Recommendations
1 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COF | Capital One Financial Corp | 210.77 | SELL 50% | 210.77 | 199.57 | n/a | n/a | 205.15 (-2.7%) | Trimming half of an outsized position: the signal dropped from HOLD 62 to AVOID 0 and the-week view of 205.15 sits below the 210.77 close, while the stock is only about 3% above cost at 17.6% of NAV; valuation is neutral and news has nothing new. Armed + ticks b and c = 50% tier. Arming is T 102.74 only (Gain_ATR 1.21, sign-blind artifact), taken at face value. Replaces the unfilled 10-30 30% card. Balance on 199.57. Fires automatically once the executor clears. · news |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc Cl A | 278.99 | SELL ALL | 278.99 | 321.28⚠ | n/a | n/a | 159.02 (-43.0%) | Exiting after the Q3 miss: the stock closed 13.2% under the 321.28 stop line, the engine prints SELL - REDUCE on a 52-week breakdown, and the-week view is deeply negative; most analysts stayed at Buy, but free cash flow turned negative and two firms downgraded. L2 stop-break basis, 100% over the engine 49.08%. BH-EOQ-CH does not shelter it. Replaces the unfilled 10-30 card. · news |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc Cl C | 278.04 | SELL ALL | 278.04 | 317.66⚠ | n/a | n/a | 158.48 (-43.0%) | Exiting with the Class A line for the same reason: close 12.5% under the 317.66 stop, SELL - REDUCE on a 52-week breakdown, and a deeply negative-week view after the Q3 miss. L2 stop-break basis, 100% over the engine 49.08%. Replaces the unfilled 10-30 card. · news |
| KO | Coca-Cola Co | 95.83 | ADD — QUEUED @95.68 | 95.68 | 91.89 | 98.18 (+2.6%) | 104.01 (+8.7%) | 105.08 (+9.8%) | Adding on strength: Coca-Cola broke out to a 20-day high on a STRONG BUY - ADD 98, its second bullish print on a rising trail, after a Q3 beat and raised outlook; the price is rich against fair value, so the add runs at 0.75x size with a tighter stop. Queued at the printed trigger; withdraw on a gap above ~1.5% (US-9) or conviction under 65. Reprices the 10-30 limit @91.55. RSI_DIV on the fresh breakout is a G1 trail-raise to 91.89. wk exceeds DCF anchor. |
| CVX | Chevron Corp | 227.77 | NO ACTION | 227.77 | 225.01 | n/a | n/a | 272.43 (+19.6%) | Armed + tick b (HOLD 63 to NO TRADE 0). Displaced by the slot cap;wk 272.43 still positive; single NO TRADE print. |
| DVA | DaVita Inc | 185.74 | NO ACTION | 185.74 | 170.47 | n/a | n/a | 175.52 (-5.5%) | Armed (sign-blind, -21% on cost) + tick c. Displaced. |
| SIRI | Sirius XM Holdings Inc | 29.57 | NO ACTION | 29.57 | 27.73 | n/a | n/a | 30.03 (+1.6%) | Armed (sign-blind) + tick c. Displaced. Trail raised to 27.73. |
| KR | Kroger Co | 68.36 | NO ACTION | 68.36 | 64.12 | n/a | n/a | 81.47 (+19.2%) | Armed + RSI_DIV on a PullbackBuy row outside G1. Displaced. The same row prints SB-ADD 100 (adj 90), but the 63.91 limit is 2.37 ATR extended and below the 64.12 trail, so no add is queued (10-23 precedent). |
| ALLY | Ally Financial Inc | 38.61 | NO ACTION | 38.61 | 35.88 | n/a | n/a | 32.45 (-16.0%) | Armed (sign-blind) + ticks b and c on a stub. Displaced. |
| LLYVA | Liberty Live Group Ser A | 101.20 | NO ACTION | 101.20 | 95.42 | n/a | n/a | 101.69 (+0.5%) | Armed (sign-blind) + ticks b and c on a stub. Displaced. |
| AAPL | Apple Inc | 338.32 | HOLD | 338.32 | 339.55⚠ | n/a | n/a | 357.33 (+5.6%) | HOLD 44. Stop graze (0.15 ATR) with a positivewk and the FQ4 beat landing after the anchor: BH-EOQ-CH, re-judge at the 11-03 settled close. Guidance not found. · news |
| OXY | Occidental Petroleum Corp | 60.72 | HOLD | 62.14 | 60.72 | n/a | n/a | 65.83 (+5.9%) | HOLD 42. Closed on the 60.72 stop after a -5.1% day; armed, no tick (-18 pts);wk +8.4%; Q3 11-09. Crude-drop cause unconfirmed. · news |
| VRSN | VeriSign Inc | 308.40 | HOLD | 308.40 | 295.47 | n/a | n/a | 329.28 (+6.8%) | HOLD 75. Armed, no tick; trail 295.47. |
| — | Constellation Brands Cl A | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | STRONG BUY 100 (adj 87), blocked: quality gate on a new entry. |
| — | Louisiana-Pacific Corp | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | STRONG BUY 83 (adj 73), blocked: quality gate on a new entry. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
285 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.691 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
84 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.