Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEN-B | Lennar Corp Cl B | 76.02 | SELL ALL | 76.02 | 81.78⚠ | 74.41 (-2.1%) | 70.65 (-7.1%) | 59.92 (-21.2%) | Lennar Class B has closed 7% below its 81.78 stop with a 12-week view 21% lower and an AVOID print, so the stub position is closed out; no valuation read exists for this share class. L2 stop-break + negative-12wk exit, displaced by the cap on the three prior EODs (L3: stop re-recommending, execute). |
| KO | Coca-Cola Co | 88.05 | SELL 30% | 88.05 | 85.38 | 88.85 (+0.9%) | 90.72 (+3.0%) | 84.75 (-3.7%) | Coca-Cola is profit-armed (+4.7% on cost, 104% of its 12-week target) while the model's 12-week view sits 3.7% below the close and conviction is soft at 59; the stock is fully valued, so 30% of the gain is banked. Profit-take armed + tick c (12wk 84.75 < 1.02x close); MoS -2.06 > -3, no tier bump. Static-tick whittling flagged (cut 10-02/10-05/10-07; displaced 10-08). Balance, stop raised to 85.38. · news |
| VRSN | VeriSign Inc | 303.74 | SELL 30% | 303.74 | 289.31 | 308.07 (+1.4%) | 318.17 (+4.8%) | 313.41 (+3.2%) | VeriSign is up 18% on cost (6.6 ATR) but conviction collapsed 24 points in one session, so 30% of the winner is banked while the rest rides a raised 289.31 stop into the 10-22 Q3 print. Profit-take armed + tick b (fires regardless of G1); MoS -2.31, no bump; catalyst sessions out (outside the 5-session hold window). · news |
| NUE | Nucor Corp | 250.33 | NO ACTION | 250.33 | 237.62 | n/a | n/a | 230.98 (-7.7%) | Nucor Corp is profit-armed with tick c (12wk 230.98 < 1.02x close); a 30% trim was displaced by the 3-card cap behind the larger KO/VRSN profit-takes. · news |
| KR | Kroger Co | 61.64 | NO ACTION | 61.64 | 58.74 | n/a | n/a | 62.02 (+0.6%) | Kroger Co is profit-armed with tick c (12wk 62.02 < 1.02x close; close below EMA200); a 30% trim was displaced by the 3-card cap behind the larger KO/VRSN profit-takes. |
| AAPL | Apple Inc | 336.64 | HOLD | 336.64 | 328.80 | n/a | n/a | 359.74 (+6.9%) | Apple HOLD 63, profit-armed (+9.1%) with no tick: conviction -12 (<20), 12wk 359.74 alive; trail stays 328.80 (row 323.46 lower). |
| CVX | Chevron Corp | 211.98 | HOLD | 211.98 | 203.05 | n/a | n/a | 223.43 (+5.4%) | Chevron HOLD 78 with conviction rising, profit-armed (+18.8%), 12wk 223.43 alive; no tick, trail raised to 203.05. |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc Cl A | 351.66 | HOLD | 351.66 | 335.66 | n/a | n/a | 338.26 (-3.8%) | Alphabet A HOLD 57, -2.3% on cost (armed flag sign-blind); rung raised to row stop 335.66. |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc Cl C | 347.86 | HOLD | 347.86 | 332.25 | n/a | n/a | 332.89 (-4.3%) | Alphabet C HOLD 57 after one NO TRADE, -2.3% on cost; rung raised to 332.25. |
| CB | Chubb Ltd | 341.20 | HOLD | 341.20 | 331.95 | n/a | n/a | 317.26 (-7.0%) | Chubb eased to AVOID 49 after two SSR cuts (both filled); 12wk -7% but no live sell label; hold on the 331.95 stop, Q3 10-20. |
| DVA | DaVita Inc | 179.25 | HOLD | 179.25 | 170.12 | n/a | n/a | 141.61 (-21.0%) | DaVita NO TRADE x2 after two 50% cuts, 12wk -21%; close above the 170.12 rung, L2 exit on a break. |
| ALLY | Ally Financial Inc | 37.59 | HOLD | 37.59 | 37.52 | n/a | n/a | 25.93 (-31.0%) | Ally AVOID 62 after the 50% cut filled at 37.74; close 37.59 is above the 37.52 rung, 12wk -31% -> L2 exit on a decisive break. |
| SIRI | Sirius XM Holdings Inc | 26.51 | HOLD | 26.51 | 25.20 | n/a | n/a | 20.42 (-23.0%) | Sirius NO TRADE after the 88.5% cut filled at 27.49;-sh stub on the 25.20 rung. |
| LLYVA | Liberty Live Group Ser A | 95.33 | HOLD | 95.33 | 93.73 | n/a | n/a | 85.54 (-10.3%) | Liberty Live A AVOID 58, above its 93.73 rung; hold. |
| LLYVK | Liberty Live Group Ser C | 98.20 | HOLD | 98.20 | 94.35 | n/a | n/a | 87.08 (-11.3%) | Liberty Live C AVOID 58, above its 94.35 rung; hold. |
| M | Macy's Inc | 22.67 | HOLD | 22.67 | 22.49 | n/a | n/a | 21.10 (-6.9%) | Macy's HOLD 52, above the 22.49 stop with 12wk below close; L2 exit on a decisive break. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
236 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.735 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
84 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.