital One Financial Corp193.60SELL ALL193.60199.57⚠n/an/a170.41 (-12.0%)Fourth close under the stop (now 3.0% below) with the 12-week view down to (−12%); the engine has been SELL/AVOID for three sessions. The ex-div on 11-16 is no reason to stay. L2/L3 exit basis, so the 65 floor does not apply; re-issue of the unfilled 11-09..11-11 cards (executor refusal). · news
GOOGLAlphabet Inc Cl A298.70SELL ALL298.70321.28⚠n/an/a188.56 (-36.9%)STRONG SELL - REDUCE strengthened to 75 while price sits 7% under the line with a deeply negative 12-week view; the +3% TPU/NVIDIA-shake-up bounce does not repair the break. L2 full exit; re-issue (unfilled since-23). · news
GOOGAlphabet Inc Cl C295.35SELL ALL295.35317.66⚠n/an/a186.54 (-36.8%)Same Alphabet exit as GOOGL: Sell_Rank 1 at SSR 75, 7% under the line, 12-week view −37%. L2 full exit; re-issue. · news
KOCoca-Cola Co97.44NO ACTION97.4494.92n/an/a110.57 (+13.5%)Armed (+7.7 ATR) and tick b fired (conviction, so a 30% profit-take qualifies; displaced by the 3-slot cap behind the loss-prevention exits. Trail raised to. · news
CVXChevron Corp216.35NO ACTION216.35213.11n/an/a216.22 (-0.1%)Late-flipped STRONG SELL - REDUCE 65 (first print after 3 NO TRADE) on an armed winner with a flat 12-week view (tick c);. Displaced: single print vs the stable Alphabet exits; promotes if SSR repeats or breaks.
DVADaVita Inc174.07NO ACTION174.07174.16⚠n/an/a156.21 (-10.3%)STRONG SELL - REDUCE 63 (RallySell cell + with a marginal 0.05% close under and 12wk −10%, displaced by the slot cap. A decisive close below makes it an L2 exit.
VRSNVeriSign Inc312.48NO ACTION312.48307.49n/an/a336.06 (+7.5%)Armed (+6.5 ATR) and tick b fired (conviction : 30%, displaced. Trail raised to.
KRKroger Co69.81NO ACTION69.8167.89n/a73.56 (+5.4%)85.07 (+21.9%)Armed + RSI_DIV (tick a): 30%, displaced; HOLD 83 with a +22% 12wk argues trail. Trail raised to.
NUENucor Corp260.75NO ACTION260.75258.47n/an/a258.83 (-0.7%)Armed (+4.1 ATR) with a flat 12wk (tick c), AVOID 56: 30%, displaced; stop holds.
MMacy's Inc24.33NO ACTION24.3323.88n/an/a26.35 (+8.3%)Armed (T12 92%) and conviction (tick b): 30%, displaced. Trail raised to.
OXYOccidental Petroleum Corp58.40HOLD58.4056.00n/an/a51.77 (-11.4%)Sixth NO TRADE but holds 4.3% above the line after the Q3 beat; hold. A decisive close below with the negative 12wk re-triggers the exit (L2).
OXYOccidental Petroleum Corp58.40NO ACTION58.4056.00n/an/a51.77 (-11.4%)Counterfactual: the sign-blind arm (position −6%) + c + d would fire 50%; demoted by the intact line and the Q3 beat.
AAPLApple Inc354.88HOLD356.78341.98n/a408.96 (+14.6%)382.90 (+7.3%)Armed (+5.3 ATR) but no tick fired (RSI_DIV cleared; conviction is −16, under the-pt bar; 12wk +8%). Trail raised to (2×ATR chandelier).

Outcome & track record

How accurate the calls have been.

315 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.491 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
84 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.

Signal-type track record How each signal *type* has performed across ALL of this book's past decisions — not a per-stock note. 'bias' is the conviction nudge (+/-) applied to a fresh signal of that type; n = sample size, hit_1w = share that hit the 1-week target. Reliable cells earn a boost; weak ones a haircut.

How each signal type has performed across this book's past decisions (aggregate, not per-stock) — and the conviction nudge it earns.

