Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OXY | Occidental Petroleum Corp | 56.38 | SELL 50% | 56.38 | 56.00 | n/a | n/a | 51.78 (-8.2%) | Third straight NO TRADE and a 12-week view of (-8.2%) on a position already -9.4% on cost, after the 11-04 stop break: halve the position before Monday's Q3 print. Re-issue of the 11-05 card, which the executor refused (CASH drift). Balance holds on the line; a close below it triggers an exit card. · news |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc Cl A | 284.78 | SELL ALL | 284.78 | 321.28⚠ | n/a | n/a | 162.32 (-43.0%) | The engine re-printed STRONG SELL - REDUCE 69. The close is 11.4% under the 321.28 stop, with a 12-week view of and the position -20.9% on cost; exit in full (L2 stop-break + negative 12wk, so 100% rather than the engine's 88.5%). Re-issue of the unfilled 11-05 card. · news |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc Cl C | 283.93 | SELL ALL | 283.93 | 317.66⚠ | n/a | n/a | 164.32 (-42.1%) | Same case as GOOGL: STRONG SELL - REDUCE 69, the close is 10.6% under the 317.66 stop, the 12-week view is and the position is -20.3% on cost. Exit in full (L2). Re-issue of the unfilled 11-05 card. · news |
| COF | Capital One Financial Corp | 201.87 | NO ACTION | 201.87 | 199.57 | n/a | n/a | 192.66 (-4.6%) | Engine flipped HOLD 62 -> AVOID 45 FailedBreakout_Down with a 12-week view of (-4.6%), which fires tick c on the armed position: 30%. Displaced by the 3-slot cap; the arm is sign-blind (-1.1% on cost). The 199.57 stop is 1.2% away, and a close under it is a full loss-prevention card. · news |
| AAPL | Apple Inc | 342.37 | NO ACTION | 342.37 | 328.58 | n/a | n/a | 356.15 (+4.0%) | Genuinely armed (+10.9%, Gain_ATR 3.04), and conviction fell (tick b, -20): fired 30%. The MoS -3.29 tier bump is suppressed by G2, because the 12-week view of 356 is far above the 217 DCF anchor. Displaced by the slot cap. |
| NUE | Nucor Corp | 244.97 | NO ACTION | 244.97 | 258.47⚠ | n/a | n/a | 243.46 (-0.6%) | AVOID 0; the close is 5.2% (1.05 ATR) under the 258.47 trail, with the 12-week view below the price. L2 exit, displaced by the slot cap for the 2nd session. |
| CB | Chubb Ltd | 365.02 | NO ACTION | 365.02 | 358.82 | n/a | n/a | 401.38 (+10.0%) | Two consecutive NO TRADE prints on the armed position (tick d): 30%. Displaced; the trail stays at 358.82. |
| KO | Coca-Cola Co | 95.67 | NO ACTION | 95.67 | 92.88 | n/a | n/a | 106.65 (+11.5%) | Two consecutive NO TRADE prints on the armed position (+13.7%), tick d: 30%. Displaced; the trail stays at 92.88. KO goes ex-dividend 12-01. |
| CVX | Chevron Corp | 212.61 | NO ACTION | 212.61 | 213.11⚠ | n/a | n/a | 224.44 (+5.6%) | Second close under the 213.11 line, which is the 11-05 exit trigger, but it sits only 0.08 ATR under and the 12-week view of (+5.6%) is positive, so L2 is not met. Ledgered as an optional exit so the grader prices holding. A decisive close below about 206.2 (1 ATR) makes it mandatory. |
| — | American Express Co | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | BUY 73, Buy_Rank 1 (adjusted 71), but this is a new entry and the quality gate blocks it (Quality_Pass False). The 12-week view of is also below the entry. |
| — | Jefferies Financial Group | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | BUY 65 PullbackBuy_VWAP, adjusted 54 after the -9 PullbackBuy cell; it is also blocked by the quality gate and the 12-week view sits below the entry. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
302 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.691 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
84 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.