Recommendations
1 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OXY | Occidental Petroleum Corp | 61.65 | BUY | 61.65 | 60.55 | 62.54 (+1.4%) | 64.60 (+4.8%) | 64.10 (+4.0%) | Occidental re-enters the book: a second straight BUY print at the model entry with no extension, priced near fair value with the quality screen passed, and Goldman's 10-01 upgrade (PT 69) backing it. Raw cv75 clears US-10's >=75 bar for FailedBreakdown_Up. New-BUY sizing 49.24% x NAV x 20% =; stop 60.55 is only 0.75 ATR away, so a normal-noise stop-out is possible. Prints 11-09. · news |
| ALLY | Ally Financial Inc | 37.60 | SELL 50% | 37.60 | 37.52 | 36.48 (-3.0%) | 33.88 (-9.9%) | 26.43 (-29.7%) | Ally prints a second consecutive STRONG SELL - REDUCE, sits 17% under cost below its 200-day average, and the 12-week view is -30%; Morgan Stanley's 10-12 downgrade confirms. Scan portion 88.52% is argued down to 50% because the stock is UNDERVALUED (sell cheap, trim the minimum). Close is only above the 37.52 rung; Q3 prints 10-20. · news |
| AAPL | Apple Inc | 341.27 | SELL 30% | 341.27 | 328.80 | 345.27 (+1.2%) | 354.59 (+3.9%) | 367.89 (+7.8%) | Apple banks part of a +10.6% gain: the position is profit-armed (4.9 ATR over cost, 93% of the 12-week target) and an RSI divergence printed at a record high, which fires the 30% profit-take. News is mixed: record high on the smart-home event and BofA's Buy, against a Nikkei report of 15-20% iPhone 18 Pro order cuts. The MoS -3.08 one-tier bump is suppressed by G2 (12wk 367.89 far above the 237.39 DCF), so the trim stays at 30%. FQ4 prints 11-02; balance on the 328.80 trail. · news |
| KO | Coca-Cola Co | 90.11 | SELL 30% | 90.11 | 87.29 | 92.43 (+2.6%) | 97.84 (+8.6%) | 90.01 (-0.1%) | Coca-Cola is profit-armed (+7.1%, 100% of the 12-week target) and its 12-week view (90.01) sits below 1.02x the close, a dead forward view that fires a 30% profit-take even as conviction rose to 88. This is KO's 6th tick-(c) firing since 10-02, taken model-faithfully in an unattended run; the whittling is flagged for the BH-EOQ-1 review. Balance, stop raised to 87.29. Q3 10-27. · news |
| NUE | Nucor Corp | 253.80 | NO ACTION | 253.80 | 237.62 | n/a | n/a | 241.18 (-5.0%) | Nucor is armed (+15.0%) with a dead 12wk view (241.18 < 258.88): a fired 30% profit-take displaced by the 3-card cap (smallest banked dollars,). Ledgered optional for counterfactual grading. |
| — | Constellation Brands Cl A | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Near-miss: BUY 57 is below the 65 floor and the quality gate (F-Score/FCF) blocks a new entry; the 12wk 108.99 is 14% below the close. |
| CVX | Chevron Corp | 217.73 | HOLD | 217.73 | 209.49 | n/a | n/a | 237.13 (+8.9%) | Chevron armed (+22%) with no tick (conv is -15, 12wk +8.9%); trail raised to the row stop 209.49. |
| VRSN | VeriSign Inc | 301.76 | HOLD | 301.76 | 289.31 | n/a | n/a | 316.80 (+5.0%) | VeriSign armed (+17.7%), no tick (12wk +5.0%, conv flat 62); keep 289.31. |
| CB | Chubb Ltd | 346.16 | HOLD | 346.16 | 336.50 | n/a | n/a | 331.99 (-4.1%) | Chubb HOLD 82, -2.0% on cost so the sign-blind PROFIT_ARMED is not a profit-take; stop raised to 336.50. Q3 10-20. |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc Cl A | 353.78 | HOLD | 353.78 | 338.83 | n/a | n/a | 346.26 (-2.1%) | Alphabet A HOLD, UNDERVALUED, -1.7% on cost; stop raised to 338.83. |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc Cl C | 349.52 | HOLD | 349.52 | 335.00 | n/a | n/a | 339.77 (-2.8%) | Alphabet C HOLD 65, -1.9% on cost; stop raised to 335.00. |
| KR | Kroger Co | 60.74 | HOLD | 60.74 | 58.74 | n/a | n/a | 62.34 (+2.6%) | Kroger armed (+4.3%) but no tick fired tonight (prior print was AVOID NoSignal, not NO TRADE; 12wk 62.34 > 1.02x close); hold on 58.74. One more NO TRADE fires tick d. |
| LLYVA | Liberty Live Group Ser A | 95.50 | HOLD | 95.50 | 93.73 | n/a | n/a | 85.43 (-10.5%) | Liberty Live A NO TRADE, -8.1% on cost, back above EMA200 (95.05); rung 93.73. L2 exit on a decisive close below. |
| LLYVK | Liberty Live Group Ser C | 98.40 | HOLD | 98.40 | 94.35 | n/a | n/a | 87.00 (-11.6%) | Liberty Live C-sh stub after the 567-sh cut filled at 97.76; NO TRADE, rung 94.35. |
| DVA | DaVita Inc | 182.08 | HOLD | 182.08 | 170.12 | n/a | n/a | 150.01 (-17.6%) | DaVita NO TRADE x4 (consensus conflict), above its 170.12 rung and EMA200; hold. |
| SIRI | Sirius XM Holdings Inc | 26.57 | HOLD | 26.57 | 25.20 | n/a | n/a | 21.06 (-20.7%) | Sirius XM-sh stub NO TRADE x3; hold on 25.20. |
| M | Macy's Inc | 22.74 | HOLD | 22.74 | 22.49 | n/a | n/a | 21.39 (-5.9%) | Macy's HOLD, above the 22.49 stop; L2 exit on a decisive break. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
242 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.735 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
84 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.