Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALLY | Ally Financial Inc | 37.68 | SELL 50% | 37.68 | 35.83 | 36.60 (-2.9%) | 34.08 (-9.6%) | 26.87 (-28.7%) | Ally keeps printing STRONG SELL-REDUCE below its 200-day average with a deeply negative 12-week view; the undervalued reading argues the cut down to half. Q3 lands 10-20 (consensus revised lower); trend exit so catalyst hold n/a. Balance, stop 35.83. · news |
| AAPL | Apple Inc | 343.46 | SELL 30% | 343.46 | 334.97 | 347.44 (+1.2%) | 356.71 (+3.9%) | 372.56 (+8.5%) | Apple is +11% on cost and near its 52-week high, and a fresh RSI divergence has re-appeared, so the book banks 30% of the winner and trails the rest. Profit-take armed + tick a (RSI_DIV re-fired after clearing 10-15); G2 suppresses the MoS -3.19 tier bump (12wk far above DCF 237). Trail 334.97. · news |
| M | Macy's Inc | 24.00 | SELL 30% | 24.00 | 22.49 | 24.02 (+0.1%) | 24.07 (+0.3%) | 24.22 (+0.9%) | Macy's has reached ~99% of its 12-week target and the forward view is flat, so another 30% is banked. Profit-take armed (T12) + tick c (12wk 24.22 < 1.02x close); AVOID conviction fade not counted as tick b. Balance on 22.49 (peak 24.57). · news |
| NUE | Nucor Corp | 256.29 | NO ACTION | 256.29 | 245.67 | 255.90 (-0.2%) | 254.99 (-0.5%) | 252.39 (-1.5%) | Nucor's forward view is below the close (armed + tick c), but the 3-card cap displaced it and it was halved this morning; 30% = optional, graded as counterfactual. Trail 245.67. |
| KR | Kroger Co | 63.63 | NO ACTION | 63.63 | 60.93 | 64.68 (+1.7%) | 67.13 (+5.5%) | 68.63 (+7.9%) | Kroger is armed with an RSI divergence (tick a) at conv 85; displaced by the 3-card cap. 30% = optional, graded as counterfactual. Trail 60.93. |
| CB | Chubb Ltd | 359.79 | HOLD | 359.79 | 346.07 | n/a | n/a | 366.84 (+2.0%) | Chubb holds through its 10-20 Q3 print (catalyst-aware hold); tick c misses by and were just added at 353.05. Trail raised to 346.07. · news |
| VRSN | VeriSign Inc | 302.33 | HOLD | 302.33 | 295.47 | n/a | n/a | 320.30 (+5.9%) | VeriSign armed + tick b (HOLD 75 -> NO TRADE) but Q3 prints 10-22 (4 sessions): catalyst-aware hold, 12wk +5.9%. A second NT or post-print lower-high fires the trim. Trail 295.47. |
| OXY | Occidental Petroleum Corp | 62.38 | HOLD | 62.38 | 60.72 | n/a | n/a | 66.61 (+6.8%) | Occidental recovered to 62.38 (HOLD 88) after the marginal 10-15 stop touch; hold on 60.72. |
| KO | Coca-Cola Co | 93.90 | HOLD | 93.90 | 90.88 | n/a | n/a | 100.08 (+6.6%) | Coca-Cola armed, no deterioration tick (RSI 75, 12wk +6.6%); trail 90.88. |
| CVX | Chevron Corp | 224.99 | HOLD | 224.99 | 215.16 | n/a | n/a | 257.49 (+14.4%) | Chevron armed, no tick (12wk +14.4%); trail raised to 215.16. |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc Cl A | 340.59 | HOLD | 340.59 | 338.83 | n/a | n/a | 324.42 (-4.7%) | Alphabet A 0.18 ATR above its 338.83 stop with a negative 12wk: L2 exit on a close below 336.41. |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc Cl C | 336.91 | HOLD | 336.91 | 335.00 | n/a | n/a | 318.47 (-5.5%) | Alphabet C 0.20 ATR above its 335.00 stop with a negative 12wk: L2 exit on a close below 332.64. |
| DVA | DaVita Inc | 187.31 | HOLD | 187.31 | 178.56 | n/a | n/a | 166.38 (-11.2%) | DaVita HOLD 56 at a loss; stop raised to the scan's 178.56. |
| SIRI | Sirius XM Holdings Inc | 26.97 | HOLD | 26.97 | 25.20 | n/a | n/a | 22.47 (-16.7%) | Sirius XM stub NO TRADE at a loss; hold on 25.20. |
| LLYVA | Liberty Live Group Ser A | 94.84 | HOLD | 94.84 | 93.73 | n/a | n/a | 85.35 (-10.0%) | Liberty Live A AVOID 58 (no sell label); hold on 93.73. |
| LLYVK | Liberty Live Group Ser C | 98.15 | HOLD | 98.15 | 94.35 | n/a | n/a | 87.89 (-10.5%) | Liberty Live C-sh stub AVOID 55; hold on 94.35. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
253 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.735 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
84 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.