  • AnticipationUp_VCP (sell): 5 past trades, 60% hit the 1-week target → +2 conviction nudge.
  • BreakdownDown_20D (sell): 9 past trades, 44% hit the 1-week target → -1 conviction nudge.
  • BreakdownDown_52W (sell): 6 past trades, 33% hit the 1-week target → -3 conviction nudge.
  • FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (sell): 13 past trades, 23% hit the 1-week target → -5 conviction nudge.
  • FailedBreakout_Down_20D (sell): 101 past trades, 55% hit the 1-week target → +1 conviction nudge.
  • MomentumContinuation_Up (buy): 7 past trades, 43% hit the 1-week target → -1 conviction nudge.
  • NoTrade (L2 stop-break basis) (sell): 12 past trades, 40% hit the 1-week target → -2 conviction nudge.
  • NoTrade (sell): 65 past trades, 45% hit the 1-week target → -1 conviction nudge.
  • PullbackBuy_VWAP (buy): 15 past trades, 7% hit the 1-week target → -9 conviction nudge.
  • RallySell_BearTrend (sell): 24 past trades, 70% hit the 1-week target → +4 conviction nudge.
  • ReversalUp_Oversold (L2 stop-break basis) (sell): 9 past trades, 56% hit the 1-week target → +1 conviction nudge.

Portfolio & signals

Every name we scanned, and where it stands.

TickerNameCloseSignal The chart pattern the engine detected on this name. Hover a signal for its one-line definition; click it for the full setup/trigger rules, the trade box it produces, and the newsletter issue that teaches the underlying concept. ActionConv1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.
HKroger Co69.81FailedBreakdown_Up_20DHOLD8370.94 (+1.6%)73.56 (+5.4%)85.07 (+21.9%)
HAlphabet Inc Cl A298.70FailedBreakout_Down_20DSTRONG SELL - REDUCE75n/an/a188.56 (-36.9%)
HAlphabet Inc Cl C295.35FailedBreakout_Down_20DSTRONG SELL - REDUCE75n/an/a186.54 (-36.8%)
HChubb Ltd371.76FailedBreakdown_Up_20DHOLD70375.85 (+1.1%)385.40 (+3.7%)408.18 (+9.8%)
HApple Inc354.88AnticipationUp_VCPHOLD69372.43 (+4.9%)408.96 (+15.2%)382.90 (+7.9%)
HChevron Corp216.35FailedBreakout_Down_20DSTRONG SELL - REDUCE65n/an/a216.22 (-0.1%)
HDaVita Inc174.07RallySell_BearTrendSTRONG SELL - REDUCE63n/an/a156.21 (-10.3%)
HCapital One Financial Corp193.60FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID56n/an/a170.41 (-12.0%)
HAlly Financial Inc38.00FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID56n/an/a32.04 (-15.7%)
HNucor Corp260.75FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID56n/an/a258.83 (-0.7%)
HVeriSign Inc312.48FailedBreakdown_Up_20DHOLD48317.62 (+1.6%)329.62 (+5.5%)336.06 (+7.5%)
HCoca-Cola Co97.44NoTradeNO TRADE0n/an/a110.57 (+13.5%)
HOccidental Petroleum Corp58.40NoTradeNO TRADE0n/an/a51.77 (-11.4%)
HSirius XM Holdings Inc31.74NoTradeNO TRADE0n/an/a39.95 (+25.9%)
HLiberty Live Group Ser C107.62NoTradeNO TRADE0n/an/a118.17 (+9.8%)
HLiberty Live Group Ser A104.17NoTradeNO TRADE0n/an/a114.02 (+9.5%)
HMacy's Inc24.33NoTradeNO TRADE0n/an/a26.35 (+8.3%)
Bank of America Corp50.51FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID67n/an/a36.56 (-27.6%)
Constellation Brands Cl A144.60FailedBreakdown_Up_20DWATCH62146.99 (+1.7%)152.56 (+5.5%)175.40 (+21.3%)
Kraft Heinz Co24.48FailedBreakdown_Up_20DWATCH5924.92 (+1.8%)25.95 (+6.0%)24.16 (-1.3%)
Louisiana-Pacific Corp74.80FailedBreakdown_Up_20DWATCH5676.61 (+2.4%)80.84 (+8.1%)84.29 (+12.7%)
Jefferies Financial Group46.27FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID45n/an/a41.54 (-10.2%)
American Express Co318.06NoTradeNO TRADE0n/an/a306.61 (-3.6%)
Moody's Corp506.56NoTradeNO TRADE0n/an/a556.35 (+9.8%)
Delta Air Lines Inc86.55NoTradeNO TRADE0n/an/a97.80 (+13.0%)
New York Times Co Cl A71.46NoTradeNO TRADE0n/an/a75.16 (+5.2%)
Lennar Corp Cl A83.58NoTradeNO TRADE0n/an/a89.35 (+6.9%)
NVR Inc5814.34NoTradeNO TRADE0n/an/a5260.68 (-9.5%)
Lennar Corp Cl B81.63NoTradeNO TRADE0n/an/a85.92 (+5.3%)

Archive

Earlier end-of-day records.

This website is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and assess your own risk tolerance before making investment decisions.