Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LLYVA | Liberty Live Group Ser A | 94.31 | SELL 88.52% | 94.31 | 93.73 | 93.27 (-1.1%) | 90.84 (-3.7%) | 83.91 (-11.0%) | Liberty Live Series A flipped to STRONG SELL - REDUCE below its 200-day average with a negative 12-week view, confirming the Series C breakdown; step out of most of the position. Late-flipped SSR (NT -> SSR), -9.3% on cost, valuation n/a (tracking stock); balance on the 93.73 rung. · news |
| ALLY | Ally Financial Inc | 36.74 | SELL 50% | 36.74 | 35.47 | 35.61 (-3.1%) | 32.96 (-10.3%) | 25.41 (-30.8%) | Ally closed decisively below its stop with a deeply negative 12-week view after a Morgan Stanley downgrade; cut the position in half, with the cheap valuation arguing against a full exit. L2 stop-break (36.74 < 37.52, -2.08%), -18.9% on cost; Q3 10-20 catalyst hold n/a (neg 12W, BH-EOQ-CH not met); balance, stop reset 35.47 (peak 37.52). · news |
| LLYVK | Liberty Live Group Ser C | 97.29 | SELL 88.52% | 97.29 | 94.35 | 96.13 (-1.2%) | 93.42 (-4.0%) | 85.67 (-11.9%) | Liberty Live Series C printed its second STRONG SELL - REDUCE in three sessions, below its 200-day average with a negative 12-week view; sell the remaining bulk. SSR 73, -9.2% on cost; balance on 94.35. · news |
| AAPL | Apple Inc | 342.96 | NO ACTION | 342.96 | 334.10 | 346.85 (+1.1%) | 355.93 (+3.8%) | 371.34 (+8.3%) | Apple remains profit-armed with an RSI divergence, but the same tick already drove a 30% trim filled this morning; displaced by the loss-side exits and ledgered as an optional trim. Armed + tick a; G2 suppresses the MoS bump (12W far above DCF); trail raised to 334.10. · news |
| KO | Coca-Cola Co | 91.78 | NO ACTION | 91.78 | 89.09 | 93.36 (+1.7%) | 97.03 (+5.7%) | 93.85 (+2.3%) | Coca-Cola's conviction collapsed while profit-armed near its 52-week high; a 30% profit-take fires but is displaced by the three loss-side exits. Armed + tick b; would be the 7th cut since 10-02 (whittling); trail raised to 89.09. · news |
| NUE | Nucor Corp | 257.11 | NO ACTION | 257.11 | 245.67 | 260.63 (+1.4%) | 268.83 (+4.6%) | 249.26 (-3.1%) | Nucor is profit-armed (+16.5%) with a 12-week view below the close; a 30% trim fires but is displaced by the cap. Armed + tick c; trail raised to 245.67. |
| OXY | Occidental Petroleum Corp | 61.41 | HOLD | 61.41 | 60.72 | n/a | 64.17 (+4.5%) | 64.54 (+5.1%) | Occidental filled this morning at 62.24 and still prints BUY 69; no add, because US-10 requires raw conviction >= 75 on FailedBreakdown_Up. Hold on the 60.72 stop. · news |
| CVX | Chevron Corp | 222.04 | HOLD | 218.88 | 213.63 | n/a | n/a | 247.56 (+13.1%) | Chevron is profit-armed (+24.4%) with no deterioration tick; raise the trail to 213.63 and hold. |
| VRSN | VeriSign Inc | 301.41 | HOLD | 301.41 | 291.48 | n/a | n/a | 317.14 (+5.2%) | VeriSign is armed (+17.5%) on its first NO TRADE print; trail raised to 291.48. A second NT fires tick d. |
| KR | Kroger Co | 63.09 | HOLD | 63.09 | 59.40 | n/a | n/a | 66.25 (+5.0%) | Kroger recovered to HOLD 75 (NT streak broken), armed with no tick; trail raised to 59.40. |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc Cl A | 347.64 | HOLD | 347.64 | 338.83 | n/a | n/a | 337.92 (-2.8%) | Alphabet A slipped to NO TRADE after fading from a 359.40 intraday high; above its 338.83 stop, so no L2. Hold. |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc Cl C | 343.65 | HOLD | 343.65 | 335.00 | n/a | n/a | 331.63 (-3.5%) | Alphabet C NO TRADE (first print), above its 335.00 stop. Hold. |
| CB | Chubb Ltd | 350.15 | HOLD | 350.15 | 336.50 | n/a | n/a | 341.90 (-2.4%) | Chubb dropped to AVOID 49 (not a sell label), -0.9% on cost; hold on 336.50 into the 10-20 print. |
| DVA | DaVita Inc | 180.70 | HOLD | 180.70 | 170.12 | n/a | n/a | 150.03 (-17.0%) | DaVita AVOID 52, above its 170.12 rung and EMA200; hold. |
| SIRI | Sirius XM Holdings Inc | 26.51 | HOLD | 26.51 | 25.20 | n/a | n/a | 21.18 (-20.1%) | Sirius XM-sh stub NO TRADE x4; hold on 25.20. |
| M | Macy's Inc | 22.68 | HOLD | 22.68 | 22.49 | n/a | n/a | 21.29 (-6.1%) | Macy's HOLD 52, above the 22.49 stop; L2 exit on a decisive break. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
246 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.735 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
84 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.