Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYT | New York Times Co Cl A | 64.07 | SELL ALL | 64.07 | 65.37⚠ | 62.58 (-2.3%) | 59.09 (-7.8%) | 49.13 (-23.3%) | New York Times closed decisively below its stop with a STRONG SELL - REDUCE print (3rd in 4 sessions), below its 200-day average and a -23% 12-week view; fair value offers no support, so exit the position. L2 + L3 (displacedx before), full exit at the next open. · news |
| STZ | Constellation Brands Cl A | 115.67 | SELL ALL | 115.67 | 128.36⚠ | 111.68 (-3.4%) | 102.36 (-11.5%) | 75.75 (-34.5%) | Constellation Brands is the top-ranked sell (STRONG SELL - REDUCE 82), well below its stop and 200-day average with a -35% 12-week view, and its after-close FQ2 report missed on FY27 guidance with weak beer depletions. L2 full exit at the next open; the anchor close is pre-print, so reprice at the open but exit regardless of the gap. · news |
| LEN | Lennar Corp Cl A | 77.41 | SELL ALL | 77.41 | 82.64⚠ | 75.76 (-2.1%) | 71.91 (-7.1%) | 60.91 (-21.3%) | Lennar printed a second straight STRONG SELL - REDUCE (bear-trend rally sell) and closed well below its stop and 200-day average with a -21% 12-week view; Berkshire buying in late September does not offset the signal. L2 full exit at the next open; LEN-B rides as an optional exit. · news |
| KO | Coca-Cola Co | 86.17 | NO ACTION | 86.17 | 84.51 | n/a | n/a | 81.55 (-5.4%) | Coca-Cola is profit-armed with ticks c (dead 12wk) + d (2x NO TRADE): a 50% trim was displaced by the loss-prevention exits and held back as a 3rd cut in 4 sessions on a static tick. Leads next EOD if NT/AVOID repeats. |
| NUE | Nucor Corp | 251.07 | NO ACTION | 251.07 | 237.62 | n/a | n/a | 227.75 (-9.3%) | Nucor is profit-armed (+13.7%) with a dead 12-week view after an SSR->AVOID sequence; 30% trim displaced by the cap. |
| KR | Kroger Co | 58.41 | NO ACTION | 58.41 | 57.73 | n/a | n/a | 55.65 (-4.7%) | Kroger armed (T12 progress) with ticks c+d; 50% trim immaterial, displaced by the cap. |
| LEN-B | Lennar Corp Cl B | 76.97 | NO ACTION | 76.97 | 81.78⚠ | n/a | n/a | 61.78 (-19.7%) | Lennar B shares closed below stop with a negative 12-week view (AVOID 61); L2 full exit displaced only by the cap. |
| AAPL | Apple Inc | 333.63 | HOLD | 333.63 | 328.21 | n/a | n/a | 353.42 (+5.9%) | Apple HOLD 57, profit-armed with no deterioration tick (12wk +5.9%); trail stop 328.21. |
| CVX | Chevron Corp | 207.58 | HOLD | 207.58 | 200.47 | n/a | n/a | 215.31 (+3.7%) | Chevron HOLD 48, armed with a live 12wk view; trail stop 200.47. |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc Cl A | 347.68 | HOLD | 347.68 | 333.48 | n/a | n/a | 325.53 (-6.4%) | Alphabet A recovered to HOLD 62 after the 50% cut filled; now UNDERVALUED on refreshed fair value; rung 333.48. |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc Cl C | 344.59 | HOLD | 344.59 | 330.07 | n/a | n/a | 321.34 (-6.7%) | Alphabet C HOLD 62, UNDERVALUED; no sell label; rung 330.07. |
| VRSN | VeriSign Inc | 293.10 | HOLD | 293.10 | 278.60 | n/a | n/a | 289.22 (-1.3%) | VeriSign AVOID 55 after the 50% cut filled; trail 278.60. |
| DVA | DaVita Inc | 180.40 | HOLD | 180.40 | 170.12 | n/a | n/a | 140.82 (-21.9%) | DaVita NO TRADE after the 50% cut filled; rung 170.12. |
| CB | Chubb Ltd | 334.21 | HOLD | 334.21 | 320.41 | n/a | n/a | 296.71 (-11.2%) | Chubb 6th NO TRADE, +2.7 ATR above its rung; L2 only on a rung break. |
| ALLY | Ally Financial Inc | 37.62 | HOLD | 37.62 | 37.52 | n/a | n/a | 25.61 (-31.9%) | Ally HOLD 63 just above its 37.52 rung; a close below is an L2 exit. |
| SIRI | Sirius XM Holdings Inc | 26.36 | HOLD | 26.36 | 25.20 | n/a | n/a | 19.69 (-25.3%) | Sirius XM NO TRADE above its 25.20 rung. |
| M | Macy's Inc | 22.46 | HOLD | 22.46 | 22.49⚠ | n/a | n/a | 20.62 (-8.2%) | Macy's closed 0.04 ATR under its stop (not decisive); L2 exit on a close below 22.20. |
| LLYVA | Liberty Live Group Ser A | 96.25 | HOLD | 96.25 | 93.73 | n/a | n/a | 86.63 (-10.0%) | Liberty Live A NO TRADE above its 93.73 rung. |
| LLYVK | Liberty Live Group Ser C | 99.40 | HOLD | 99.40 | 94.35 | n/a | n/a | 88.04 (-11.4%) | Liberty Live C NO TRADE above its 94.35 rung. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
227 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.735 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
84 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.