Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | Chubb Ltd | 334.70 | SELL 50% | 334.70 | 325.04 | 331.18 (-1.1%) | 322.95 (-3.5%) | 299.46 (-10.5%) | Chubb flipped from six NO TRADE prints to the book's top-ranked STRONG SELL - REDUCE (80) with a -10.5% 12-week view, and Morgan Stanley cut its target to; fair value is only marginally cheap, so trim half rather than exit. Engine portion 88.5% stepped down one tier for UNDERVALUED; of at the next open; stop on the rest raised to 325.04; Q3 prints 10-20. · news |
| KO | Coca-Cola Co | 85.82 | SELL 50% | 85.82 | 84.51 | 85.31 (-0.6%) | 84.13 (-2.0%) | 80.75 (-5.9%) | Coca-Cola is profit-armed but has printed three straight NO TRADE signals and its 12-week view sits below the price, so bank half the position; analyst sentiment stays positive, so this is a model profit-take, not a fundamental call. ADR-0012 armed + ticks c+d -> profit_take_2 50%; 3rd cut since 10-02 (latch issue flagged); remaining trail 84.51. · news |
| DVA | DaVita Inc | 176.78 | SELL 50% | 176.78 | 170.12 | 172.86 (-2.2%) | 163.72 (-7.4%) | 137.59 (-22.2%) | DaVita re-printed STRONG SELL - REDUCE (71) with a -22% 12-week view while sitting on its 200-day average, 25% under cost; halve the remaining position again. 2nd SSR in 3 prints; of at the next open; rung 170.12 on the rest. |
| LLYVA | Liberty Live Group Ser A | 94.69 | NO ACTION | 94.69 | 93.73 | n/a | n/a | 84.63 (-10.6%) | Liberty Live A printed a fresh STRONG SELL - REDUCE 73 (Sell_Rank #2) below its 200-day; 50% trim displaced by the 3-card cap. Leads next EOD if SSR repeats. |
| SIRI | Sirius XM Holdings Inc | 25.95 | NO ACTION | 25.95 | 25.20 | n/a | n/a | 19.36 (-25.4%) | Sirius XM STRONG SELL - REDUCE 69 below its 200-day with a -25% 12-week view; 50% trim displaced by the cap. |
| LLYVK | Liberty Live Group Ser C | 98.11 | NO ACTION | 98.11 | 94.35 | n/a | n/a | 86.77 (-11.6%) | Liberty Live C STRONG SELL - REDUCE 66; 50% trim displaced by the cap. |
| VRSN | VeriSign Inc | 294.22 | NO ACTION | 294.22 | 278.60 | n/a | n/a | 292.81 (-0.5%) | VeriSign profit-armed (+14.7%) with a dead 12-week view (tick c); 30% trim displaced; just cut 50% on 10-06. |
| NUE | Nucor Corp | 246.44 | NO ACTION | 246.44 | 237.62 | n/a | n/a | 224.07 (-9.1%) | Nucor profit-armed (+11.6%) with a dead 12-week view (tick c); 30% trim displaced by the cap. |
| KR | Kroger Co | 59.25 | NO ACTION | 59.25 | 57.73 | n/a | n/a | 56.69 (-4.3%) | Kroger armed with ticks c+d (4x NO TRADE); 50% trim immaterial, displaced by the cap. |
| LEN-B | Lennar Corp Cl B | 75.75 | NO ACTION | 75.75 | 81.78⚠ | n/a | n/a | 59.83 (-21.0%) | Lennar B closed 7% below its stop with a negative 12-week view (AVOID); L2 full exit displaced by the cap. |
| AAPL | Apple Inc | 336.67 | HOLD | 336.67 | 328.21 | n/a | n/a | 357.76 (+6.3%) | Apple HOLD 75 (up from 57), profit-armed with no deterioration tick (12wk +6.3%); trail stop 328.21. |
| CVX | Chevron Corp | 205.15 | HOLD | 205.15 | 200.47 | n/a | n/a | 211.05 (+2.9%) | Chevron AVOID 45, armed with a live 12wk view (above 1.02x close); trail stop 200.47. |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc Cl A | 350.50 | HOLD | 350.50 | 334.66 | n/a | n/a | 332.40 (-5.2%) | Alphabet A HOLD 57, UNDERVALUED; rung raised to the row stop 334.66. |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc Cl C | 347.37 | HOLD | 347.37 | 331.88 | n/a | n/a | 328.20 (-5.5%) | Alphabet C HOLD 57, UNDERVALUED; rung raised to 331.88. |
| ALLY | Ally Financial Inc | 37.37 | HOLD | 37.37 | 37.52⚠ | n/a | n/a | 23.82 (-36.3%) | Ally closed 0.21 ATR under its 37.52 rung (not decisive), RSI 24.7; a close below 37.23 is an L2 full exit. |
| M | Macy's Inc | 22.79 | HOLD | 22.79 | 22.49 | n/a | n/a | 21.09 (-7.5%) | Macy's HOLD 68, recovered above its 22.49 stop. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
230 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.735 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
84 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.