Recommendations
1 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | Chubb Ltd | 352.79 | ADD | 352.11 | 339.73 | 360.27 (+2.3%) | 379.32 (+7.7%) | 350.58 (-0.4%) | Chubb flipped from AVOID to a BUY - ADD on a 20-day breakout, at the model entry with no extension and priced right at its residual-income anchor. A small add; Q3 prints 10-20 after the close, against a softer EPS consensus (-14% y/y) and a Wells Fargo PT cut to 343. ADD 30% of =; quality gate does not block ADDs; stop 339.73 (2.0 ATR). 12wk 350.58 sits just below the close (systemic: bullish row with flat 12W). · news |
| ALLY | Ally Financial Inc | 37.73 | SELL 50% | 37.73 | 35.80 | 36.61 (-3.0%) | 34.00 (-9.9%) | 26.55 (-29.6%) | Ally prints STRONG SELL - REDUCE 75 again after a dead-cat bounce, 17% under cost below its 200-day average with a -30% 12-week view. Halve the stub; the cheap valuation argues the scan's 88.5% down to 50%. Fourth consecutive halving (whittling); Q3 date conflicts 10-16 vs 10-20; MS downgrade 10-12 (PT 43). Balance, stop 35.80, peak 37.52 retained. · news |
| NUE | Nucor Corp | 254.69 | SELL 50% | 254.69 | 245.67 | 254.08 (-0.2%) | 252.64 (-0.8%) | 248.55 (-2.4%) | Nucor is up 15% on cost but the signal has gone to NO TRADE and the 12-week view sits below the price, so bank half the gain. Profit-take: armed (Gain 5.3 ATR) + tick b (conv + tick c (12wk 248.55 < 1.02x close); 2 ticks -> 50%. Displaced as optional on 10-14. Q3 10-26 is outside 5 sessions. Balance on the 245.67 trail. · news |
| M | Macy's Inc | 24.22 | SELL 30% | 24.22 | 22.49 | 23.79 (-1.8%) | 22.80 (-5.9%) | 23.85 (-1.5%) | Macy's rallied 4% above cost into an overbought reversal print (AVOID 52) with a 12-week view below the price; trim 30% into the strength. Profit-take: armed (T12 progress 101.5%, real +4.2% gain) + tick c (12wk 23.85 < 24.70); 1 tick -> 30%. Balance on 22.49 (peak 24.57). · news |
| OXY | Occidental Petroleum Corp | 60.67 | HOLD | 60.67 | 60.72⚠ | n/a | n/a | 63.67 (+4.9%) | Occidental closed 0.08% under its 60.72 stop on its second session (BUY 69 -> NO TRADE). Not a decisive break and the 12wk (63.67) is positive, so no L2 basis; hold. Truist raised PT on 10-15. A decisive close below 60.36 (0.25 ATR under the stop) is a stop exit at the next EOD. · news |
| AAPL | Apple Inc | 342.00 | HOLD | 342.00 | 334.97 | n/a | 354.89 (+3.8%) | 370.32 (+8.3%) | Apple HOLD 69, armed (+10.8%) but no tick (RSI_DIV cleared; conv is -16). Trail raised to 334.97 (2 ATR under the 347.85 high). |
| KO | Coca-Cola Co | 92.00 | HOLD | 92.00 | 90.88 | n/a | 99.29 (+7.9%) | 95.67 (+4.0%) | Coca-Cola prints BUY - ADD at a 52-week high, but MoS -2.26 gives val_adj -10 -> adj 60 < 65: no add. Armed, no tick; trail raised to 90.88. |
| CVX | Chevron Corp | 219.32 | HOLD | 219.32 | 214.16 | n/a | 228.62 (+4.2%) | 246.14 (+12.2%) | Chevron HOLD 47, armed (+22.9%), no tick (conv is -16; 12wk +12%). Trail raised to 214.16. |
| VRSN | VeriSign Inc | 304.09 | HOLD | 304.09 | 295.47 | n/a | 318.38 (+4.7%) | 322.15 (+5.9%) | VeriSign back to HOLD 75 (NT streak broken), armed, no tick; prints 10-22 (catalyst hold). Trail raised to 295.47. |
| KR | Kroger Co | 62.71 | HOLD | 62.71 | 60.93 | n/a | 66.52 (+6.1%) | 66.55 (+6.1%) | Kroger HOLD 69, armed via T12 94%, no tick. Trail raised to 60.93. |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc Cl A | 349.22 | HOLD | 349.22 | 338.83 | n/a | 367.58 (+5.3%) | 338.98 (-2.9%) | Alphabet A back to HOLD 69, -3% on cost, above its 338.83 stop; 12wk negative so a decisive break is an L2 exit. |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc Cl C | 344.91 | HOLD | 344.91 | 335.00 | n/a | 362.95 (+5.2%) | 332.09 (-3.7%) | Alphabet C HOLD 69, above its 335.00 stop; L2 on a decisive break. |
| DVA | DaVita Inc | 189.16 | HOLD | 189.16 | 170.12 | n/a | 198.41 (+4.9%) | 164.26 (-13.2%) | DaVita HOLD 64, well above its 170.12 rung and EMA200; hold. |
| SIRI | Sirius XM Holdings Inc | 27.15 | HOLD | 27.15 | 25.20 | n/a | n/a | 22.30 (-17.9%) | Sirius XM stub NO TRADE; at a loss so sign-blind PROFIT_ARMED is not treated as armed; hold on 25.20. |
| LLYVA | Liberty Live Group Ser A | 96.44 | HOLD | 96.44 | 93.73 | n/a | n/a | 87.03 (-9.8%) | Liberty Live A-sh balance after the 88.5% cut filled at 94.75; NO TRADE above EMA200; hold on 93.73. |
| LLYVK | Liberty Live Group Ser C | 99.66 | HOLD | 99.66 | 94.35 | n/a | n/a | 89.24 (-10.5%) | Liberty Live C-sh balance after the cut filled at 97.59; NO TRADE; hold on 94.35. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
249 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.735 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
84 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.