Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc Cl A | 346.47 | SELL 50% | 346.47 | 333.48 | 343.95 (-0.7%) | 338.06 (-2.4%) | 321.24 (-7.3%) | Alphabet flipped from three NO TRADE prints to a Strong Sell-Reduce (conviction) with a 12-week view 7% below the close; valuation is neutral and the news (a Polish antitrust charge) does not change the picture, so half the position is cut. Fresh-SSR 50% tier (above EMA200 and the 333.48 rung); balance on the rung, L2 exit on a close below. · news |
| DVA | DaVita Inc | 178.72 | SELL 50% | 178.72 | 170.12 | 174.53 (-2.3%) | 164.77 (-7.8%) | 136.86 (-23.4%) | DaVita printed the book's top-ranked Strong Sell-Reduce (conviction 84) after three NO TRADE sessions, with a 12-week view 23% below the close and the position already 24% under cost; an analyst Buy upgrade is contrary in tone but not a catalyst, so half is sold. Fresh-SSR 50% tier; balance with the stop raised to 170.12. · news |
| VRSN | VeriSign Inc | 292.26 | SELL 50% | 292.26 | 278.60 | 291.60 (-0.2%) | 290.06 (-0.8%) | 285.67 (-2.3%) | VeriSign repeated its Strong Sell-Reduce print and its 12-week view sits below the close while the position is 14% in profit, so half the gain is banked ahead of the 10-22 results. Stable SSR + armed profit-take tick (c); fulfils the 10-02 pre-commitment. Balance, stop raised to 278.60. · news |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc Cl C | 343.83 | NO ACTION | 343.83 | 330.07 | 341.19 (-0.8%) | 335.02 (-2.6%) | 317.40 (-7.7%) | Alphabet C prints AVOID 62 (mirror of the GOOGL SSR) with a -8% 12-week view; displaced by the 3-card cap. Leads next EOD if it prints SSR. |
| NUE | Nucor Corp | 251.41 | NO ACTION | 251.41 | 237.62 | 248.52 (-1.1%) | 241.79 (-3.8%) | 222.54 (-11.5%) | Nucor fresh SSR 75, armed (+13.9%) with ticks c+d, displaced by the 3-card cap. |
| NYT | New York Times Co Cl A | 64.00 | NO ACTION | 64.00 | 65.37⚠ | 62.45 (-2.4%) | 58.85 (-8.0%) | 48.55 (-24.1%) | New York Times closed 0.5 ATR below its 65.37 stop with a -24% 12-week view and an SSR print (L2); full exit displaced ath time by the cap. |
| LEN | Lennar Corp Cl A | 74.44 | NO ACTION | 74.44 | 82.64⚠ | 72.94 (-2.0%) | 69.42 (-6.7%) | 59.39 (-20.2%) | Lennar A: SSR 82 52-week breakdown, ~10% below its stop (L2), immaterial, displaced. |
| LEN-B | Lennar Corp Cl B | 73.36 | NO ACTION | 73.36 | 81.78⚠ | 71.95 (-1.9%) | 68.64 (-6.4%) | 59.21 (-19.3%) | Lennar B: SSR 65, ~10% below its stop (L2), immaterial, displaced. |
| STZ | Constellation Brands Cl A | 113.31 | NO ACTION | 113.31 | 128.36⚠ | 109.17 (-3.7%) | 99.52 (-12.2%) | 71.93 (-36.5%) | Constellation: 11.7% below its stop with a -37% 12-week view (L2) despite a HOLD 69 bounce label, immaterial, displaced. |
| KR | Kroger Co | 58.78 | NO ACTION | 58.78 | 57.73 | 58.55 (-0.4%) | 58.02 (-1.3%) | 56.50 (-3.9%) | Kroger armed (+1%) with ticks c+d (2x NO TRADE, dead 12wk), immaterial, displaced. |
| AAPL | Apple Inc | 332.89 | HOLD | 332.89 | 328.21 | n/a | n/a | 353.56 (+6.2%) | Apple HOLD 52, armed but no deterioration tick (12-week view still +6%); trail stays 328.21. |
| KO | Coca-Cola Co | 86.51 | HOLD | 86.51 | 84.51 | n/a | n/a | 82.16 (-5.0%) | Coca-Cola reverted AVOID -> NO TRADE and recovered 1.7 ATR above its 84.51 rung after two executed 30% cuts; the static dead-12wk tick is treated as already acted on (assumption), so trail and hold. |
| CB | Chubb Ltd | 330.49 | HOLD | 330.49 | 320.41 | n/a | n/a | 290.74 (-12.0%) | Chubb 5th NO TRADE with a -12% 12-week view but 2.1 ATR above its 320.41 rung; L2 only on a break. |
| CVX | Chevron Corp | 206.47 | HOLD | 206.47 | 200.47 | n/a | n/a | 213.93 (+3.6%) | Chevron AVOID 51, armed (+15.7%) with no tick (12-week view alive); rung 200.47. |
| ALLY | Ally Financial Inc | 37.63 | HOLD | 37.63 | 37.52 | n/a | n/a | 25.61 (-31.9%) | Ally balance after the 30% fill; label eased to HOLD 63 (oversold bounce) just 0.14 ATR above the 37.52 rung - a close below is an L2 full exit. |
| SIRI | Sirius XM Holdings Inc | 26.31 | HOLD | 26.31 | 25.20 | n/a | n/a | 19.33 (-26.5%) | Sirius XM balance after the 50% fill; reverted to NO TRADE 1.7 ATR above the 25.20 rung. |
| LLYVA | Liberty Live Group Ser A | 96.17 | HOLD | 96.17 | 93.73 | n/a | n/a | 85.92 (-10.7%) | Liberty Live A NO TRADE above its 93.73 rung. |
| LLYVK | Liberty Live Group Ser C | 98.87 | HOLD | 98.87 | 94.35 | n/a | n/a | 86.52 (-12.5%) | Liberty Live C NO TRADE above its 94.35 rung. |
| M | Macy's Inc | 22.51 | HOLD | 22.51 | 22.49 | n/a | n/a | 20.78 (-7.7%) | Macy's HOLD 52 sitting just above its 22.49 stop; immaterial. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
224 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.735 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
84 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.