AI · Berkshire Mirror — Fair value
A slow-moving intrinsic anchor per name — earnings power and discounted cash flow, residual income for banks — answering what to pay, never when to trade.
| Ticker | Name | Close | FV/sh | Method | MoS | Verdict | Quality | F | Bargain | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB H | Chubb Ltd | 361.17 | 345.17 | ResInc | -5% | OVERVALUED VS RI | 22.0 | 5 | ||
| ALLY H | Ally Financial Inc | 45.32 | 42.52 | ResInc | -7% | OVERVALUED VS RI | 29.0 | 5 | ||
| COF H | Capital One Financial Corp | 205.12 | 182.28 | ResInc | -13% | OVERVALUED VS RI | 16.0 | 4 | ||
| BAC H | Bank of America Corp | 58.73 | 45.69 | ResInc | -29% | OVERVALUED VS RI | 25.0 | 7 | ||
| NVR H | NVR Inc | 6750.79 | 4961.31 | EPV | -36% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 5.0 | 7 | ||
| AXP H | American Express Co | 351.96 | 226.26 | ResInc | -56% | OVERVALUED VS RI | 18.0 | 6 | ||
| M H | Macy's Inc | 23.25 | 14.59 | EPV | -59% | FAIR | 4.0 | 8 | ||
| LEN-B H | Lennar Corp Cl B | 86.27 | 49.64 | EPV | -74% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 27.0 | 4 | ||
| DAL H | Delta Air Lines Inc | 92.75 | 52.57 | EPV | -76% | FAIR | 12.0 | 6 | ||
| LEN H | Lennar Corp Cl A | 88.21 | 49.64 | EPV | -78% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 28.0 | 4 | ||
| STZ H | Constellation Brands Cl A | 137.47 | 71.58 | EPV | -92% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 14.0 | 7 | ||
| JEF H | Jefferies Financial Group | 52.62 | 25.52 | ResInc | -106% | OVERVALUED VS RI | 17.0 | 2 | ||
| NUE H | Nucor Corp | 220.75 | 102.31 | EPV | -116% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 13.0 | 8 | ||
| MCO H | Moody's Corp | 490.51 | 210.52 | ResInc | -133% | OVERVALUED VS RI | 3.0 | 8 | ||
| GOOG H | Alphabet Inc Cl C | 356.18 | 130.59 | EPV | -173% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 6.0 | 7 | ||
| NYT H | New York Times Co Cl A | 73.85 | 27.02 | EPV | -173% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 2.0 | 9 | ||
| GOOGL H | Alphabet Inc Cl A | 359.91 | 130.59 | EPV | -176% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 7.0 | 7 | ||
| VRSN H | VeriSign Inc | 256.43 | 87.44 | EPV | -193% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 10.0 | 7 | ||
| CVX H | Chevron Corp | 169.20 | 57.04 | EPV | -197% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 20.0 | 5 | ||
| KO H | Coca-Cola Co | 84.14 | 26.41 | EPV | -219% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 8.0 | 9 | ||
| OXY H | Occidental Petroleum Corp | 48.91 | 13.41 | EPV | -265% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 21.0 | 6 | ||
| SIRI H | Sirius XM Holdings Inc | 30.51 | 8.06 | EPV | -279% | FAIR | 15.0 | 7 | ||
| AAPL H | Apple Inc | 308.63 | 78.27 | EPV | -294% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 1.0 | 9 | ||
| DVA H | DaVita Inc | 234.91 | 48.05 | EPV | -389% | FAIR | 9.0 | 6 | ||
| LPX H | Louisiana-Pacific Corp | 79.31 | 11.64 | EPV | -581% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 26.0 | 6 | ||
| KR H | Kroger Co | 58.22 | -9.94* | EPV | — | n/a · no data | 11.0 | 7 | ||
| KHC H | Kraft Heinz Co | 25.37 | -44.34* | EPV | — | n/a · no data | 19.0 | 5 | ||
| LLYVA H | Liberty Live Group Ser A | 104.11 | -47.95* | EPV | — | n/a · no data | 23.5 | 4 | ||
| LLYVK H | Liberty Live Group Ser C | 108.00 | -47.95* | EPV | — | n/a · no data | 23.5 | 4 |
How to read this table
- Ticker · H
- The exchange symbol; an H pill marks a name this book currently holds.
- Close
- The latest settled market price — what the stock costs today.
- FV/sh (fair value per share)
- Our estimate of what one share is intrinsically worth, from the company's own earnings power and cash flow — a slow-moving anchor refreshed with quarterly results, deliberately independent of the day's price action.
- Method
- How that fair value was computed: EPV (earnings power value — what steady current earnings are worth, assuming no growth), DCF (discounted cash flow — future cash flows brought back to today's dollars), or Bank (residual income — the right framework for banks, whose "cash flow" is not comparable to an industrial's).
- MoS (margin of safety)
- How far the price sits below fair value, as a percentage — the discount you get for buying today. Positive (teal) = priced below fair value; negative (red) = priced above it. The bar makes the size of the gap scannable.
- Verdict
- UNDERVALUED — price below the fair-value anchor. FAIR — above the anchor but still below the growth-inclusive DCF value. GROWTH PRICED IN — the price already assumes the optimistic growth case plays out. OVERVALUED VS RI — a bank trading above its residual-income value. When no verdict applies, the pill says why: n/a · currency — the listing trades in a different currency than the company reports in (typically an ADR: the price is USD per depositary share, the statements aren't), so price and fair value can't honestly be compared and the MoS is withheld (the FV/sh shown* is in the reporting currency); n/a · ETF — a fund holds other assets, so company-earnings frameworks don't apply; n/a · no data — not enough fundamentals to compute a fair value. n/a rows carry no valuation force downstream.
- Quality
- The name's rank within this book on a composite of five quality measures: return on invested capital, gross profitability, free-cash-flow yield, revenue growth, and the F-Score. Earlier letters = higher quality.
- F (Piotroski F-Score)
- A 0–9 checklist of accounting health — profitability, improving balance sheet, operating efficiency. 7–9 is strong; below 4 is a warning.
How valuation is used
Valuation re-ranks and resizes technical buy candidates by a bounded amount and can amplify a signal-based sell — it never originates a trade on its own. A richly priced name that is trending is not a sell case; a cheap one with no signal is not a buy case. n/a rows (ETFs, currency mismatches) carry no valuation force.