Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KO | Coca-Cola Co | 85.65 | SELL 30% | 85.65 | 85.95⚠ | 85.22 (-0.5%) | 84.23 (-1.7%) | 81.39 (-5.0%) | Coca-Cola closed below its 85.95 stop rung and flipped to a bearish RallySell signal with a 12-week view of 81.39 (-5%), so the armed position's profit cushion is fading with no catalyst to wait for. Profit-take: armed (T12 progress 105%, +1.8% on cost) + tick (c) dead 12wk; 1 tick = profit_take_1 30%; MoS -2.08 no tier bump; rung graze -0.26 ATR (not L2-decisive). Balance on new stop 84.51 (close - 1 ATR). · news |
| SIRI | Sirius XM Holdings Inc | 25.72 | SELL 50% | 25.72 | 25.20 | 25.00 (-2.8%) | 23.32 (-9.3%) | 18.52 (-28.0%) | Sirius XM flipped to STRONG SELL - REDUCE 75 (Sell_Rank #2) below its 200-day average with a -28% 12-week view; the position is -15.7% on cost. Fresh SSR above the 25.20 rung (+0.86 ATR) = 88.5% label tiered to 50% (book precedent); FAIR_VALUE MoS -1.52, quality fail, no bump. Guggenheim Buy/PT 37 noted (neutral, not an override). Balance on rung 25.20; a close below it is an L2 full exit. · news |
| ALLY | Ally Financial Inc | 37.91 | SELL 30% | 37.91 | 37.52 | 36.71 (-3.2%) | 33.90 (-10.6%) | 25.87 (-31.8%) | Ally flipped HOLD -> STRONG SELL - REDUCE 69 (Sell_Rank #3) under its 200-day average with a -32% 12-week view, and Wells Fargo cut it on 09-30 (PT. Fresh SSR above the 37.52 rung (+0.46 ATR) tiers 88.5% to 50%, and UNDERVALUED (MoS +0.18) argues down one more tier: trim the minimum, 30%. Q3 earnings 10-20 is outside the 5-session window. A close below 37.52 is an L2 full exit. · news |
| VRSN | VeriSign Inc | 288.32 | NO ACTION | 288.32 | 275.06 | 287.34 (-0.3%) | 285.05 (-1.1%) | 278.50 (-3.4%) | VeriSign printed its first STRONG SELL - REDUCE 68 after 3 NO TRADEs while profit-armed (+12.4% on cost) with a 12-week view below the close; 50% profit-take qualifies but was displaced by the 3-card cap (smaller dollars). Leads the next EOD if SSR repeats. |
| NYT | New York Times Co Cl A | 62.70 | NO ACTION | 62.70 | 65.37⚠ | 61.13 (-2.5%) | 57.46 (-8.4%) | 46.99 (-25.1%) | New York Times closed decisively below its stop (62.70 vs 65.37, -0.95 ATR) with a -25% 12-week view: an L2 full exit, though the label softened to HOLD 63 ReversalUp. Displaced an 8th time by the cap. |
| NUE | Nucor Corp | 240.39 | NO ACTION | 240.39 | 237.62 | 236.82 (-1.5%) | 228.50 (-4.9%) | 204.72 (-14.8%) | Nucor is +8.9% on cost and armed with two ticks (2x NO TRADE and a 12-week view of 204.72, -15%), so a 50% profit-take qualifies; displaced by the cap. It reclaimed the 237.62 rung. |
| STZ | Constellation Brands Cl A | 112.87 | NO ACTION | 112.87 | 128.36⚠ | 108.14 (-4.2%) | 97.11 (-14.0%) | 65.58 (-41.9%) | Constellation sits 12% below its stop with a -42% 12-week view (L2); immaterial at, displaced. |
| KR | Kroger Co | 59.03 | NO ACTION | 59.03 | 57.73 | 58.84 (-0.3%) | 58.39 (-1.1%) | 57.10 (-3.3%) | Kroger is armed with two ticks (conviction 75 -> NO TRADE and a 12-week view below the close); 50% =, immaterial, displaced. |
| AAPL | Apple Inc | 333.69 | HOLD | 333.69 | 328.21 | 335.92 (+0.7%) | 341.12 (+2.2%) | 355.98 (+6.7%) | Apple is armed (+8.1%, T12 progress 94%) but no tick fired: conviction and the 12-week view 355.98 is alive. Trail stays 328.21. |
| CB | Chubb Ltd | 330.89 | HOLD | 330.89 | 320.41 | 326.91 (-1.2%) | 317.63 (-4.0%) | 291.11 (-12.0%) | Chubb is a 4th NO TRADE with a -12% 12-week view but closed above both its 320.41 rung and its 200-day average; a close below the rung is L2. Already trimmed 30% on 10-01. |
| CVX | Chevron Corp | 206.69 | HOLD | 206.69 | 200.47 | 207.49 (+0.4%) | 209.34 (+1.3%) | 214.65 (+3.9%) | Chevron is armed (+15.8%) without a fire tick (AVOID, 12-week 214.65 still above 1.02x close). Trail rung 200.47. |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc Cl A | 343.50 | HOLD | 343.50 | 333.48 | 340.67 (-0.8%) | 334.08 (-2.7%) | 315.25 (-8.2%) | Alphabet is a 3rd NO TRADE with a -8% 12-week view, +1.0 ATR above the 333.48 rung; L2 only on a close below it. |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc Cl C | 340.35 | HOLD | 340.35 | 330.07 | 337.36 (-0.9%) | 330.37 (-2.9%) | 310.42 (-8.8%) | Same as GOOGL: NO TRADE, +1.06 ATR above the 330.07 rung. |
| LLYVA | Liberty Live Group Ser A | 95.72 | HOLD | 95.72 | 93.73 | 94.62 (-1.1%) | 92.06 (-3.8%) | 84.74 (-11.5%) | Liberty Live A reverted SSR 73 -> NO TRADE and reclaimed its 93.73 rung, so the 10-01 'leads the next EOD' 50% trim is withdrawn (signal improved). |
| LLYVK | Liberty Live Group Ser C | 97.87 | HOLD | 97.87 | 94.35 | 96.56 (-1.3%) | 93.49 (-4.5%) | 84.73 (-13.4%) | Liberty Live C balance after the 10-02 50% fill; reverted to NO TRADE above the 94.35 rung. |
| DVA | DaVita Inc | 178.69 | HOLD | 178.69 | 168.48 | 174.33 (-2.4%) | 164.15 (-8.1%) | 135.07 (-24.4%) | DaVita is a 4th NO TRADE with a -24% 12-week view, above its 168.48 rung and 200-day average. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
221 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.735 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
84 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.