Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LLYVK | Liberty Live Group Ser C | 96.93 | SELL 88.52% | 96.93 | 94.35 | 95.75 (-1.2%) | 93.01 (-4.0%) | 85.17 (-12.1%) | Liberty Live C printed STRONG SELL - REDUCE again, sitting below its 200-day average and 9.6% under cost, and the model's 12-week view is 12% lower; with no valuation anchor to argue otherwise, most of the position is cut. SSR (+2 cell); balance on the 94.35 rung. |
| ALLY | Ally Financial Inc | 37.91 | SELL 50% | 37.91 | 37.52 | 36.77 (-3.0%) | 34.12 (-10.0%) | 26.53 (-30.0%) | Ally printed its second strong-sell in three sessions, below its 200-day average with a model 12-week view 30% lower, and Morgan Stanley downgraded it to Hold on 10-12; the stock screens cheap, so the cut is the minimum half rather than the full 88.5%. SSR 75 (+2 cell); UNDERVALUED argues down one tier; Q3 10-20 (12wk negative, BH-EOQ-CH n/a). Balance on the 37.52 rung. · news |
| KO | Coca-Cola Co | 89.79 | SELL 30% | 89.79 | 86.94 | 90.65 (+1.0%) | 92.64 (+3.2%) | 88.25 (-1.7%) | Coca-Cola is profit-armed (+6.7% on cost, past its 12-week target) while the model's 12-week view sits below the close and the stock trades at a premium multiple, so another 30% of the gain is banked. Profit-take armed + tick c (12wk 88.25 < 1.02x close); MoS -2.06, no tier bump. Static-tick whittling flagged (5th firing since 10-02). Balance, stop raised to 86.94. · news |
| NUE | Nucor Corp | 251.83 | NO ACTION | 251.83 | 237.62 | n/a | n/a | 235.64 (-6.4%) | Nucor is profit-armed (+14%) with a model 12-week view below the close; a 30% trim fired but was displaced by the three-card cap. Armed + tick c; displaced by cap. |
| KR | Kroger Co | 62.56 | NO ACTION | 62.56 | 58.74 | n/a | n/a | 64.50 (+3.1%) | Kroger is profit-armed (+7.5%) and printed RSI divergence while conviction collapsed from; a 50% trim fired but was displaced by the three-card cap. Armed + ticks a,b; displaced by cap. |
| — | Occidental Petroleum Corp | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Occidental printed a BUY at 68 at fair value, but the book's learning US-10 treats FailedBreakdown_Up buys as non-actionable below raw conviction 75. Near-miss; first acquirable row in 16 EODs; flagged for the BH-EOQ-1 review. |
| AAPL | Apple Inc | 340.97 | HOLD | 340.97 | 328.80 | n/a | n/a | 366.38 (+7.5%) | Apple HOLD 68, profit-armed with no deterioration tick and a 12wk view 7.5% higher; trail 328.80. |
| CVX | Chevron Corp | 215.00 | HOLD | 215.00 | 205.98 | n/a | n/a | 230.08 (+7.0%) | Chevron HOLD 75, profit-armed with no tick and a positive 12wk; trail raised to 205.98. |
| VRSN | VeriSign Inc | 302.70 | HOLD | 302.70 | 289.31 | n/a | n/a | 316.10 (+4.4%) | VeriSign HOLD 62 after the 30% cut filled at 305.50; armed, no tick (-6 pts); Q3 10-22; stop 289.31. |
| CB | Chubb Ltd | 345.06 | HOLD | 346.02 | 334.93 | n/a | n/a | 326.34 (-5.7%) | Chubb recovered to HOLD 77 after two cuts; stop raised to 334.93; Q3 10-20. |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc Cl A | 352.72 | HOLD | 352.72 | 337.52 | n/a | n/a | 342.36 (-2.9%) | Alphabet A HOLD 57, undervalued, -2% on cost; stop raised to 337.52. |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc Cl C | 348.97 | HOLD | 348.97 | 334.28 | n/a | n/a | 336.84 (-3.5%) | Alphabet C HOLD 57, undervalued, -2% on cost; stop raised to 334.28. |
| LLYVA | Liberty Live Group Ser A | 94.17 | HOLD | 94.17 | 93.73 | n/a | n/a | 83.77 (-11.0%) | Liberty Live A AVOID 58, above its 93.73 rung; L2 exit on a decisive break. |
| DVA | DaVita Inc | 181.78 | HOLD | 181.78 | 170.12 | n/a | n/a | 146.99 (-19.1%) | DaVita NO TRADE x3 (consensus conflict), above its 170.12 rung and EMA200; hold. |
| SIRI | Sirius XM Holdings Inc | 26.61 | HOLD | 26.61 | 25.20 | n/a | n/a | 20.84 (-21.7%) | Sirius XM-sh stub NO TRADE; hold on 25.20. |
| M | Macy's Inc | 22.99 | HOLD | 22.99 | 22.49 | n/a | n/a | 21.64 (-5.9%) | Macy's HOLD 65, above the 22.49 stop; L2 exit on a decisive break. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
239 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.735 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
84 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.