Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OXY | Occidental Petroleum Corp | 56.36 | SELL 50% | 56.36 | 56.00 | n/a | n/a | 53.72 (-4.7%) | Occidental printed a second straight NO TRADE, extended its lower-low run to 56.36 (just 0.36 above the 200-day line), and the model's 12-week view has turned negative, so half the position is cut before the 11-09 Q3 print. Valuation is neutral. Re-issues the unexecuted 11-04 card: PROFIT_ARMED (sign-blind T12 105, -9.5% on cost) + tick c (dead 12wk) + tick d (NT x2) = 50% tier. Balance on the 56.00 (EMA200) line; a close under it = exit card. Executor refusal (9th session) is why it has not filled. · news |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc Cl A | 282.57 | SELL ALL | 282.57 | 321.28⚠ | n/a | n/a | 161.62 (-42.8%) | Alphabet gave back the 11-04 bounce (-2.2% to 282.57, lower again after hours) and now sits 12% under the book's stop with a sharply negative 12-week model view, so the exit stands as a risk cut. Engine flipped SSR 75 -> HOLD 63 ReversalUp_Oversold (RSI 28); L2 (stop-break + negative 12wk) governs. Unfilled since 10-23 (executor refusal). · news |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc Cl C | 281.74 | SELL ALL | 281.74 | 317.66⚠ | n/a | n/a | 163.23 (-42.1%) | Same case as the Class A line: 11.3% under the stop with a -42% 12-week view, so the oversold HOLD label does not change the exit. L2 governs; unfilled since 10-23. · news |
| COF | Capital One Financial Corp | 203.84 | NO ACTION | 203.84 | 199.57 | n/a | n/a | 197.29 (-3.2%) | Capital One recovered to HOLD 62 but the model's 12-week view is still below the price, so a 30% trim fires; it is displaced by the three loss-prevention exits. Tick d cleared (no longer NT x2), so 50% -> 30%. Armed is the sign-blind T12 artifact (-0.1% on cost). A close under 199.57 = full loss-prevention card. |
| NUE | Nucor Corp | 245.68 | NO ACTION | 245.68 | 258.47⚠ | n/a | n/a | 256.68 (+4.5%) | Nucor fell 8.3% intraday reversal) on returning steel-tariff doubt and closed 4.95% (0.9 ATR) under its trail; a decisive stop break is an exit basis, but at it is displaced by the slot cap. The 12wk is still +4.5%, so L2 is not met. · news |
| CB | Chubb Ltd | 371.63 | NO ACTION | 371.63 | 358.82 | n/a | n/a | 412.33 (+11.0%) | Chubb flipped BUY - ADD 70 -> NO TRADE 0 (tick b) while armed, so a 30% trim fires; displaced by the slot cap. Trail. |
| KO | Coca-Cola Co | 95.73 | NO ACTION | 95.73 | 92.88 | n/a | n/a | 106.59 (+11.3%) | KO flipped SB-ADD 90 -> NO TRADE 0 (tick b) while armed (+13.8%), so a 30% trim fires; displaced. Single-bar NT flicker (4th in 4 sessions) is noisy. |
| DVA | DaVita Inc | 194.82 | NO ACTION | 194.82 | 174.16 | n/a | n/a | 192.92 (-1.0%) | DaVita went HOLD 65 -> AVOID 0 with RSI_DIV and a flat 12wk (3 ticks), so a 50% trim fires on a sign-blind arm (-17% on cost); displaced. |
| COF | Capital One Financial Corp | 203.84 | HOLD | 203.84 | 199.57 | n/a | n/a | 197.29 (-3.2%) | Largest position held on the 199.57 stop; the fired 30% trim is displaced (see optional card). |
| — | Kroger Co | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | STRONG BUY - ADD 100 but RSI_DIV on an armed position fires a profit-take tick, so no add; entry 65.35 is 1.9 ATR below the close anyway. Trail raised to 65.15. |
| — | Constellation Brands | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | BUY 69 new entry, but MoS -1.05 (val_adj -5) leaves it at 64, one point under the 65 floor; L1 also discounts FailedBreakdown chases. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
298 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.691 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
84 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.