Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALLY | Ally Financial Inc | 37.59 | SELL 50% | 37.59 | 35.88 | 36.54 (-2.8%) | 34.08 (-9.3%) | 27.06 (-28.0%) | Ally keeps printing STRONG SELL - REDUCE (fifth SSR in six sessions), sits below its 200-day average and the 12-week view is -28%; cheap valuation argues the cut down from 89% to 50%. Q3 prints 10-20 07:30 ET pre-open (trend exit, catalyst hold n/a). Balance, stop 35.88. · news |
| LLYVK | Liberty Live Group Ser C | 98.05 | SELL 88.52% | 98.05 | 94.35 | 97.02 (-1.1%) | 94.63 (-3.5%) | 87.79 (-10.5%) | Liberty Live C re-printed STRONG SELL - REDUCE 73 (Sell_Rank 1) at the 200-day average with a -10.5% 12-week view; no valuation read to soften it, so the model's 89% cut stands. Late-flipped REDUCE (SSR->NT->AVOID->SSR), no bullish print in 4 sessions. Balance. |
| AAPL | Apple Inc | 342.94 | SELL 30% | 342.94 | 334.97 | 345.81 (+0.8%) | 352.52 (+2.8%) | 371.68 (+8.4%) | Apple is +11% on cost and profit-armed (5.3 ATR, 92% of its 12-week target), and conviction just collapsed from HOLD 88 to NO TRADE 0 ('Consensus conflict + low conviction') - a fired profit-take, 30% tier. G2 suppresses the MoS<=-3 tier bump (12wk 371.68 >> DCF 237). Second 30% cut in two sessions (10-19 fill @ 340.975); balance 2,053 on trail 334.97. · news |
| KR | Kroger Co | 63.05 | NO ACTION | 63.05 | 60.93 | n/a | n/a | 68.29 (+8.3%) | Kroger armed (T12 92%) + tick b (HOLD 85 -> NO TRADE 0); 30% = displaced by the 3-card cap. Trail 60.93. |
| M | Macy's Inc | 23.60 | NO ACTION | 23.60 | 22.49 | n/a | n/a | 23.92 (+1.4%) | Macy's armed (T12 98.7%) + tick c (12wk 23.92 < 1.02x close); 30% = displaced by the cap; would be a third straight cut. Stop 22.49. |
| CB | Chubb Ltd | 356.27 | HOLD | 356.27 | 346.07 | n/a | n/a | 366.92 (+3.0%) | Chubb Q3 prints 10-20 after close: catalyst-aware hold. Conv fade was from a bearish AVOID 67, tick c misses (366.92 vs 363.40). Trail 346.07. |
| VRSN | VeriSign Inc | 306.48 | HOLD | 306.48 | 295.47 | n/a | n/a | 327.44 (+6.8%) | VeriSign back to HOLD 75, armed with no tick; holds through the 10-22 print on trail 295.47. |
| NUE | Nucor Corp | 260.73 | HOLD | 260.73 | 245.67 | n/a | n/a | 261.52 (+0.3%) | Nucor armed + tick c (12wk 261.52 < 265.94) but its 10-26 print is 5 sessions out: catalyst-aware hold on trail 245.67. |
| KO | Coca-Cola Co | 93.42 | HOLD | 93.42 | 90.88 | n/a | n/a | 100.81 (+7.9%) | Coca-Cola armed, no tick (12wk +7.9%); trail 90.88. |
| CVX | Chevron Corp | 224.37 | HOLD | 224.37 | 215.48 | n/a | n/a | 259.38 (+15.6%) | Chevron armed, no tick (12wk +15.6%); trail raised to 215.48 (2xATR chandelier). |
| OXY | Occidental Petroleum Corp | 62.72 | HOLD | 62.72 | 60.72 | n/a | n/a | 67.95 (+8.3%) | Occidental HOLD 88 for a second session, +0.8% on cost; stop 60.72. |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc Cl A | 344.18 | HOLD | 344.18 | 338.83 | n/a | n/a | 326.06 (-5.3%) | Alphabet A bounced 1.7 ATR off its stop; negative 12wk means a decisive close below 336.41 is an L2 exit. Q3 10-28. |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc Cl C | 340.16 | HOLD | 340.16 | 335.00 | n/a | n/a | 319.73 (-6.0%) | Alphabet C above its 335 stop; negative 12wk means a close below 332.64 is an L2 exit. |
| DVA | DaVita Inc | 187.00 | HOLD | 187.00 | 179.00 | n/a | n/a | 168.62 (-9.8%) | DaVita HOLD 49 at -20% (sign-blind ARMED ignored); stop raised to scan 179.00. |
| SIRI | Sirius XM Holdings Inc | 26.84 | HOLD | 26.84 | 25.20 | n/a | n/a | 22.52 (-16.1%) | Sirius XM AVOID 48 (no sell label) at a loss; hold on 25.20. |
| LLYVA | Liberty Live Group Ser A | 94.87 | HOLD | 94.87 | 93.73 | n/a | n/a | 85.28 (-10.1%) | Liberty Live A NO TRADE (no sell label; LLYVK's SSR does not carry over); hold on 93.73. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
256 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.711 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
84 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.